New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Picks & Predictions 1/20/2019

Sunday, January 20, 2019

Arrowhead Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The New England Patriots travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday for the AFC Championship. Both teams had easy wins over the weekend. Kansas City beat Indianapolis 31-13 while the Patriots defeated the Chargers 41-28. The opening line for this game has Kansas City as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 56.

The Patriots have an ATS record of 10-7-0 while their over/under record is 6-11-0. The Chiefs have an over/under record of 10-6-1 and they are 10-6-1 against the spread.

Valuable New England Patriots Betting Trends

The New England Patriots are 6-11-0 against the over/under

The New England Patriots are 10-7-0 against the spread

Important Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-6-1 against the over/under

The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-6-1 against the spread

Key New England Patriots Injuries

12/20/18 WR Josh Gordon Personal is out indefinitely
11/06/18 C Brian Schwenke Foot IR
10/31/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin IR
09/26/18 LB Ja'Whaun Bentley Undisclosed IR
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR
01/13/19 DL Deatrich Wise Jr. Ankle is questionable Sunday vs Kansas City
01/09/19 TE Jacob Hollister Hamstring IR

Key Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

11/30/18 RB Kareem Hunt Suspension has been released
10/23/18 LB Terrance Smith Knee IR
10/23/18 OL Jordan Devey Undisclosed IR
10/13/18 WR De'Anthony Thomas Leg IR
10/10/18 DB Armani Watts Undisclosed IR
10/10/18 OL Laurent Duvernay-Tardif Fibula IR
09/04/18 WR Byron Pringle Hamstring IR
09/04/18 OL Dillon Gordon Shoulder IR
09/04/18 RB J.D. Moore Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 OL Tejan Koroma Knee IR
01/13/19 LB Dorian O'Daniel Calf is questionable Sunday vs New England
01/13/19 DB Eric Berry Heel is questionable Sunday vs New England
01/13/19 RB Spencer Ware Shoulder is questionable Sunday vs New England

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New England Patriots are 2nd in the NFL in points scored with 436. They have run 1,073 plays this season for 6,295 yards, which ranks them 1st in the league in total offense. The Patriots average 5.9 yards per play, which is 3rd in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 365 1st downs this year, placing them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 2,037 yards as a team, which ranks 10th in the NFL. They've run 478 times, averaging 4.3 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 93 times for 744 yards so far this season, which has them 26th in the league in penalties. Tom Brady has thrown for 4,355 yards this season. He has completed 375 passes on 570 attempts for a completion percentage of 65.8%. His quarterback rating is 97.7. He averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt and 11.6 yards per completion.

Defensive Statistics

New England is 5th in the league in points allowed on defense with 325. They have surrendered a total of 5,746 yards on D, which is 29th in the NFL. The Patriots are ranked 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Their pass defense has given up 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 20th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 370 passes on 605 attempts against the New England Patriots defense this season, placing them 28th and 30th in the National Football League. The New England pass defense has also given up a total of 3,943 yards through the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 367 attempts for 1,803 yards this year, putting them in 20th place in the league against the run. The Patriots have committed 91 penalties for 838 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 27th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 32.6% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the league.

Special Teams Stats

New England is ranked 18th in the league in punt returns with 26. They've accumulated 199 punt return yards and average 7.7 yards per return, which is 17th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 25 yards. They have returned 28 kicks for 755 yards on special teams, ranking 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 27 yards per kick return and have a long of 95 yards this year. They are 4th in the league in all-purpose yards with 7,396. The New England Patriots have attempted 32 field goals this season and made 27, which is 4th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 84.4%. New England Patriots kickers have made 98% of their extra points, going 49 for 50 this year. Their punters have totaled 2,886 yards on 64 punts, averaging 45.1 yards per punt. That places them 27th in the NFL in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Kansas City Chiefs have run for 1,855 yards as a unit, which ranks 9th in the league. They've run 387 times, averaging 4.8 yards per rush as a unit. The Chiefs have been penalized on offense 137 times for 1,152 yards so far this year, which has them 6th in the NFL in penalties. They are 6th in the National Football League in points scored with 565. They have run 996 plays this year for 6,810 yards, which ranks them 5th in the NFL in total offense. The Chiefs average 6.8 yards per play, which is 2nd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 384 1st downs this season, ranking them 10th overall as an offensive unit. Patrick Mahomes has completed 383 throws while attempting 580 passes for a completion percentage of 66%. He has passed for 5,097 yards this year. He averages 13.3 yards per completion and 8.8 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating this season is 113.8.

Defensive Statistics

The Chiefs rush defense has given up 425 attempts for 2,114 yards this season, putting them in 25th place in the NFL against the run. They have had 107 penalties for 881 yards on defense this year. That places them 8th in the league. They've allowed a score on 40.1% of possessions on defense, which is 17th in the NFL. Kansas City is 15th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 421. They have given up a total of 6,488 yards on D, which is 28th in the league. The Chiefs are 26th in yards per play allowed with 5.9. Their pass defense has allowed 6.4 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 25th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 406 throws on 632 attempts against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this season, ranking them 9th and 27th in the league. The Chiefs pass defense has also surrendered a total of 4,374 yards in the air, which is 29th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Kansas City Chiefs have tried 27 field goals this season and made 24, which is 1st in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 88.9%. Kansas City kickers have made 94% of their extra points, going 65 for 69 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,021 yards on 45 punts, averaging 44.9 yards per punt. That ranks them 14th in the NFL in punting average. Kansas City is 15th in the NFL in punt returns with 22. They've totaled 261 punt return yards and are averaging 11.9 yards per return, which is 26th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 91 yards. They have returned 40 kicks for 975 yards on special teams, placing them 1st in kick return yardage. The Chiefs average 24.4 yards per kick return and have a long of 97 yards this season. They are 1st in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 8,217.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +3.5

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