Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, January 3, 2021

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons (4-11) head to Raymond James Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5). Tampa Bay opens this game as 6.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 50.5.

The Atlanta Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 4-11 for this season. In their last game they played the Kansas City Chiefs and lost 17-14. Matt Ryan went 27/35 with 300 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He walked away with no picks. Ito Smith paced the team on the ground for that game. He broke a long run for 14 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 46 yards on 10 carries which meant he averaged 4.6 yards per carry. Calvin Ridley led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 130 yards on 5 receptions. He averaged 26.0 yards per reception for that game. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball a total of 23 times and earned 90 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per rush. In the game, they finished with a total of 62 plays which added up to 367 yards. For the contest, the Falcons totaled 23 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 45 yards. In terms of defense, Atlanta gave up 24 completions on 45 tries for a total of 278 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.0%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 117 yards on 21 tries which is an average of 5.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they allowed a total of 395 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Falcons have earned 5,510 yards in total for the season. As a team they have an average of 93.7 yards in the run game ranking them 29th in the league. When it comes to scoring, Atlanta has earned 25 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Concerning scoring points, the Atlanta Falcons have an average of 24.6 points per outing. The Falcons rank 19th in the NFL in relation to team defense, allowing 24.7 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per tote and 105.5 yards on the ground per contest for the season. In total, they have given up 1,583 rushing yards through 15 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Falcons have surrendered 4,306 yards which has them sitting in 31st in the league. In their 15 games played, they have conceded 287.1 yards per game through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.3%. In total, they have allowed 392.6 yards per outing ranking them 28th in the NFL.

The Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 10-5 for this season. In their last game they took on the Detroit Lions and won 47-7. Ke'Shawn Vaughn paced the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 14 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for a total of 62 yards on 15 carries which meant he averaged 4.1 yards per run. Mike Evans was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 181 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 18.1 yards per reception for that contest. Tom Brady went 22/27 with 348 yards passing and completed 4 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the ball 26 times and earned 111 yards earning them an average of 4.3 yards per attempt. In the game, the Buccaneers racked up 30 1st downs and they had a total of 8 infractions for 65 yards. For the game, they finished with a total of 70 plays for a total of 588 yards. In terms of defense, Tampa Bay allowed 21 completions on 31 tries totaling 113 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. Overall, they conceded a total of 186 yards and forced 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Buccaneers allowed 73 yards on 15 attempts which gave them an average of 4.9 yards per carry allowed.

When discussing putting points on the board, the Buccaneers currently sit 5th in the NFL holding an average of 29.9 points per game. For the year to this point, the Buccaneers have thrown for a total of 4,235 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 282.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 3rd out of all NFL teams. They have an average of 95.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,425 yards for this year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 377.3 yards/game which has them ranked 11th in the NFL. When it comes to passing yardage, the Buccaneers have allowed 3,687 yards which has them sitting in 22nd in football. Overall, they are granting 323.3 yards per outing which puts them 6th in football. The Buccaneers are sitting in 7th in the National Football League regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 21.9 points per contest. They are allowing 3.5 yards per run and 77.5 rushing yards per game this year. During their 15 games played this year, they have allowed 245.8 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 69.3%. In total, they have given up 1,162 yards via the running game in 15 games.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +6.5

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