Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/22/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 11

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 22, 2020

Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Mercedes-Benz Superdome is the site where Jameis Winston and the New Orleans Saints (7-2) will take on the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) on Sunday. The odds on this game have New Orleans as 4.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 52.5.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a record of 3-6 for this season. In their last game they took on the Denver Broncos and won 34-27. Matt Ryan went 25/35 with 284 yards passing and tossed 3 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception on the day. Todd Gurley II led the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 13 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the contest. He rushed for 53 yards on 19 carries which gave him an average of 2.8 yards per run. Olamide Zaccheaus led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 103 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 25.8 yards per catch for the game. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball a total of 32 times and added 92 yards earning them an average of 2.9 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 69 plays which added up to 363 yards. For the contest, the Falcons earned 23 first downs and they totaled 5 infractions for 61 yards. When discussing the defense, Atlanta gave up 25 catches on 48 attempts for a total of 302 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.0%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 103 yards on 22 tries which means they had an average of 4.7 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 405 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 27.0 points per outing. As a team they maintain an average of 106.8 yards on the ground ranking this team at 18th in the league. The Falcons have attained 3,571 total yards for the season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Atlanta has amassed 15 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns via the ground. Regarding passing yardage, the Falcons have conceded 2,793 yards which puts them in 31st in the NFL. For the year, they are surrendering 410.0 yards/game putting them at 30th in the NFL. The Falcons sit in 25th in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 27.9 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 99.7 rushing yards per game this year. In their 9 games played this year, they have conceded 310.3 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 67.8%. For the season, they have allowed 897 running yards through 9 games.

The Saints head into this matchup 7-2 this year. In their last game they took on the San Francisco 49ers and notched a win by a score of 27-13. Latavius Murray paced the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 18 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 57 yards on 9 carries which meant he averaged 6.3 yards per carry. Alvin Kamara led the team in receiving yardage by earning 83 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 11.9 yards per reception for that game. Drew Brees went 8/13 with 76 yards passing and threw 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The New Orleans Saints ran the ball a total of 30 times and generated 114 yards which had them averaging 3.8 yards per carry. In the game, the Saints earned 17 first downs and they had 5 penalties for 61 yards. For the game, they ran 56 plays which added up to 237 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, New Orleans conceded 24 catches on 39 tries totaling 232 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. For this contest, they allowed 281 yards and earned 4 turnovers. On the ground, the Saints conceded 49 yards on 25 runs which is an average of 2.0 yards per attempt allowed.

For the year to this point, the Saints currently sit at 2,271 yards through the air along with an average of 252.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 15th in the league. The New Orleans Saints average 373.1 yards per outing which ranks them 12th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 120.8 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,087 yards for the season. When it comes to how much they score, the Saints rank 5th in football holding an average of 30.1 PPG. When it comes to passing yards, the Saints have surrendered 2,083 yards which puts them in 12th in the NFL. Overall, they are surrendering 308.2 yards/contest which has them sitting 4th in the league. The Saints sit in 13th in the National Football League regarding team defense, allowing 23.7 points per game. They are giving up 3.3 yards per rush and 76.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of their 9 games played this season, they are allowing 231.4 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 65.0%. For the year, they have allowed 691 rushing yards through 9 contests.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +4.5

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