New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Pick, Odds, Week 13 Prediction 11/28/2019

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Thursday, November 28, 2019

Week 13

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta +6.5

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons host the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, November 28, 2019. Atlanta opens this matchup as 6.5-point dogs. The over/under opens at 48.5. The Saints are 9-2-0 ATS and 6-5-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 4-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-8-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the New Orleans Saints faced the Carolina Panthers and ended up getting the victory by a score of 34-31. Running the show from under center for the Saints was Drew Brees who went 30/39 with 311 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He gave away 1 interception during the game. Latavius Murray led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 26 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown during the game. He ran for a total of 64 yards by way of 7 carries which had him averaging 9.1 yards per carry. Michael Thomas was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 101 yards on 10 catches. He earned an average of 10.1 yards per reception for the game. The New Orleans Saints ran the football 18 times and totaled 118 yards which gave them an average of 6.6 yards per rush. In the game, they totaled 59 plays which added up to 418 yards. In the game, the Saints earned a total of 23 first downs and they had 12 infractions for 123 yards. In terms of defense, New Orleans allowed 23 catches on 36 throws for a total of 230 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. On the ground, the Saints allowed 121 yards on 29 tries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed 351 yards and earned 1 turnover. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Parlays Pundit on the Redskins vs Panthers game.

Saints Go to 9-2 After Win

The Saints head into this matchup 9-2 for this season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league with an average of 25 points per contest, putting them 9th among all NFL teams. As a team, they are averaging 108 yards on the ground per contest which is 8th among NFC teams. For total yards, they currently sit at 8th among NFC teams and 12th among all NFL teams with 4,058 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Saints have compiled a total of 20 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing TDs. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring in the NFC South and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup.

The Saints have one of the best defenses in the NFL, giving up 20.9 points per game which has them at 5th in the NFC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Saints have allowed 2,560 yards. Opponents are completing 60.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.8 yards per try. They have allowed 17 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing TDs. In discussing yards on the ground, New Orleans is allowing 88.5 yards per contest ranking them 2nd in the NFC South and 4th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per carry ranking them 9th among NFC teams and 15th in the league overall. In total, they have allowed 1,193 rushing yards through 11 contests.

In their last game, the Atlanta Falcons faced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and took the defeat by a score of 35-22. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Matt Ryan who went 23/46 with 271 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with 1 pick during the game. Qadree Ollison paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 6 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the contest. He rushed for a total of 20 yards by way of 8 carries which had him averaging 2.5 yards per tote. Calvin Ridley led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 85 yards on 6 receptions. He earned an average of 14.2 yards per reception for the game. The Atlanta Falcons ended up rushing 19 times and added 57 yards which earned them an average of 3.0 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they totaled 80 plays for a total of 337 yards. Overall, the Falcons totaled 22 first downs and they totaled 7 infractions for 60 yards. In terms of defense, Atlanta allowed 18 completions on 28 throws totaling 313 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. Overall, they conceded a total of 446 yards and forced 2 turnovers. In the running game, the Falcons allowed 133 yards on 34 runs which gave them an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed. Guy Bruhn has a free NFL pick ATS for the contest between the Jets and Bengals.

Falcons Worsen Their Record to 3-8 After Loss

The Falcons come into this game with a record of 3-8. In discussing the offensive production, the Falcons leave a lot to be desired in terms of scoring in the NFL. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Falcons currently sit at 4th in the division and 19th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 22.0 points per contest. Atlanta hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 73 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 31st among NFL teams. As a team, they have compiled a total of 802 yards rushing through 11 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Falcons average 371 yards per game overall ranking them 10th in the NFL and 7th in the conference.

The Falcons are conceding 27.0 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the NFC South and 28th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 297 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are giving up 110 yards per contest ranking them 18th in the league and 3rd in the division. This year, they have given up 1,209 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in the league. They are allowing 266 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Falcons sit in 12th in the NFC. They have allowed 22 passing TDs for this season.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints -6.5

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