Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/11/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 5

Game: Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2020

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -6

Total/Over-Under: 46

Brian Hoyer and the New England Patriots (2-2) host the Denver Broncos (1-3) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2020. The spread on this game has New England as 6-point favorites. The O/U is set at 46.

The Denver Broncos come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last game they played the New York Jets and won by a score of 37-28. Brett Rypien went 19/31 with 242 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He threw 3 picks during the game. Melvin Gordon III led the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 43 yards and he added 2 TD's during the game. He racked up a total of 107 yards via 23 carries which meant he averaged 4.7 yards per run. Tim Patrick was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 113 yards on 6 receptions. He averaged 18.8 yards per reception in the game. The Denver Broncos ran the ball 32 times and earned a total of 117 yards which earned them an average of 3.7 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 63 plays which gave them a total of 359 yards. On the day, the Broncos had a total of 21 first downs and they had 8 penalties for 94 yards. When discussing the defense, Denver gave up 25 catches on 44 tries for a total of 192 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.0%. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 129 yards on 24 carries which means they had an average of 5.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded a total of 321 yards but didn't force any takeaways.

The Broncos have racked up 1,227 total yards this year. As a unit they maintain an average of 92.5 yards in the run game ranking them 29th in the league. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Denver has compiled 6 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns via the ground. Regarding scoring, the Denver Broncos have an average of 20.5 PPG. When talking about passing yardage, the Broncos have conceded 1,025 yards which puts them in 22nd in the league. Overall, they have given up 365.3 yards per contest which puts them 16th in football. The Broncos rank 14th in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 24.5 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per run and 109.0 rushing yards per game for the year. In their 4 games, they have allowed 256.3 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.1%. During the season, they have allowed 436 rushing yards through 4 games.

The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this season. The last time they took the field they went up against the Kansas City Chiefs and took the loss by a score of 26-10. Damien Harris paced the team on the ground during the game. He had a long run of 41 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 100 yards via 17 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.9 yards per run. Damiere Byrd was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 80 yards on 5 catches. He averaged 16.0 yards per catch during the game. Brian Hoyer went 15/24 with 130 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with 1 interception on the day. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 35 times and earned 185 yards which had them averaging 5.3 yards per run. Overall, the Patriots racked up 21 1st downs and they had 4 penalties for 43 yards. In all, they ran 74 plays which added up to 357 yards. When discussing the defense, New England allowed 19 completions on 29 attempts totaling 229 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.0%. In the game, they conceded a total of 323 yards and forced 1 turnover. In the running game, the Patriots allowed 94 yards on 25 carries which gave them an average of 3.8 yards per carry allowed.

For the season to this point, the Patriots have a total of 865 passing yards in addition to an average of 216.3 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 24th in the NFL. The New England Patriots hold an average of 396.0 yards/game which ranks them 9th out of all teams in the league. They average 179.8 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 719 yards overall. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Patriots are 22nd out of all teams in the league averaging 24.3 points per contest. Concerning passing yardage, the Patriots have given up 935 yards which puts them in 12th in the NFL. In total, they have relinquished 349.0 yards/outing putting them at 9th in the league. The Patriots rank 10th in the league in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 23.0 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per tote and 115.3 yards on the ground per game for the year. In their 4 games, they are giving up 233.8 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 70.6%. During this campaign, they have allowed 461 running yards through 4 contests.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos +6

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