Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers MNF Picks
Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions head to Lambeau Field on Monday where they'll meet the Green Bay Packers. The line on this matchup has Green Bay as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 46.5. The Lions are 2-1-1 ATS and 3-1-0 when betting on the total. The Packers are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-1-0 against the spread.
In their last contest, the Detroit Lions played the Kansas City Chiefs and were beaten 34-30. Kerryon Johnson led the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 14 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for 125 yards via 26 carries which meant he averaged 4.8 yards per run. Marvin Jones Jr. was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 77 yards on 3 catches. He had an average of 25.7 yards per catch during the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Lions was Matthew Stafford who went 21/34 with 291 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. The Detroit Lions ran the ball 35 times and earned 186 yards earning them an average of 5.3 yards per run. Overall, the Lions had a total of 29 first downs and they had a total of 8 infractions for 48 yards. On the day, they totaled 73 plays for 447 yards. When discussing the defense, Detroit allowed 24 catches on 42 throws totaling 315 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.0%. For the game, they conceded 438 yards and earned 3 takeaways. Against the run, the Lions allowed 123 yards on 25 tries which gave them an average of 4.9 yards per attempt allowed. Another game you may want to bet on is the pick from Alan Matthews on the Giants vs Patriots game.
Lions Dip to 2-1-1 After Loss
The Lions head into this matchup 2-1-1 for this year. They are a team that has the capability to score points in the NFC North and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup. For total yardage, they currently sit at 14th in the NFC and 26th in the league with 1,550 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Lions currently have a total of 9 passing TDs and 1 rushing touchdown. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 24 points per game, which has them at 12th in the league. As a unit, they are averaging 121 rushing yards per game which is 2nd in the conference.
The Lions have one of the average defenses in the league, giving up 23.8 points per contest ranking them 10th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Lions have conceded 1,123 yards. Opponents are completing 55.4% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.3 yards per try. They have conceded 4 passing TDs and 5 rushing TDs. In terms of yards on the ground, Detroit is giving up 124.8 yards per game which has them at 3rd among NFC North teams and 20th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush putting them 13th in the conference and 24th among NFL teams overall. Overall, they have allowed 482 yards rushing through 4 games.
The last time they played, the Green Bay Packers played the Dallas Cowboys and ended up getting the victory by a score of 34-24. Leading the way at QB for the Packers was Aaron Rodgers who went 22/34 with 238 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Aaron Jones led the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 18 yards and he tallied 4 TD's for the game. He racked up a total of 107 yards via 19 carries which meant he was running for 5.6 yards per run. Aaron Jones was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 75 yards on 7 catches. He earned an average of 10.7 yards per catch for that contest. Check out where the Packers are ranked in Doc's Week 6 NFL power rankings. The Green Bay Packers ended up rushing 29 times and generated 120 yards earning them an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they ran 65 plays for 335 yards. Overall, the Packers racked up 24 first downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 78 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Green Bay gave up 27 completions on 44 attempts for a total of 441 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.0%. In the running game, the Packers gave up 122 yards on 21 runs which gave them an average of 5.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they conceded 563 yards and forced 3 turnovers.
Packers Better their mark to 4-1 After Win
The Packers come into this matchup with a record of 4-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Packers have one of the average offenses in the NFL. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Packers are currently ranked 2nd in the NFC North and 13th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 23.8 points per game. Green Bay hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 93 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 23rd in the league. As a team, they have a total of 465 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Packers average 337 yards per game overall putting them 25th in the league and 14th in the conference.
The Packers are conceding 18.6 points per contest which puts them at 3rd in the division and 8th among NFL teams. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 93 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are conceding 138 yards per contest ranking them 26th in the league and 4th in the NFC North. For this season, they have allowed 691 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in the league. They are giving up 239 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Packers sit in 6th in the conference. They have conceded 6 passing TDs this season.
Who will win tonight's Lions/Packers NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Packers -5.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks Free NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Expert NFL Picks