Chargers at Patriots Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread 1/13/2019

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Gillette Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The New England Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers at Gillette Stadium on Sunday for a chance to go to the AFC Championship. The Chargers beat Baltimore 23-17 while the Patriots are coming off the bye. The opening line for this game has New England as 5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 48.5.

The Patriots have an over/under record of 5-11-0 and they are 9-7-0 against the spread. The Chargers have an ATS record of 10-7-0 while their over/under record is 8-9-0.

Valuable Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Chargers are 8-9-0 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Chargers are 10-7-0 against the spread

Important New England Patriots Betting Trends

The New England Patriots are 5-11-0 against the over/under

The New England Patriots are 9-7-0 against the spread

Key Los Angeles Chargers Injuries

12/21/18 CB Trevor Williams Knee IR
11/13/18 LB Denzel Perryman Knee is out for season
10/31/18 LB Kyzir White Knee IR
09/20/18 CB Craig Mager Hamstring IR
09/04/18 WR Artavis Scott Ankle IR
09/04/18 TE Austin Roberts Knee IR
08/19/18 S Jaylen Watkins ACL IR
07/27/18 CB Jason Verrett Achilles IR
01/07/19 TE Hunter Henry Knee is questionable Sunday vs New England
01/07/19 LB Jatavis Brown Ankle is questionable Sunday vs New England

Key New England Patriots Injuries

12/20/18 WR Josh Gordon Personal is out indefinitely
11/06/18 C Brian Schwenke Foot IR
10/31/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin IR
09/26/18 LB Ja'Whaun Bentley Undisclosed IR
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
01/07/19 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Knee is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
01/07/19 DB Devin McCourty Head is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
01/07/19 TE Jacob Hollister Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Los Angeles Chargers have run for 1,873 yards as a team, which ranks 24th in the NFL. They've run 399 times, averaging 4.7 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Chargers have been penalized on offense 113 times for 967 yards so far this season, which has them 15th in the league in penalties. They are 13th in the NFL in points scored with 428. They have run 945 plays this season for 5,962 yards, which ranks them 4th in the league in total offense. The Chargers average 6.3 yards per play, which is 4th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 338 1st downs this year, placing them 5th overall as an offensive unit. Philip Rivers averages 8.5 yards per pass attempt and 12.4 yards per completion. He has completed 347 passes on 508 attempts for a completion percentage of 68.3%. His quarterback rating is 105.5. He has thrown for 4,308 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Chargers rush defense has allowed 395 attempts for 1,693 yards this year, putting them in 31st place in the league against the run. Los Angeles has committed 103 penalties for 828 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 26th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 33.7% of possessions on defense, which is 4th in the league. They are 3rd in the league in points allowed on defense with 329. They have surrendered a total of 5,339 yards on D, which is 15th in the NFL. The Chargers are ranked 16th in yards per play allowed with 5.4. Their pass defense has given up 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 5th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 351 passes on 548 attempts against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this season, placing them 12th and 7th in the National Football League. The Los Angeles pass defense has also given up a total of 3,646 yards through the air, which is 3rd overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Los Angeles Chargers have attempted 29 field goals this season and made 24, which is 26th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 82.8%. Los Angeles Chargers kickers have made 84% of their extra points, going 36 for 43 this year. Their punters have totaled 2,644 yards on 62 punts, averaging 42.6 yards per punt. That places them 3rd in the NFL in punting average. Los Angeles is ranked 25th in the league in punt returns with 34. They've accumulated 358 punt return yards and average 10.5 yards per return, which is 9th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 73 yards. They have returned 28 kicks for 653 yards on special teams, ranking 30th in kick return yardage. The Chargers average 23.3 yards per kick return and have a long of 40 yards this year. They are 7th in the league in all-purpose yards with 7,200.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New England Patriots are 2nd in the National Football League in points scored with 436. They have run 1,073 plays this year for 6,295 yards, which ranks them 1st in the NFL in total offense. The Patriots average 5.9 yards per play, which is 3rd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 365 1st downs this season, ranking them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 2,037 yards as a unit, which ranks 10th in the league. They've run 478 times, averaging 4.3 yards per rush as a unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 93 times for 744 yards so far this year, which has them 26th in the NFL in penalties. Tom Brady has passed for 4,355 yards this year. He's completed 375 throws while attempting 570 passes for a completion percentage of 65.8%. His quarterback rating this season is 97.7. He averages 11.6 yards per completion and 7.6 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

New England is 5th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 325. They have given up a total of 5,746 yards on D, which is 29th in the league. The Patriots are 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Their pass defense has allowed 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 20th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 370 throws on 605 attempts against the New England defense this season, ranking them 28th and 30th in the league. The Patriots pass defense has also surrendered a total of 3,943 yards in the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 367 attempts for 1,803 yards this season, putting them in 20th place in the NFL against the run. The New England Patriots have had 91 penalties for 838 yards on defense this year. That places them 27th in the league. They've allowed a score on 32.6% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the NFL.

Special Teams Stats

New England is 18th in the NFL in punt returns with 26. They've totaled 199 punt return yards and are averaging 7.7 yards per return, which is 17th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 25 yards. They have returned 28 kicks for 755 yards on special teams, placing them 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 27 yards per kick return and have a long of 95 yards this season. They are 4th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 7,396. The New England Patriots have tried 32 field goals this season and made 27, which is 4th in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 84.4%. New England kickers have made 98% of their extra points, going 49 for 50 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,886 yards on 64 punts, averaging 45.1 yards per punt. That ranks them 27th in the NFL in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers +5

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