New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins NFL Game Picks 9/15/2019

Sunday, September 15, 2019

Hard Rock Stadium

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are headed to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet the Miami Dolphins. The odds on this contest have New England as 9.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 48.5. The Patriots are 1-0-0 ATS and 0-1-0 when betting on the total. The Dolphins are 1-0-0 when wagering on the over/under and 0-1-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the New England Patriots went up against the Pittsburgh Steelers and ended up getting the win by a score of 33-3. Rex Burkhead paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 44 yards on 8 carries which meant he was running for 5.5 yards per carry. Phillip Dorsett was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 95 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 23.8 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 24/36 with 341 yards through the air and tossed 3 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick.

The Patriots head into this matchup 1-0 for this year. They are a team that has one of the most potent offenses among AFC East teams and they have the ability to run the score up on teams. For total yardage, they sit in 3rd among AFC teams and 7th in the league with 465 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Patriots have compiled a total of 3 passing touchdowns and 0 rushing touchdowns. They are one of top scoring teams in the league averaging 33 points per contest, ranking them 5th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 99 yards on the ground per game which is 2nd in the AFC.

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The Patriots have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, giving up 3 points per game which has them at 1st in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Patriots have conceded 276 yards. Teams are completing 57.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.8 yards per try. They have allowed 0 passing touchdowns and 0 rushing touchdowns. When talking about yards rushing, New England is allowing 32 yards per contest putting them 1st among AFC East teams and 3rd in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.5 yards per carry ranking them 2nd among AFC teams and 5th in the NFL overall. In total, they have conceded 32 yards rushing through 1 game.

In their last game, the Miami Dolphins faced the Baltimore Ravens and were beaten 59-10. Leading the way at QB for the Dolphins was Ryan Fitzpatrick who went 14/29 with 185 yards passing and added 1 TD. He gave away 1 interception on the day. Kenyan Drake led the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 9 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He racked up a total of 12 yards on 4 carries which had him averaging 3.0 yards per tote. DeVante Parker led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 75 yards on 3 receptions. He averaged 25.0 yards per reception during the game.

The Dolphins head into this matchup 0-1. In discussing the offensive production, the Dolphins have one of the most lackluster offenses in the NFL. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Dolphins are ranked 4th in the division and 29th out of all the teams in the league averaging 10 points per game. Miami hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 21 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 32nd in the NFL. As a team, they have compiled a total of 21 yards rushing through 1 game, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Dolphins average 200 yards per game overall which has them at 32nd in the NFL and 16th in the AFC.

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The Dolphins are conceding 59 points per game which puts them at 4th among AFC East teams and 32nd in the league. Their passing defense is one of the most anemic groups in the NFL. They are conceding 378 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Dolphins sit in 15th among AFC teams. They have allowed 6 passing touchdowns this year. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 59 total points. In regard to yards on the ground, they are allowing 265 yards per game ranking them 32nd among NFL teams and 4th in the division. This year, they have allowed 265 yards on the ground and 2 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins +9.5

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