Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Picks, Odds, Week 16 Predictions 12/22/2019

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, December 22, 2019

Week 16

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 46

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the site where Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will play the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. Atlanta opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 46. The Jaguars are 5-9-0 ATS and 7-7-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 6-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-9-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Jacksonville Jaguars went up against the Oakland Raiders and won 20-16. Leading the way at QB for the Jaguars was Gardner Minshew II who went 17/29 with 201 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Leonard Fournette led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He racked up a total of 42 yards via 15 carries which had him averaging 2.8 yards per run. Keelan Cole was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 76 yards on 3 receptions. He averaged 25.3 yards per catch for the game. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the ball 22 times and generated 77 yards which earned them an average of 3.5 yards per carry. For the game, they finished with a total of 53 plays for 262 yards. On the day, the Jaguars had a total of 17 first downs and they had 8 penalties for 87 yards. When discussing the defense, Jacksonville allowed 22 catches on 36 attempts for a total of 236 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.0%. For the game, they gave up a total of 364 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways. In the running game, the Jaguars allowed 128 yards on 32 runs which is an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed. Another matchup you may want to look into is the pick from Guy Bruhn on the Ravens vs Browns game.

Jaguars Sit at 5-9 After Win

The Jaguars head into this matchup 5-9 for this season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league averaging 18 points per contest, ranking them 27th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 109 rushing yards per contest which is 8th among AFC teams. For total yardage, they rank 9th among AFC teams and 20th in the league with 4,827 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Jaguars have compiled a total of 20 passing TDs and 3 rushing touchdowns. They are a low scoring offensive team in the division and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output.

The Jaguars have one of the average defenses in the NFL, allowing 25.2 points per game which has them at 13th in the AFC. In terms of rushing yards, Jacksonville is giving up 140.1 yards per contest putting them 4th in the division and 29th among NFL teams. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.1 yards per rush putting them 16th in the AFC and 31st among NFL teams overall. In total, they have conceded 1,526 rushing yards through 14 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Jaguars have allowed 3,252 yards. Opponents are completing 63.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.6 yards per try. They have conceded 21 passing TDs and 19 rushing touchdowns.

The last time they took the field, the Atlanta Falcons went up against the San Francisco 49ers and notched a win by a score of 29-22. Devonta Freeman led the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 11 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 39 yards by way of 12 carries which meant he was running for 3.3 yards per carry. Julio Jones was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 134 yards on 13 receptions. He averaged 10.3 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Matt Ryan who went 25/39 with 210 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. The Atlanta Falcons ended up running the ball 20 times and racked up a total of 89 yards which gave them an average of 4.5 yards per run. Overall, the Falcons totaled 20 1st downs and they had a total of 11 penalties for 98 yards. For the game, they ran 61 plays which gave them a total of 290 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Atlanta gave up 22 catches on 34 throws for a total of 193 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.0%. In the game, they conceded 313 yards and earned 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 120 yards on 27 tries which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Josh Schonwald has a free pick for the contest between the Panthers and Colts.

Falcons are 5-9 After Win

The Falcons head into this matchup 5-9. Atlanta is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 81 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 30th in the NFL. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,139 rushing yards through 14 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Falcons average 370 yards per contest overall putting them 11th among NFL teams and 7th among NFC teams. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Falcons currently sit at 3rd in the NFC South and 15th out of all the teams in the league averaging 23.5 points per game.

The Falcons are allowing 26.1 points per contest which puts them at 2nd in the NFC South and 25th among NFL teams. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 365 total points. In discussing yards rushing, they are conceding 109 yards per contest ranking them 16th in the NFL and 3rd in the NFC South. This year, they have conceded 1,524 yards rushing and 13 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in the league. They are conceding 254 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons currently sit at 11th among NFC teams. They have allowed 25 passing TDs for 2019.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +6.5

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