Bills vs Dolphins Picks, Predictions, Week 11 Odds 11/17/2019

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2019

Week 11

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Miami +7.5

Total/Over-Under: 39

Hard Rock Stadium is the site where Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Miami Dolphins will play the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The line on this game has Buffalo as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 39. The Bills are 6-3-0 ATS and 2-7-0 when betting on the total. The Dolphins are 3-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-7-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Buffalo Bills faced the Cleveland Browns and took the loss by a score of 19-16. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bills was Josh Allen who went 22/41 with 266 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 10 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for 42 yards by way of 8 carries which meant he was running for 5.3 yards per carry. John Brown led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 77 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 15.4 yards per catch for the game. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 20 times and racked up a total of 84 yards which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per carry. In all, they finished with a total of 62 plays for 344 yards. For the contest, the Bills earned a total of 20 1st downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 40 yards. When discussing the defense, Buffalo conceded 26 catches on 38 attempts for a total of 221 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. For this contest, they gave up 368 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways. On the ground, the Bills conceded 147 yards on 26 tries which is an average of 5.7 yards per run allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the NFL pick from Josh Schonwald on the Bengals vs Raiders game.

Bills Slide to 6-3 After Loss

The Bills head into this game 6-3 for the 2019 season. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the league averaging 19 points per contest, ranking them 25th among all NFL teams. As a team, they have an average of 124 rushing yards per game which is 6th among AFC teams. For total yards, they rank 11th among AFC teams and 25th among all NFL teams with 3,032 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Bills currently have a total of 10 passing TDs and 10 rushing touchdowns. They are a low scoring offensive team in the division and they will have to really have a good night if they want to have a good offensive game.

The Bills have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, allowing 16.7 points per contest ranking them 2nd in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bills have allowed 1,698 yards. Opponents are completing 61.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.2 yards per try. They have allowed 7 passing TDs and 9 rushing touchdowns. In terms of rushing yards, Buffalo is allowing 115.6 yards per contest putting them 3rd in the division and 21st in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.5 yards per rush which has them at 10th in the conference and 20th in the NFL overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,119 rushing yards through 9 games.

In their last game, the Miami Dolphins faced the Indianapolis Colts and ended up getting the victory by a score of 16-12. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Dolphins was Ryan Fitzpatrick who went 21/33 with 169 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. Kalen Ballage led the team on the ground in the game. His longest run of the day went for 7 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 43 yards via 20 carries which gave him an average of 2.2 yards per carry. DeVante Parker was the receiving yardage leader by earning 69 yards on 5 receptions. He averaged 13.8 yards per catch in the game. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 26 times and added 70 yards giving them an average of 2.7 yards per rush. For the game, the Dolphins racked up a total of 13 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 30 yards. For the game, they finished with a total of 62 plays which added up to 229 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Miami gave up 18 catches on 39 tries totaling 191 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.0%. Overall, they allowed 300 yards and forced 3 turnovers. In the running game, the Dolphins gave up 109 yards on 29 tries which gave them an average of 3.8 yards per carry allowed. Guy Bruhn has a pick for the contest between the Patriots and Eagles.

Dolphins Now 2-7 After Win

The Dolphins head into this matchup 2-7. In discussing the offensive production, the Dolphins have one of the most lackluster offenses in the league. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Dolphins currently sit at 4th in the AFC East and 31st out of all the teams in the league with an average of 13.2 points per game. Miami is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 64 rushing yards per game, ranking them 32nd in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 580 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Dolphins average 259 yards per contest overall putting them 31st among NFL teams and 15th among AFC teams.

The Dolphins are conceding 29.8 points per contest which puts them at 4th among AFC East teams and 31st in the league. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in the NFL. They are conceding 245 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Dolphins sit in 10th in the conference. They have conceded 20 passing TDs this year. In discussing points allowed, they have given up 268 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are giving up 146 yards per contest ranking them 30th among NFL teams and 4th in the AFC East. For 2019, they have given up 1,315 yards rushing and 8 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -7.5

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