Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks, Odds, Week 17 Predictions 12/29/2019

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, December 29, 2019

Week 17

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -7

Total/Over-Under: 48

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host the Los Angeles Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 29, 2019. Los Angeles opens this matchup as 7-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 48. The Chargers are 5-10-0 ATS and 6-9-0 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 7-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 11-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Los Angeles Chargers played the Oakland Raiders and were defeated 24-17. Leading the way at QB for the Chargers was Philip Rivers who went 27/39 with 279 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with no picks. Melvin Gordon paced the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 10 yards and he tallied 2 TD's for the contest. He rushed for a total of 15 yards by way of 9 carries which gave him an average of 1.7 yards per run. Keenan Allen led the team in receiving yardage by earning 71 yards on 5 catches. He averaged 14.2 yards per reception during the game. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 16 times and added 19 yards which gave them an average of 1.2 yards per run. For the game, the Chargers earned 21 first downs and they had 2 penalties for 15 yards. In the game, they ran 56 plays for a total of 284 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Los Angeles gave up 26 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 267 yards, and a completion percentage of 87.0%. In the running game, the Chargers gave up 99 yards on 29 tries which means they had an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they conceded 366 yards but didn't force any takeaways. Josh Schonwald has a NFL prediction for the game between the Bears and Vikings.

Chargers are 5-10 After Loss

The Chargers head into this game 5-10 this season. They are a team that struggles to put points on the board among AFC West teams and they will have to really have a good night if they want to have a good offensive game. For total yardage, they rank 3rd in the AFC and 10th in the NFL with 5,513 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Chargers have compiled a total of 22 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing TDs. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league averaging 21 points per contest, which has them at 21st in the NFL. As a unit, they are averaging 90 yards on the ground per contest which is 13th in the AFC.

The Chargers have one of the best defenses in the league, giving up 20.9 points per game which has them at 7th in the AFC. When it comes to passing yards, the Chargers have conceded 3,030 yards. Opponents are completing 71.1% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.5 yards per attempt. They have conceded 20 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing TDs. In terms of yards on the ground, Los Angeles is allowing 109.5 yards per game putting them 2nd among AFC West teams and 16th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per carry putting them 4th among AFC teams and 7th in the NFL overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,345 rushing yards through 15 games.

In their last game, the Kansas City Chiefs took on the Chicago Bears and earned the win by a score of 26-3. Damien Williams paced the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 12 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He racked up a total of 65 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he was running for 4.1 yards per tote. Travis Kelce was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 74 yards on 8 catches. He earned an average of 9.3 yards per catch in the game. Running the show from under center for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 23/33 with 251 yards passing and completed 2 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 29 times and racked up 106 yards which had them averaging 3.7 yards per run. On the day, they ran 63 plays for a total of 350 yards. For the game, the Chiefs had a total of 25 1st downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 71 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas City allowed 18 catches on 34 tries for a total of 133 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.0%. Against the run, the Chiefs allowed 101 yards on 22 tries which means they had an average of 4.6 yards per run allowed. On the day, they conceded a total of 234 yards but finished the game without a turnover. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free NFL pick from Tony Sink on the Dolphins vs Patriots contest.

Chiefs Sit at 11-4 After Win

The Chiefs head into this game 11-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Chiefs have one of the middle tier offenses in the league. When looking at their ability to score points, the Chiefs sit in 1st in the AFC West and 4th out of all the teams in the league averaging 28.0 points per contest. Kansas City hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 94 rushing yards per contest, putting them 23rd in the league. As a team, they have a total of 1,407 yards rushing through 15 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chiefs average 382 yards per game overall ranking them 4th in the league and 2nd in the conference.

The Chiefs are allowing 19.1 points per contest which puts them at 1st among AFC West teams and 7th in the NFL. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 287 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 130 yards per contest which puts them at 26th in the league and 4th in the AFC West. In 2019, they have given up a total of 1,943 yards rushing and 13 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in the NFL. They are giving up 219 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Chiefs currently sit at 7th among AFC teams. They have allowed 19 passing touchdowns in 2019.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -7

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