Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Picks, Odds, Week 17 Predictions 12/29/2019
Game: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
Date: Sunday, December 29, 2019
Week 17
Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
TV: ESPN
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit +9.5
Total/Over-Under: 41.5
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers head to Ford Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Detroit Lions. Detroit opens this contest as 9.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 41.5. The Packers are 12-3-0 ATS and 6-9-0 when betting on the total. The Lions are 10-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-11-1 against the spread.
In their last game, the Green Bay Packers took on the Minnesota Vikings and notched a win by a score of 23-10. Leading the way at QB for the Packers was Aaron Rodgers who went 26/40 with 216 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. Aaron Jones paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 56 yards and he tallied 2 touchdowns for the game. He rushed for a total of 154 yards via 23 carries which meant he was running for 6.7 yards per tote. Davante Adams was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 116 yards on 13 receptions. He earned an average of 8.9 yards per catch for the game. The Green Bay Packers ran the ball 32 times and racked up a total of 184 yards giving them an average of 5.8 yards per rush. In all, they totaled 75 plays which gave them a total of 383 yards. For the contest, the Packers racked up 22 first downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 20 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay allowed 16 catches on 32 throws totaling 82 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 139 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Packers allowed 57 yards on 16 carries which gave them an average of 3.6 yards per carry allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the NFL pick from Josh Schonwald on the Titans vs Texans game.
Packers Better their record to 12-3 After Win
The Packers come into this game with a record of 12-3 this year. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring in the division and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup. For total yardage, they rank 12th in the conference and 21st in the league with 5,096 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Packers currently have a total of 24 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing TDs. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league with an average of 24 points per contest, putting them 13th in the league. As a unit, they are averaging 112 yards on the ground per game which is 8th in the conference.
The Packers have one of the top tier defenses in the league, allowing 19.5 points per contest putting them 4th in the NFC. When it comes to yards rushing, Green Bay is giving up 116.7 yards per contest putting them 4th among NFC North teams and 23rd in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per carry putting them 11th in the NFC and 22nd among NFL teams overall. In total, they have conceded 1,675 rushing yards through 15 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Packers have conceded 3,587 yards. Opponents are completing 60.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.5 yards per attempt. They have allowed 18 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing TDs.
In their last outing, the Detroit Lions went up against the Denver Broncos and were defeated 27-17. Leading the way at QB for the Lions was David Blough who went 12/24 with 117 yards through the air and completed 1 touchdown. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Kerryon Johnson led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 8 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 42 yards on 10 carries which meant he was running for 4.2 yards per tote. Kenny Golladay was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 66 yards on 6 receptions. He notched an average of 11.0 yards per reception for the game. The Detroit Lions ran the football 21 times and earned 96 yards which gave them an average of 4.6 yards per attempt. On the day, the Lions totaled 13 first downs and they totaled 7 infractions for 68 yards. On the day, they ran 49 plays which added up to 191 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Detroit gave up 26 catches on 34 attempts totaling 198 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.0%. Against the run, the Lions gave up 150 yards on 33 tries which means they had an average of 4.5 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they conceded a total of 348 yards but didn't get any takeaways. Tony Sink has a pick for the contest between the Colts and Jaguars.
Lions Slide to 3-11-1 After Loss
The Lions come into this game with a record of 3-11-1. Detroit is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 99 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 22nd among NFL teams. As a team, they have a total of 1,478 yards rushing through 15 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Lions average 350 yards per game overall ranking them 17th in the league and 10th in the conference. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Lions are ranked 3rd among NFC North teams and 20th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 21.4 points per contest.
The Lions are giving up 26.7 points per game which puts them at 4th among NFC North teams and 26th in the league. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in the league. They are allowing 283 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Lions are currently ranked 16th in the conference. They have allowed 31 passing TDs for the 2019 season. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 400 total points. When talking about yards rushing, they are giving up 116 yards per game ranking them 21st in the league and 3rd among NFC North teams. For this year, they have conceded a total of 1,735 rushing yards and 13 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Packers/Lions NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Packers -9.5
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Additional Resources:
Detroit Lions - Twitter
Green Bay Packers - Twitter