Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots Picks, Odds, AFC Wild Card Predictions 1/4/2020

Game: Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Date: Saturday, January 4th, 2020

AFC Wild Card

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

Gillette Stadium is the venue where Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will play the Tennessee Titans on Saturday in an AFC Wild Card game. The line on this game has New England as 4.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 40.5. The Titans are 9-7-0 ATS and 10-6-0 when betting on the total. The Patriots are 7-9-0 when wagering on the over/under and 12-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Tennessee Titans went up against the Houston Texans and won 35-14. Running the show from under center for the Titans was Ryan Tannehill who went 13/20 with 198 yards through the air and threw 2 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions. Derrick Henry paced the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 53 yards and he tallied 3 TD's for the contest. He rushed for a total of 211 yards on 32 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.6 yards per run. A.J. Brown was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 124 yards on 4 catches. He averaged 31.0 yards per catch in the game. The Tennessee Titans ran the football 39 times and earned 245 yards which had them averaging 6.3 yards per rush. On the day, the Titans totaled 25 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 37 yards. Overall, they totaled 60 plays which added up to 467 yards. When discussing the defense, Tennessee gave up 21 completions on 36 throws for a total of 192 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.0%. On the ground, the Titans gave up 109 yards on 25 runs which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per run allowed. In the game, they conceded a total of 301 yards and forced 1 turnover. Josh Schonwald has a free pick for the contest between the Vikings and Saints.

Titans are 9-7 After Win

The Titans head into this game 9-7 in 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league with an average of 25 points per game, ranking them 10th among all NFL teams. As a team, they are averaging 139 rushing yards per game which is 2nd among AFC teams. For total yardage, they currently sit at 5th in the AFC and 12th among all NFL teams with 5,805 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Titans currently have a total of 29 passing touchdowns and 21 rushing touchdowns. They are a team that has the capability to score points in the AFC South and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup.

The Titans have one of the best defenses in the league, allowing 20.7 points per game putting them 7th in the conference. In discussing yards on the ground, Tennessee is giving up 104.5 yards per game which has them at 2nd among AFC South teams and 12th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush which has them at 4th among AFC teams and 7th in the NFL overall. In total, they have allowed 2,223 yards rushing through 16 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Titans have conceded 4,080 yards. Teams are completing 64.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.4 yards per try. They have allowed 25 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.

The last time they took the field, the New England Patriots played the Miami Dolphins and ended up taking the loss by a score of 27-24. Sony Michel paced the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 9 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 74 yards by way of 18 carries which meant he averaged 4.1 yards per run. Phillip Dorsett II was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 50 yards on 2 receptions. He earned an average of 25.0 yards per catch for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 16/29 with 221 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He tossed 1 pick on the day. The New England Patriots ran the ball 27 times and racked up 135 yards which had them averaging 5.0 yards per attempt. Overall, the Patriots racked up a total of 18 1st downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 54 yards. For the game, they ran 57 plays which added up to 352 yards. In terms of defense, New England gave up 29 completions on 44 tries for a total of 326 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.0%. Overall, they allowed 389 yards but weren't able to force a turnover. On the ground, the Patriots gave up 63 yards on 22 carries which gave them an average of 2.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Parlays Pundit on the Seahawks vs Eagles game.

Patriots Drop to 12-4 After Loss

The Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 12-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Patriots have one of the middle tier offenses in the NFL. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Patriots currently sit at 1st in the AFC East and 7th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 26.3 points per game. New England needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 106 rushing yards per game, ranking them 18th in the league. As a unit, they have a total of 1,703 rushing yards through 16 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Patriots average 354 yards per game overall which has them at 15th in the NFL and 7th in the AFC.

The Patriots are allowing 14.1 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the division and 1st among NFL teams. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 225 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are conceding 96 yards per game which puts them at 6th in the league and 2nd in the AFC East. In 2019, they have allowed a total of 1,528 yards rushing and 7 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the top groups among NFL teams. They are conceding 180 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Patriots currently sit at 1st in the conference. They have conceded 13 passing TDs this season.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots -4.5

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