Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins NFL Point Spread Picks 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Hard Rock Stadium

Hard Rock Stadium is the venue where Josh Rosen and the Miami Dolphins will take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. Miami opens this game as 15.5-point underdogs. The O/U opens at 46. The Chargers are 1-2-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Dolphins are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 0-3-0 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Chargers Injuries

09/23/19 TE Virgil Green Groin left last game, is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/22/19 CB Michael Davis Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/22/19 K Michael Badgley Groin is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/16/19 S Adrian Phillips Forearm IR
09/12/19 CB Trevor Williams Quad IR
09/11/19 TE Hunter Henry Knee is out indefinitely
09/03/19 T Russell Okung Heart PUP
08/16/19 S Derwin James Foot is out indefinitely
08/06/19 RB Melvin Gordon Holdout is out indefinitely

Key Miami Dolphins Injuries

09/24/19 CB Jomal Wiltz Groin is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/22/19 WR Albert Wilson Calf is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/22/19 T Jesse Davis Arm injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/22/19 S Reshad Jones Ankle is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/22/19 WR Allen Hurns Concussion injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/22/19 G Danny Isidora Foot injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs LA Chargers
09/12/19 DE Jonathan Ledbetter Ankle IR
09/06/19 LB Andrew Van Ginkel Undisclosed IR
09/03/19 CB Cordrea Tankersley Knee PUP
09/03/19 DT Vincent Taylor Foot IR
09/03/19 DT Robert Nkemdiche Knee PUP
08/09/19 LB Mike Hull Knee IR

In their last outing, the Los Angeles Chargers went up against the Houston Texans and were beaten 27-20. Leading the way at QB for the Chargers was Philip Rivers who went 31/46 with 318 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 11 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 36 yards by way of 9 carries which meant he averaged 4.0 yards per tote. Keenan Allen was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 183 yards on 13 catches. He earned an average of 14.1 yards per catch for the game.

The Chargers head into this game 1-2 for the 2019 season. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the league with an average of 20 points per game, which has them at 21st in the NFL. As a team, they are averaging 112 yards on the ground per contest which is 1st in the conference. For total yardage, they sit in 4th in the AFC and 6th in the NFL with 1,225 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Chargers have compiled a total of 5 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They are a low scoring offensive team in the division and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output.

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The Chargers have one of the best defenses in the league, allowing 21.3 points per contest ranking them 8th among AFC teams. In terms of yards on the ground, Los Angeles is giving up 112.0 yards per contest which has them at 2nd in the AFC West and 18th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per rush which has them at 9th in the AFC and 16th in the NFL overall. In total, they have allowed 335 yards rushing through 3 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Chargers have allowed 755 yards. Teams are completing 74.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.9 yards per try. They have allowed 7 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns.

In their last game, the Miami Dolphins took on the Dallas Cowboys and lost 31-6. Kenyan Drake paced the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 8 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 38 yards via 12 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.2 yards per run. Preston Williams led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 68 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 17.0 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Dolphins was Josh Rosen who went 18/39 with 200 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with no picks.

The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 0-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Dolphins have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Dolphins sit in 4th in the AFC East and 32nd out of all the teams in the league with an average of 5.3 points per contest. Miami hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 45 rushing yards per contest, putting them 31st in the league. As a team, they have a total of 135 yards rushing through 3 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Dolphins average 222 yards per contest overall putting them 31st in the league and 15th among AFC teams.

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The Dolphins are giving up 44.3 points per game which puts them at 4th in the division and 32nd in the NFL. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 133 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are giving up 208 yards per game which puts them at 32nd in the NFL and 4th in the AFC East. For this season, they have allowed a total of 624 yards on the ground and 6 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in the NFL. They are giving up 291 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Dolphins are ranked 15th in the AFC. They have allowed 10 passing TDs this season.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers -15.5

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