NFL Betting Odds: Week 4 Line Movements and Last-Minute News

For those of you who stayed committed to the NFL and watched the Thursday night game between Philadelphia and Green Bay, congratulations on your reward. You got to see an actual football game that had a little bit of everything and that was actually good football - outside of anyone who was trying to cover Davante Adams.

However, one of the biggest talking points from that game was the helmet-to-helmet hit that Derek Barnett laid on Jamaal Williams. Sure, there was a late flag thrown for unnecessary roughness, but that hit was so egregious that Barnett should have been ejected from the game and subsequently suspended for a game or two. Instead, Barnett wasn't ejected, won't face a suspension, and essentially was a key factor later in the game, forcing a fumble and setting up Philadelphia with a short field to work on which they scored a touchdown.

From a Packers perspective, that game should have never been close enough for the Eagles to win the game outright, let alone cover the spread. But I digress. The referees are humans and they make mistakes - more mistakes than most people on this planet, but that's a story for another day.

Here are some line moves or potential game-changing injury notes for Week 4.

Cleveland at Baltimore -7, 45 : When you hear things like Baker Mayfield is the sober version of Johnny Manziel, you know that your situation isn't going great. Mayfield has struggled so far this season, and as such, the Browns are 1-2 on the season despite all the offseason hype that surrounded the team. Thankfully, Odell Beckham Jr. hasn't done anything stupid, but there's still lots of football to be played. Now they have to deal with a good Baltimore team who could very well be 3-0 after a hard-fought loss to KC last week. This spread opened with the Ravens laying five but has since been bet up to seven, with the total dropping from 46.5 to 45. What this game comes down to is who we really trust more - a disciplined Ravens squad with a good head coach, or a team like the Browns who are among the top teams in penalties and coach by a guy who called up a draw play on fourth-and-9 from his own side of the field. We see the reason for the line to shoot up, and if you're not quick, this may even get -7.5, which would then change the dynamic of the NFL handicapping for this game.

Seattle @ Arizona +5.5, 48: This spread opened up as Seahawks -3 but has since shot up to Seahawks -5.5, and we're not exactly sure why that is. Are the Seahawks good enough to be laying essentially a touchdown on the road? Probably not. Are the Cardinals good enough to stay inside a spread lower than a touchdown? The jury is still out. The Seahawks should be embarrassed by their performance last week against the Saints as they laid an absolute egg on home soil. It seemed like every time I blinked that I saw Chris Carson slipping on the turf for a loss of two yards. The Cardinals were also humbled at home against a backup QB in Kyle Allen. I'm not sold on betting this game either way, but with the total now up to 48 from opening at 46, bettors are expecting points, and I'm inclined to agree with that.

Related: Tony's Free ATS Picks for Seattle vs. Arizona

Dallas @ New Orleans +2.5, 47: This Sunday Night Football game should be one of the best games of the season. You have a 3-0 Dallas squad that everyone is in love with, traveling to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints in what's going to be a raucous Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The spread opened with the Cowboys laying 1.5 points but has been bet up the current line of 2.5. I'm not rushing to the window to bet against prime-time home underdogs, but the Cowboys are for real (apparently). And until they prove otherwise, they'll be a "play on" team this season. We all know about the injury player theory, and the Saints proved it was a thing last week when they rallied behind Bridgewater for the win in Seattle. This is the second game for Bridgewater, and we are likely to see a natural letdown for the Saints in this spot. If you want the Saints, try and make sure to get +3, as anything lower than that is a bad bet.

Washington at New York Giants -3, 49.5: And lastly, the New York Giants and their savior, Daniel Jones, return home to take on the dumpster fire that is the Washington Redskins. We all know how each of these teams fared last week - one team won a track meet, while the other had more turnovers than a bakery. However, the Giants should not be laying -3 with their defense to anyone. What we do like is that the over in this football game, but so does everyone else, and as such the total has risen from an opening of 46 all the way to 49.5. The reality of the matter is that the Redskins offense can't be any worse than it was last week against a real defense in the Bears. The Giants defense is in shambles, and we expect Keenum to bounce back in a big way and move the ball up and down the field. Life without Saquon is going to be tough for the Giants to overcome, but Jones should do enough to move the ball and put points on the board through the air and with his own legs. This game likely flies over the number.

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