Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Picks 1/12/2020

Game: Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 12th, 2020

AFC Divisional Playoff

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -7

Total/Over-Under: 50

Arrowhead Stadium is the site where Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Houston Texans on Sunday. The line on this game has Kansas City as 7-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 50. The Texans are 11-6-0 ATS and 7-10-0 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 8-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 12-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Houston Texans played the Buffalo Bills and ended up getting the win by a score of 22-19. Deshaun Watson paced the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 20 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He scurried for 55 yards on 14 carries which gave him an average of 3.9 yards per carry. DeAndre Hopkins led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 90 yards on 6 catches. He earned an average of 15.0 yards per catch for that game. Running the show from under center for the Texans was Deshaun Watson who went 20/25 with 247 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Houston Texans ran the ball 33 times and added 141 yards earning them an average of 4.3 yards per attempt. In the game, they ran 65 plays for a total of 360 yards. For the contest, the Texans racked up 19 first downs and they had 4 penalties for 20 yards. When discussing the defense, Houston allowed 25 completions on 48 attempts for a total of 253 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.0%. On the ground, the Texans allowed 172 yards on 30 runs which gave them an average of 5.7 yards per run allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 425 yards and earned 1 takeaway. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Parlays Pundit on the Seahawks vs Packers game.

The Texans come into this matchup with a record of 10-6 this year. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league averaging 24 points per contest, ranking them 14th among all NFL teams. As a unit, they have an average of 126 yards on the ground per contest which is 5th in the AFC. For total yards, they currently sit at 6th in the AFC and 13th among all NFL teams with 5,792 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Texans have compiled a total of 27 passing TDs and 17 rushing touchdowns. They are a team that has the capability to score points in the AFC South and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup.

The Texans have one of the average defenses in the league, allowing 24.1 points per game ranking them 11th in the AFC. In discussing rushing yards, Houston is allowing 121.1 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the AFC South and 25th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush which has them at 13th among AFC teams and 27th among NFL teams overall. Overall, they have allowed 2,009 yards rushing through 16 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Texans have conceded 4,276 yards. Teams are completing 64.0% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.9 yards per try. They have conceded 33 passing TDs and 12 rushing touchdowns.

In their last contest, the Kansas City Chiefs went up against the Los Angeles Chargers and earned the victory by a score of 31-21. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 16/25 with 174 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He threw 1 pick in the game. Damien Williams led the team in rushing for that game. He tore off a long run of 84 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for 124 yards via 12 carries which meant he was running for 10.3 yards per run. Tyreek Hill was the receiving yardage leader by earning 61 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 15.3 yards per reception for that game. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 23 times and earned 162 yards which earned them an average of 7.0 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, they finished with a total of 48 plays which added up to 336 yards. For the contest, the Chiefs racked up 16 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 39 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Kansas City conceded 31 catches on 46 tries totaling 258 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.0%. Against the run, the Chiefs conceded 108 yards on 25 tries which means they had an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed a total of 366 yards and earned 2 turnovers. Tony Sink has a free NFL pick ATS for the contest between the Vikings and 49ers.

The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 12-4. Kansas City hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 98 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 23rd in the NFL. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,569 rushing yards through 16 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Chiefs average 379 yards per contest overall which has them at 6th in the league and 2nd among AFC teams. When looking at their ability to score points, the Chiefs sit in 1st in the AFC West and 5th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 28.2 points per game.

The Chiefs are conceding 19.3 points per game which puts them at 1st among AFC West teams and 7th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 308 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are conceding 128 yards per contest ranking them 26th in the league and 4th in the AFC West. For this year, they have allowed 2,051 rushing yards and 14 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the league. They are giving up 221 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Chiefs are ranked 7th in the conference. They have conceded 21 passing touchdowns for 2019.

Who will win tonight's Texans/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans +7

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