Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Picks, Odds, Week 17 Predictions 12/29/2019

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, December 29, 2019

Week 17

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -14.5

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

Gillette Stadium is the site where Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will take on the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. New England opens this matchup as 14.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 43.5. The Dolphins are 4-11-0 ATS and 8-7-0 when betting on the total. The Patriots are 6-9-0 when wagering on the over/under and 12-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Miami Dolphins played the Cincinnati Bengals and earned the victory by a score of 38-35. Leading the way at QB for the Dolphins was Ryan Fitzpatrick who went 31/52 with 419 yards passing and tossed 4 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick on the day. Myles Gaskin led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 15 yards and he added 1 touchdown during the game. He racked up a total of 55 yards via 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.4 yards per run. DeVante Parker was the receiving yardage leader by earning 111 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 22.2 yards per catch in the game. The Miami Dolphins ran the football 34 times and earned 96 yards which had them averaging 2.8 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Dolphins racked up 29 1st downs and they had 6 infractions for 47 yards. In all, they ran 88 plays for a total of 502 yards. When discussing the defense, Miami allowed 33 completions on 56 throws totaling 371 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.0%. In the game, they gave up a total of 430 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Dolphins allowed 59 yards on 25 carries which gave them an average of 2.4 yards per carry allowed. Guy Bruhn has a free pick for the game between the Eagles and Giants.

Dolphins Go to 4-11 After Win

The Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 4-11 for this season. They are a low scoring offensive team among AFC East teams and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output. For total yards, they sit in 13th among AFC teams and 27th in the NFL with 4,571 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Dolphins currently have a total of 21 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league averaging 19 points per game, which has them at 25th in the NFL. As a team, they are averaging 73 rushing yards per game which is 16th among AFC teams.

The Dolphins have one of the most lackluster defenses in the NFL, allowing 31.3 points per game which has them at 16th in the AFC. When it comes to passing yards, the Dolphins have conceded 3,981 yards. Teams are completing 63.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.4 yards per attempt. They have conceded 37 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. When it comes to rushing yards, Miami is giving up 135.4 yards per game ranking them 4th among AFC East teams and 27th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush which has them at 10th in the conference and 20th in the NFL overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,093 yards rushing through 15 contests.

In their last game, the New England Patriots faced the Buffalo Bills and ended up getting the win by a score of 24-17. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 26/33 with 271 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Sony Michel paced the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 25 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for a total of 96 yards via 21 carries which meant he was running for 4.6 yards per tote. Rex Burkhead was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 77 yards on 4 catches. He averaged 19.3 yards per catch in the game. The New England Patriots ended up rushing 35 times and racked up a total of 143 yards earning them an average of 4.1 yards per run. For the game, the Patriots got 23 first downs and they had 3 penalties for 30 yards. For the game, they ran 68 plays which gave them a total of 414 yards. When discussing the defense, New England allowed 13 completions on 26 throws for a total of 176 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. Overall, they gave up 268 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Patriots allowed 92 yards on 23 attempts which gave them an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Josh Schonwald on the Steelers vs Ravens contest.

Patriots Improve Their Record to 12-3 After Win

The Patriots head into this game 12-3. New England is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 105 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 19th in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 1,568 rushing yards through 15 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Patriots average 354 yards per game overall ranking them 16th in the NFL and 7th in the AFC. When looking at their ability to score points, the Patriots are ranked 1st in the AFC East and 6th out of all the teams in the league averaging 26.4 points per game.

The Patriots are giving up 13.2 points per game ranking them 1st among AFC East teams and 1st in the NFL. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate units in the league. They are conceding 171 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Patriots are ranked 1st in the AFC. They have allowed 12 passing TDs for 2019. In discussing points allowed, they have given up 198 total points. When talking about rushing yards, they are allowing 98 yards per contest ranking them 7th in the league and 2nd in the AFC East. For this season, they have conceded a total of 1,465 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots -14.5

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