Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Ford Field

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs head to Ford Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Detroit Lions. The spread on this contest has Kansas City as 5-point favorites. The total is set at 53. The Chiefs are 3-0-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Lions are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-0-1 against the spread.

Key Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

09/22/19 RB Damien Williams Knee is questionable Sunday vs Detroit
09/19/19 OL Eric Fisher Groin is out indefinitely
09/08/19 WR Tyreek Hill Shoulder is out 4-6 weeks
09/03/19 LB Breeland Speaks Knee IR
09/03/19 QB Chad Henne Ankle IR
09/03/19 WR Marcus Kemp Knee IR

Key Detroit Lions Injuries

09/24/19 LB Christian Jones Wrist is questionable Sunday vs Kansas City
09/22/19 DL Da'Shawn Hand Elbow is questionable Sunday vs Kansas City
09/22/19 CB Darius Slay Hamstring left last game, is questionable Sunday vs Kansas City
09/22/19 DT Mike Daniels Foot left last game, is questionable Sunday vs Kansas City
09/03/19 DE Austin Bryant Pectoral IR
09/03/19 WR Jermaine Kearse Leg IR
09/03/19 WR Chris Lacy Leg PUP

In their last contest, the Kansas City Chiefs faced the Baltimore Ravens and ended up getting the victory by a score of 33-28. Leading the way at QB for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 27/37 with 374 yards passing and tossed 3 TD's. He walked away with no picks. Darrel Williams led the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 41 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He scurried for 62 yards by way of 9 carries which gave him an average of 6.9 yards per carry. Mecole Hardman was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 97 yards on 2 catches. He had an average of 48.5 yards per reception during the game.

The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the league with an average of 34 points per game, ranking them 3rd among all NFL teams. As a unit, they have an average of 95 rushing yards per contest which is 4th among AFC teams. For total yardage, they sit in 2nd among AFC teams and 2nd among all NFL teams with 1,461 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Chiefs currently have a total of 10 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They are a team that has one of the most potent offenses in the AFC West and they have the ability to run the score up on teams.

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The Chiefs have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, giving up 21.3 points per game which has them at 7th among AFC teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Chiefs have conceded 774 yards. Teams are completing 63.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.4 yards per try. They have allowed 4 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. When talking about yards on the ground, Kansas City is allowing 137.7 yards per contest putting them 4th in the division and 27th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.2 yards per carry putting them 16th among AFC teams and 32nd among NFL teams overall. In total, they have conceded 284 yards rushing through 3 games.

In their last contest, the Detroit Lions faced the Philadelphia Eagles and earned the win by a score of 27-24. Leading the way at QB for the Lions was Matthew Stafford who went 18/32 with 201 yards passing and added 1 TD. He walked away with no picks. J.D. McKissic paced the team in rushing for that contest with 44 yards on his only carry of the day. Marvin Jones Jr. was the receiving yardage leader by earning 101 yards on 6 receptions. He earned an average of 16.8 yards per catch for that contest.

The Lions step onto the field holding a record of 2-0-1. Detroit is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 99 yards on the ground per game, putting them 18th in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 296 rushing yards through 3 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Lions average 368 yards per contest overall ranking them 12th in the league and 7th in the NFC. When looking at their ability to score points, the Lions are currently ranked 2nd in the division and 16th out of all the teams in the league averaging 22.3 points per contest.

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The Lions are giving up 20.3 points per game which puts them at 4th in the NFC North and 12th in the NFL. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 61 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are giving up 125 yards per contest ranking them 22nd in the NFL and 3rd in the division. For this year, they have allowed 376 yards on the ground and 2 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in the league. They are giving up 269 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Lions sit in 12th among NFC teams. They have conceded 4 passing touchdowns this season.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -5

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