Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/18/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 6

Game: Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 18, 2020

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -9.5

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Drew Lock and the Denver Broncos (1-3) travel to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the New England Patriots (2-2) in a rescheduled game that was cancelled due to Covid-19. The spread on this contest has New England as 9.5-point favorites. The total is set at 45.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this year. The last time they took the field they faced the New York Jets and earned the win by a score of 37-28. Brett Rypien went 19/31 with 242 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He gave away 3 picks on the day. Melvin Gordon III paced the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 43 yards and he added 2 TD's for the game. He rushed for 107 yards on 23 carries which meant he averaged 4.7 yards per tote. Tim Patrick was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 113 yards on 6 catches. He earned an average of 18.8 yards per reception for that contest. The Denver Broncos rushed the ball a total of 32 times and totaled 117 yards giving them an average of 3.7 yards per run. In the game, they ran 63 plays for 359 yards. For the contest, the Broncos had a total of 21 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 94 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Denver allowed 25 completions on 44 tries for a total of 192 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.0%. Against the run, the Broncos allowed 129 yards on 24 runs which gave them an average of 5.4 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they conceded 321 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways.

The Broncos have earned 1,227 total yards this year. As a team they're maintaining an average of 92.5 yards on the ground which is 29th in the National Football League. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Denver has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns on the ground. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Denver Broncos hold an average of 20.5 PPG. The Broncos are sitting in 13th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 24.5 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 109.0 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have allowed 436 yards via the ground game in 4 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Broncos have surrendered 1,025 yards which has them sitting in 8th in the NFL. Over the course of their 4 games played this season, they are conceding 256.3 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.1%. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 365.3 yards/outing which ranks them 16th in the league.

The Patriots come into this game with a record of 2-2 for this year. In their last game they went up against the Kansas City Chiefs and took the defeat by a score of 26-10. Damien Harris led the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 41 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 100 yards by way of 17 carries which gave him an average of 5.9 yards per run. Damiere Byrd was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 80 yards on 5 receptions. He averaged 16.0 yards per catch in the game. Brian Hoyer went 15/24 with 130 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He gave away 1 pick during the game. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 35 times and earned 185 yards which earned them an average of 5.3 yards per carry. In the game, the Patriots earned a total of 21 first downs and they had 4 penalties for 43 yards. Overall, they ran 74 plays for a total of 357 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, New England gave up 19 catches on 29 throws for a total of 229 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.0%. For this contest, they allowed a total of 323 yards and earned 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Patriots gave up 94 yards on 25 attempts which gave them an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Patriots currently rank 22nd out of all teams in the league maintaining an average of 24.3 PPG. During the season so far, the Patriots have compiled 865 yards through the air together with holding an average of 216.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 24th in the league. They hold an average of 179.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 719 yards for the year. The New England Patriots are averaging 396.0 yards per game which has them ranked 8th in football. The Patriots are sitting in 11th in the National Football League in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 23.0 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.4 yards per running attempt and 115.3 rushing yards per contest for the season. Overall, they have given up 461 yards via the ground game in 4 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Patriots have surrendered 935 yards which puts them in 3rd in the NFL. In their 4 games played this season, they have yielded 233.8 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 70.6%. In total, they are surrendering 349.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 11th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +9.5

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