Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons Expert NFL Picks 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the site where Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will play the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Atlanta opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 46.5. The Titans are 1-2-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key Tennessee Titans Injuries

09/21/19 RB David Fluellen Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/21/19 G Kevin Pamphile Knee is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/19/19 LB Wesley Woodyard Quad is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/04/19 K Ryan Succop Knee IR
07/24/19 T Taylor Lewan Suspension 4-game suspension (elgible to return 10/6 vs Buffalo)

Key Atlanta Falcons Injuries

09/24/19 RB Kenjon Barner Concussion is questionable Sunday vs Tennessee
09/24/19 DT Grady Jarrett Toe is probable Sunday vs Tennessee
09/24/19 S Keanu Neal Achilles IR
09/22/19 RB Ito Smith Concussion injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs Tennessee
09/22/19 P Matt Bosher Groin is questionable Sunday vs Tennessee
09/22/19 DE Takkarist McKinley Knee injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs Tennessee
09/09/19 G Chris Lindstrom Foot IR
09/02/19 QB Kurt Benkert Toe IR
09/02/19 DT Michael Bennett Ankle IR
09/02/19 DE Steven Means Achilles IR
07/22/19 S J.J. Wilcox ACL IR

In their last game, the Tennessee Titans faced the Jacksonville Jaguars and were defeated 20-7. Derrick Henry led the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 11 yards and he added 1 TD during the game. He rushed for a total of 44 yards on 17 carries which meant he was running for 2.6 yards per run. Adam Humphries led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 93 yards on 6 catches. He had an average of 15.5 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Titans was Marcus Mariota who went 23/40 with 304 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick.

The Titans step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this season. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring among AFC South teams and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 13th in the AFC and 27th among all NFL teams with 922 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Titans currently have a total of 4 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing TDs. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league averaging 22 points per contest, ranking them 15th among all NFL teams. As a team, they are averaging 113 rushing yards per contest which is 3rd in the conference.

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The Titans have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, allowing 17.3 points per game which has them at 3rd in the AFC. When it comes to rushing yards, Tennessee is allowing 119.0 yards per contest ranking them 4th in the division and 21st in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush putting them 11th among AFC teams and 22nd in the league overall. Overall, they have allowed 338 rushing yards through 3 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Titans have conceded 569 yards. Opponents are completing 64.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.5 yards per try. They have allowed 6 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing TD.

The last time they played, the Atlanta Falcons went up against the Indianapolis Colts and were beaten 27-24. Running the show from under center for the Falcons was Matt Ryan who went 29/34 with 304 yards passing and threw 3 TD's. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. Devonta Freeman led the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 28 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 88 yards by way of 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.5 yards per carry. Julio Jones was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 128 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 16.0 yards per reception for the game.

The Falcons head into this matchup 1-2. Atlanta needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 74 yards on the ground per game, putting them 27th in the league. As a team, they have a total of 223 yards rushing through 3 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Falcons average 370 yards per contest overall ranking them 10th in the league and 5th among NFC teams. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Falcons are ranked 4th in the division and 22nd out of all the teams in the league with an average of 20.0 points per game.

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The Falcons are giving up 25.0 points per contest ranking them 2nd in the NFC South and 21st in the league. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units among NFL teams. They are conceding 211 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons currently sit at 5th in the NFC. They have conceded 4 passing TDs for this year. In terms of points given up, they have given up 75 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are conceding 100 yards per contest which puts them at 12th in the NFL and 2nd in the division. For this season, they have conceded a total of 300 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -4.5

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