Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/28/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 16

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Date: Monday, December 28, 2020

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: New England +7

Total/Over-Under: 44

Cam Newton and the New England Patriots (6-8) host the Buffalo Bills (11-3) at Gillette Stadium on Monday, December 28, 2020. Buffalo opens this matchup as 7-point favorites. The total is set at 44.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 11-3 for this year. In their last game they took on the Denver Broncos and won 48-19. Josh Allen went 28/40 with 359 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. Zack Moss paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 26 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 81 yards by way of 13 carries which meant he averaged 6.2 yards per run. Stefon Diggs was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 147 yards on 11 catches. He notched an average of 13.4 yards per catch for the game. The Buffalo Bills ended up rushing 24 times and racked up a total of 182 yards which earned them an average of 7.6 yards per attempt. On the day, they finished with a total of 65 plays for a total of 534 yards. In the game, the Bills racked up a total of 29 1st downs and they had 8 penalties for 75 yards. In terms of defense, Buffalo allowed 20 completions on 32 attempts totaling 115 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. In the running game, the Bills allowed 140 yards on 28 tries which is an average of 5.0 yards per run allowed. In the game, they gave up 255 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

The Bills have racked up 5,414 total yards for the season. As a team they have an average of 108.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 21st in the league. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 32 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. When talking about scoring, the Buffalo Bills hold an average of 29.1 points per game. The Bills are ranked 16th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 24.3 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 121.4 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,699 rushing yards through 14 contests. When talking about yards via the pass, the Bills have allowed 3,286 yards which ranks them 15th in football. Over the course of their 14 games played, they are giving up 234.7 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.7%. During this campaign, they are giving up 356.1 yards per outing which ranks them 16th in the National Football League.

The Patriots head into this matchup 6-8 this season. In their last game they went up against the Miami Dolphins and took the loss by a score of 22-12. Sony Michel led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He scurried for 74 yards via 10 carries which gave him an average of 7.4 yards per carry. Jakobi Meyers was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 111 yards on 7 catches. He averaged 15.9 yards per reception for the game. Cam Newton went 17/27 with 209 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He ended the game with no interceptions. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 22 times and racked up 117 yards which had them averaging 5.3 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Patriots earned a total of 18 1st downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 20 yards. For the game, they ran 52 plays for a total of 303 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, New England allowed 20 catches on 26 tries for a total of 133 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.0%. Overall, they allowed a total of 383 yards and forced 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Patriots allowed 250 yards on 42 tries which means they had an average of 6.0 yards per run allowed.

Regarding how much they score, the Patriots are 27th in the league averaging 20.6 PPG. During the season so far, the Patriots have compiled 2,596 passing yards together with holding an average of 185.4 passing yards per outing, ranking them 30th in the NFL. They are averaging 145.4 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 2,035 yards overall. The New England Patriots hold an average of 330.8 yards per game which has them sitting 24th out of all teams in the NFL. The Patriots rank 7th in the league in relation to team defense, conceding 21.5 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 133.0 yards on the ground per game over the course of this season. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,862 rushing yards through 14 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Patriots have surrendered 2,974 yards which puts them in 6th in the league. In their 14 games played, they have relinquished 212.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they have yielded 345.4 yards per game which ranks them 11th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +7

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