Chiefs vs Chargers Picks, Predictions, Week 11 Odds 11/18/2019

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Monday, November 18, 2019

Week 11

Location: Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, MX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: LA +3

Total/Over-Under: 49

Estadio Azteca is the site where Philip Rivers and the Los Angeles Chargers will play the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. The odds on this matchup have Kansas City as 3-point favorites. The O/U is set at 49. The Chiefs are 6-4-0 ATS and 7-3-0 when betting on the total. The Chargers are 3-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-6-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Kansas City Chiefs faced the Tennessee Titans and lost 35-32. Damien Williams paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 15 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 77 yards by way of 19 carries which had him averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Tyreek Hill was the receiving yardage leader by earning 157 yards on 11 receptions. He averaged 14.3 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 36/50 with 446 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs rushed the ball a total of 25 times and earned 97 yards which had them averaging 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Chiefs earned 28 1st downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 80 yards. On the day, they totaled 78 plays for 530 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas City allowed 13 completions on 19 tries totaling 146 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. For the game, they gave up 371 yards and forced 1 turnover. In the running game, the Chiefs allowed 225 yards on 26 runs which means they had an average of 8.7 yards per carry allowed. Josh Schonwald has a pick for the game between the Jaguars and Colts.

Chiefs Worsen Their Record to 6-4 After Loss

The Chiefs head into this matchup 6-4 this year. They are one of the most potent offenses in the league averaging 28 points per game, ranking them 5th in the league. As a unit, they have an average of 91 yards on the ground per game which is 11th among AFC teams. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 1st among AFC teams and 1st in the league with 4,047 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Chiefs currently have a total of 22 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They are one of the dangerous teams among AFC West teams and they have the ability to run the score up on teams.

The Chiefs have one of the average defenses in the league, giving up 23.9 points per contest which has them at 11th among AFC teams. In terms of rushing yards, Kansas City is allowing 148.1 yards per contest which has them at 4th in the AFC West and 31st in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per carry which has them at 15th in the AFC and 30th in the league overall. In total, they have conceded 908 rushing yards through 10 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Chiefs have conceded 2,214 yards. Opponents are completing 63.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.9 yards per attempt. They have allowed 16 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns.

In their last game, the Los Angeles Chargers took on the Oakland Raiders and took the defeat by a score of 26-24. Melvin Gordon led the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 24 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for a total of 108 yards on 22 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.9 yards per run. Keenan Allen was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 68 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 8.5 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Chargers was Philip Rivers who went 17/31 with 207 yards passing and completed 2 touchdowns. He gave away 3 interceptions in the game. The Los Angeles Chargers ended up running the ball 30 times and earned a total of 146 yards earning them an average of 4.9 yards per rushing attempt. For the contest, the Chargers had a total of 26 first downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 70 yards. In the game, they ran 66 plays which gave them a total of 315 yards. When discussing the defense, Los Angeles gave up 21 catches on 31 throws for a total of 200 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. In the running game, the Chargers gave up 78 yards on 21 attempts which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up 278 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. for the game between NFL pick ATS from Guy Bruhn on the Falcons vs Panthers game.

Chargers Slide to 4-6 After Loss

The Chargers come into this game with a record of 4-6. In discussing the offensive production, the Chargers leave a lot to be desired in terms of scoring in the NFL. When looking at their ability to score points, the Chargers currently sit at 3rd in the AFC West and 21st out of all the teams in the league with an average of 20.7 points per contest. Los Angeles hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 86 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 26th among NFL teams. As a unit, they have a total of 861 rushing yards through 10 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chargers average 356 yards per game overall putting them 16th in the league and 7th in the conference.

The Chargers are giving up 19.4 points per contest ranking them 2nd in the AFC West and 8th in the NFL. In discussing points allowed, they have given up 194 total points. When talking about yards rushing, they are allowing 111 yards per game which puts them at 19th among NFL teams and 3rd in the AFC West. For the 2019 season, they have allowed 1,105 yards rushing and 7 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups among NFL teams. They are conceding 208 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Chargers are ranked 4th in the conference. They have allowed 14 passing TDs this year.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chargers +3

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