Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers NFL Picks & Predictions 1/11/2020

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Date: Saturday, January 11th, 2020

NFC Divisional Playoff

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers host the Minnesota Vikings at Levi's Stadium on Saturday, January 11th, 2020. The spread on this contest has San Francisco as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 45.5. The Vikings are 11-6-0 ATS and 9-8-0 when betting on the total. The 49ers are 8-7-1 when wagering on the over/under and 13-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Minnesota Vikings played the New Orleans Saints and won 26-20. Dalvin Cook led the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 22 yards and he added 2 touchdowns during the game. He rushed for 94 yards by way of 28 carries which meant he averaged 3.4 yards per carry. Adam Thielen was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 129 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 18.4 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Vikings was Kirk Cousins who went 19/31 with 242 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Minnesota Vikings ran the ball a total of 40 times and racked up a total of 136 yards which had them averaging 3.4 yards per rush. In the game, the Vikings got 22 1st downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 26 yards. In all, they ran 74 plays which added up to 362 yards. When discussing the defense, Minnesota gave up 27 catches on 34 throws for a total of 227 yards, and a completion percentage of 79.0%. On the ground, the Vikings gave up 97 yards on 17 carries which means they had an average of 5.7 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 324 yards and forced 2 takeaways. Another matchup you may want to look into is the pick from Guy Bruhn on the Titans vs Ravens game.

The Vikings come into this game with a record of 10-6 for the 2019 season. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring among NFC North teams and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game. For total yardage, they rank 9th among NFC teams and 16th in the league with 5,656 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Vikings currently have a total of 26 passing touchdowns and 19 rushing TDs. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 25 points per contest, which has them at 8th in the league. As a unit, they are averaging 133 yards on the ground per game which is 4th among NFC teams.

The Vikings have one of the top tier defenses in the league, giving up 18.9 points per game ranking them 2nd in the conference. When talking about yards rushing, Minnesota is giving up 108.0 yards per contest putting them 2nd among NFC North teams and 13th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per carry ranking them 10th in the conference and 19th in the NFL overall. Overall, they have allowed 2,133 yards rushing through 16 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Vikings have allowed 3,737 yards. Teams are completing 65.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.8 yards per try. They have allowed 23 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing TDs.

The last time they took the field, the San Francisco 49ers went up against the Seattle Seahawks and won by a score of 26-21. Running the show from under center for the 49ers was Jimmy Garoppolo who went 18/22 with 285 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Raheem Mostert paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards and he ran for 2 touchdowns for the contest. He rushed for a total of 57 yards via 10 carries which meant he averaged 5.7 yards per carry. Deebo Samuel led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 102 yards on 5 catches. He earned an average of 20.4 yards per catch for the game. The San Francisco 49ers ran the football 24 times and totaled 128 yards which had them averaging 5.3 yards per rush. In the game, they ran 48 plays for a total of 398 yards. In the game, the 49ers racked up a total of 18 first downs and they had 8 penalties for 57 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, San Francisco conceded 25 catches on 40 tries for a total of 223 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. Against the run, the 49ers conceded 125 yards on 30 attempts which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they conceded a total of 348 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. Josh Schonwald has a free pick for the contest between the Texans and Chiefs.

The 49ers come into this matchup with a record of 13-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the 49ers have an offense that could be called mediocre in the league. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the 49ers sit in 1st in the division and 2nd out of all the teams in the league averaging 29.9 points per game. San Francisco is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 144 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 2nd in the league. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 2,305 rushing yards through 16 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The 49ers average 381 yards per game overall putting them 4th among NFL teams and 3rd among NFC teams.

The 49ers are conceding 19.4 points per contest ranking them 1st in the division and 8th in the league. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 310 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are giving up 113 yards per game ranking them 17th among NFL teams and 1st in the division. For 2019, they have given up 1,802 yards on the ground and 11 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the best units in the league. They are allowing 169 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the 49ers are currently ranked 1st among NFC teams. They have allowed 23 passing TDs for 2019.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/49ers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Vikings +7.5

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