49ers vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Tips 2/2/20

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, February 2, 2020

Super Bowl LIV

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs play the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, February 2 in Super Bowl LIV. San Francisco opens this game as 1.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 52.5. The 49ers are 15-3-0 ATS and 9-8-1 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 10-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 14-4-0 against the spread.

In the NFC Championship game, the San Francisco 49ers played the Green Bay Packers and won 37-20. Running the show from under center for the 49ers was Jimmy Garoppolo who went 6/8 with 77 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He ended the game without an interception. Raheem Mostert led the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 36 yards and he ran for 4 touchdowns for the game. He rushed for a total of 220 yards via 29 carries which means he ran for an average of 7.6 yards per run. Deebo Samuel was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 46 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 23.0 yards per catch for that contest. The San Francisco 49ers ended up rushing 42 times and racked up 285 yards which had them averaging 6.8 yards per carry. In the game, the 49ers earned a total of 19 1st downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 10 yards. In all, they ran 51 plays which gave them a total of 354 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, San Francisco conceded 31 completions on 39 tries for a total of 296 yards, and a completion percentage of 79.0%. Against the run, the 49ers conceded 62 yards on 16 runs which is an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 358 yards and forced 3 turnovers.

The 49ers head into this matchup after finishing 13-3 for 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the league averaging 30 points per contest, which has them at 2nd in the NFL. As a unit, they are averaging 144 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 3rd in the conference and 4th in the NFL with 6,097 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the 49ers have compiled a total of 28 passing TDs and 23 rushing touchdowns. They are one of the dangerous teams in the NFC West and they are capable of putting up big points on any given night.

The 49ers have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, giving up 19.4 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the NFC. When it comes to passing yards, the 49ers have conceded 2,707 yards. Teams are completing 61.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 4.8 yards per try. They have allowed 23 passing TDs and 11 rushing touchdowns. When it comes to yards on the ground, San Francisco is giving up 112.6 yards per contest putting them 1st in the division and 17th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per carry which has them at 12th in the NFC and 23rd in the NFL overall. In total, they have conceded 2,305 rushing yards through 16 contests.

In their last outing, the Kansas City Chiefs faced the Tennessee Titans and ended up getting the victory by a score of 35-24. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 23/35 with 294 yards passing and tossed 3 touchdowns. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Patrick Mahomes paced the team on the ground for that contest. He broke a long run for 27 yards and he ran for 1 TD in the game. He racked up a total of 53 yards on 8 carries which gave him an average of 6.6 yards per carry. Sammy Watkins was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 114 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 16.3 yards per catch for that contest. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up running the ball 27 times and earned a total of 112 yards earning them an average of 4.1 yards per run. On the day, the Chiefs earned a total of 27 first downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 61 yards. Overall, they totaled 64 plays which gave them a total of 404 yards. When discussing the defense, Kansas City conceded 22 completions on 32 throws for a total of 210 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. For this contest, they allowed 295 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. Against the run, the Chiefs conceded 85 yards on 23 carries which is an average of 3.7 yards per run allowed.

The Chiefs head into this matchup after finishing the year 12-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Chiefs have one of the better offenses in the league. When looking at their ability to score points, the Chiefs currently sit at 1st among AFC West teams and 5th out of all the teams in the league averaging 28.2 points per game. Kansas City needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 98 rushing yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,569 yards rushing through 16 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chiefs average 379 yards per game overall ranking them 6th in the league and 2nd in the AFC.

The Chiefs are giving up 19.3 points per game which puts them at 1st among AFC West teams and 7th in the NFL. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in the NFL. They are conceding 221 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Chiefs are currently ranked 7th in the AFC. They have allowed 21 passing TDs for this year. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 308 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 128 yards per contest which puts them at 26th in the league and 4th among AFC West teams. For this year, they have given up 2,051 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's 49ers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the 49ers +1.5

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