Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Pick, Odds, Week 14 Prediction 12/8/2019
Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, December 8, 2019
Week 14
Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA
TV: CBS
Odds/Point Spread: New England -4
Total/Over-Under: 50.5
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs go to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet the New England Patriots. Kansas City opens this game as 4-point dogs. The O/U opens at 50.5. The Chiefs are 8-4-0 ATS and 7-5-0 when betting on the total. The Patriots are 4-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 10-2-0 against the spread.
In their last contest, the Kansas City Chiefs faced the Oakland Raiders and won by a score of 40-9. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 15/29 with 175 yards through the air and completed 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. Darwin Thompson led the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 9 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for 44 yards by way of 11 carries which gave him an average of 4.0 yards per tote. Travis Kelce led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 90 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 18.0 yards per reception in the game. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 29 times and racked up a total of 96 yards which had them averaging 3.3 yards per run. For the game, the Chiefs earned 22 1st downs and they totaled 0 penalties for 0 yards. On the day, they ran 59 plays which gave them a total of 259 yards. When discussing the defense, Kansas City allowed 20 catches on 30 tries totaling 210 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.0%. On the day, they allowed 332 yards and earned 3 turnovers. Against the run, the Chiefs allowed 122 yards on 25 runs which is an average of 4.9 yards per attempt allowed. Another matchup you may want to look into is the NFL pick from Guy Bruhn on the Titans vs Raiders contest.
The Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 this season. They are a team that has one of the most potent offenses in the division and they are capable of putting up big points on any given night. For total yardage, they sit in 2nd among AFC teams and 4th in the league with 4,616 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Chiefs currently have a total of 24 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns. They are one of the most potent offenses in the league averaging 29 points per game, which has them at 3rd in the league. As a unit, they have an average of 95 rushing yards per contest which is 11th in the conference.
The Chiefs have one of the average defenses in the league, allowing 22.1 points per game ranking them 9th in the AFC. In terms of rushing yards, Kansas City is giving up 141.3 yards per contest which has them at 4th in the AFC West and 30th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.1 yards per carry which has them at 16th in the AFC and 31st in the league overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,134 yards rushing through 12 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Chiefs have allowed 2,769 yards. Opponents are completing 62.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.0 yards per attempt. They have allowed 18 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns.
The last time they took the field, the New England Patriots went up against the Houston Texans and took the loss by a score of 28-22. James White led the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 32 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He racked up a total of 79 yards on 14 carries which meant he averaged 5.6 yards per run. Julian Edelman led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 106 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 17.7 yards per catch during the game. Running the show from under center for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 24/47 with 326 yards through the air and tossed 3 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick on the day. The New England Patriots ran the football 29 times and added 145 yards which gave them an average of 5.0 yards per rush. In all, they finished with a total of 79 plays which gave them a total of 448 yards. For the game, the Patriots racked up 29 first downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 60 yards. In terms of defense, New England allowed 19 completions on 26 attempts for a total of 224 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.0%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 276 yards but weren't able to force a turnover. In the running game, the Patriots allowed 52 yards on 23 tries which gave them an average of 2.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Josh Schonwald has a pick for the game between the Seahawks and Rams.
The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 10-2. New England is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 96 rushing yards per game, ranking them 21st among NFL teams. As a team, they have a total of 1,156 yards rushing through 12 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Patriots average 361 yards per game overall which has them at 14th in the league and 5th among AFC teams. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Patriots currently sit at 1st among AFC East teams and 6th out of all the teams in the league averaging 26.8 points per game.
The Patriots are allowing 12.1 points per contest which puts them at 1st among AFC East teams and 1st in the NFL. Their passing defense is one of the top groups among NFL teams. They are giving up 164 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Patriots currently sit at 1st in the AFC. They have conceded 8 passing TDs this year. In terms of points given up, they have allowed 145 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are conceding 95 yards per contest ranking them 5th in the league and 2nd among AFC East teams. This season, they have given up a total of 1,134 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Patriots NFL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs +4
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Additional Resources:
New England Patriots - Twitter
Kansas City Chiefs - Twitter