Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 12/27/2020 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 16

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, December 27, 2020

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -10.5

Total/Over-Under: 54

Arrowhead Stadium is the site where Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) will play the Atlanta Falcons (4-10) on Sunday. Atlanta opens this matchup as 10.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 54.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this matchup 4-10 for this season. In their last outing they faced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and lost 31-27. Matt Ryan went 34/49 with 356 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He walked away with no picks. Ito Smith paced the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 7 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 24 yards by way of 6 carries which meant he averaged 4.0 yards per tote. Calvin Ridley was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 163 yards on 10 catches. He notched an average of 16.3 yards per catch in the game. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball 13 times and earned a total of 37 yards which earned them an average of 2.8 yards per rush. In the game, they finished with a total of 65 plays for 369 yards. For the game, the Falcons earned 23 first downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 28 yards. When discussing the defense, Atlanta conceded 31 completions on 45 throws for a total of 365 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 51 yards on 18 runs which is an average of 2.8 yards per run allowed. For the game, they gave up 416 yards but didn't get any takeaways.

When it comes to scoring, the Atlanta Falcons hold an average of 25.4 points per game. Offensively they average 93.9 yards in the run game ranking them 28th in the NFL. The Falcons have tallied 5,143 yards in total over the course of this year. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Atlanta has totaled 23 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Concerning passing yards, the Falcons have allowed 4,028 yards which ranks them 31st in the NFL. During this campaign, they have given up 392.4 yards/contest putting them 28th in football. The Falcons rank 18th in the league in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 25.2 PPG. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rush and 104.7 yards on the ground per game over the course of this season. During their 14 games, they are giving up 287.7 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 69.6%. During the season, they have given up 1,466 rushing yards through 14 contests.

The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 13-1 this year. The last time they took the field they took on the New Orleans Saints and earned the win by a score of 32-29. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 16 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 79 yards on 14 carries which gave him an average of 5.6 yards per carry. Travis Kelce was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 68 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 8.5 yards per reception for that contest. Patrick Mahomes went 26/47 with 254 yards passing and added 3 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 41 times and earned a total of 179 yards which earned them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. For the game, the Chiefs racked up a total of 34 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 54 yards. On the day, they ran 92 plays which gave them a total of 411 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Kansas City allowed 15 catches on 34 throws totaling 225 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.0%. On the day, they conceded 285 yards and forced 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Chiefs allowed 60 yards on 17 tries which is an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

During the season to this point, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 4,359 passing yards as well as holding an average of 311.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 1st in football. The Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 427.9 yards/outing which ranks them 1st out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 116.5 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,631 yards for this year. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Chiefs are ranking 2nd in the NFL with an average of 31.1 points per outing. Regarding passing yards, the Chiefs have surrendered 3,221 yards which ranks them 10th in football. For the season, they are granting 353.6 yards/outing ranking them 15th in the National Football League. The Chiefs sit in 8th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 22.1 PPG. They are allowing 4.6 yards per run and 123.5 rushing yards per contest this season. During their 14 games, they have conceded 230.1 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.1%. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,729 running yards through 14 games.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +10.5

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