New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills NFL Picks 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

New Era Field

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots head to New Era Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Buffalo Bills. The spread on this game has New England as 6.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 44. The Patriots are 3-0-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Bills are 0-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-0-0 against the spread.

Key New England Patriots Injuries

09/23/19 FB James Develin Neck IR
09/22/19 LB Dont'a Hightower Shoulder injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
09/22/19 RB James White Personal is questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
09/22/19 WR Julian Edelman Chest left last game, is questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
09/22/19 TE Matt LaCosse Ankle is questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
09/17/19 OL Isaiah Wynn Foot IR
09/03/19 TE Benjamin Watson Suspension is out the first 4 games of the season
09/03/19 C David Andrews Blood Clot IR
09/03/19 OL Yodny Cajuste Quad PUP
09/03/19 OL Hjalte Froholdt Shoulder IR
09/03/19 WR Cameron Meredith Knee PUP
09/02/19 WR N'Keal Harry Ankle IR
08/23/19 LB Brandon King Quad is out indefinitely

Key Buffalo Bills Injuries

09/24/19 DT Harrison Phillips Knee IR
09/22/19 G Jon Feliciano Neck left last game, is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/22/19 TE Tyler Kroft Foot is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/22/19 RB Devin Singletary Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/22/19 CB Taron Johnson Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/12/19 LB Tyrel Dodson Suspension 6-game suspension (eligible to return 11/3 vs Washington)
09/02/19 LB Vosean Joseph Shoulder IR
09/02/19 DE Mike Love Pectoral IR
09/01/19 TE Jason Croom Hand IR
08/06/19 OL LaAdrian Waddle Quad IR

In their last outing, the New England Patriots took on the New York Jets and won 30-14. Rex Burkhead led the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 8 yards and he notched 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for 47 yards by way of 11 carries which gave him an average of 4.3 yards per carry. Josh Gordon led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 83 yards on 6 catches. He notched an average of 13.8 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 28/42 with 306 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He ended the game without an interception.

The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 in 2019. They are a team that has one of the most potent offenses in the AFC East and they are capable of putting up big points on any given night. For total yards, they rank 3rd in the conference and 5th in the NFL with 1,225 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Patriots currently have a total of 7 passing TDs and 4 rushing TDs. They are one of top scoring teams in the league with an average of 35 points per contest, ranking them 2nd in the NFL. As a team, they have an average of 97 rushing yards per game which is 2nd in the conference.

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The Patriots have one of the best defenses in the NFL, giving up 5.7 points per game putting them 1st among AFC teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Patriots have conceded 487 yards. Teams are completing 52.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. They have conceded 0 passing TDs and 0 rushing TDs. When talking about yards on the ground, New England is allowing 36.7 yards per game ranking them 1st among AFC East teams and 1st among NFL teams. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.3 yards per carry putting them 1st in the conference and 1st in the NFL overall. Overall, they have conceded 110 yards rushing through 3 contests.

The last time they took the field, the Buffalo Bills faced the Cincinnati Bengals and earned the victory by a score of 21-17. Frank Gore led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 22 yards and he notched 1 TD in the game. He scurried for 76 yards by way of 14 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.4 yards per carry. Dawson Knox led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 67 yards on 3 catches. He had an average of 22.3 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Bills was Josh Allen who went 23/36 with 243 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He walked away with 1 pick in the game.

The Bills head into this game 3-0. Buffalo has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 151 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 5th in the NFL. As a team, they have a total of 454 rushing yards through 3 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Bills average 391 yards per game overall putting them 8th in the league and 5th in the conference. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Bills are currently ranked 2nd in the AFC East and 17th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 22.0 points per contest.

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The Bills are conceding 15.7 points per contest which puts them at 2nd in the division and 5th among NFL teams. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the NFL. They are conceding 212 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bills are ranked 4th among AFC teams. They have conceded 3 passing touchdowns for 2019. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 47 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are allowing 88 yards per contest ranking them 8th among NFL teams and 2nd in the AFC East. For this year, they have conceded a total of 264 yards on the ground and 2 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -6.5

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