Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Pick, Odds, Week 14 Prediction 12/8/2019
Game: Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, December 8, 2019
Week 14
Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX
TV: CBS
Odds/Point Spread: Houston -7.5
Total/Over-Under: 41
Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans host the Denver Broncos at NRG Stadium on Sunday, December 8, 2019. Houston opens this game as 7.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 41. The Broncos are 4-8-0 ATS and 5-7-0 when betting on the total. The Texans are 5-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 8-4-0 against the spread.
In their last contest, the Denver Broncos faced the Los Angeles Chargers and won 23-20. Running the show from under center for the Broncos was Drew Lock who went 18/28 with 134 yards through the air and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception in the game. Phillip Lindsay paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 15 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 58 yards via 17 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.4 yards per run. Courtland Sutton was the receiving yardage leader by earning 74 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 18.5 yards per catch for the game. The Denver Broncos rushed the ball a total of 25 times and racked up a total of 84 yards which earned them an average of 3.4 yards per carry. On the day, the Broncos racked up 13 first downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 25 yards. In all, they totaled 53 plays for a total of 218 yards. When discussing the defense, Denver gave up 20 catches on 29 throws totaling 244 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 115 yards on 29 tries which gave them an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed 359 yards and earned 2 takeaways. Tony Sink has a pick for the contest between the Lions and Vikings.
Broncos Now 4-8 After Win
The Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 4-8 this year. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the league with an average of 17 points per game, putting them 30th in the NFL. As a team, they have an average of 108 rushing yards per contest which is 9th among AFC teams. For total yardage, they sit in 13th in the AFC and 27th in the NFL with 3,549 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Broncos have compiled a total of 11 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing TDs. They are a team that struggles to put points on the board among AFC West teams and they will have to really have a good night if they want to have a good offensive game.
The Broncos have one of the top tier defenses in the league, giving up 19.8 points per contest putting them 6th in the AFC. When it comes to passing yards, the Broncos have allowed 2,527 yards. Opponents are completing 65.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. They have allowed 14 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing TDs. When talking about rushing yards, Denver is giving up 113.7 yards per game which has them at 3rd in the AFC West and 20th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per carry putting them 5th among AFC teams and 11th in the league overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,300 rushing yards through 12 contests.
The last time they took the field, the Houston Texans played the New England Patriots and notched a win by a score of 28-22. Leading the way at QB for the Texans was Deshaun Watson who went 18/25 with 234 yards through the air and threw 3 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. Duke Johnson paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 13 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for a total of 36 yards via 9 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.0 yards per run. DeAndre Hopkins was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 64 yards on 5 catches. He notched an average of 12.8 yards per reception for the game. The Houston Texans ran the football 23 times and earned 52 yards which gave them an average of 2.3 yards per rush. On the day, they totaled 52 plays for 276 yards. Overall, the Texans got 16 1st downs and they had a total of 8 penalties for 79 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Houston gave up 24 completions on 47 attempts totaling 303 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.0%. In the game, they gave up 447 yards and forced 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Texans gave up 144 yards on 29 carries which means they had an average of 5.0 yards per run allowed. Another matchup you may want to look into is the NFL pick ATS from Guy Bruhn on the 49ers vs Saints game.
Texans Rise to 8-4 After Win
The Texans come into this game with a record of 8-4. In discussing the offensive production, the Texans have one of the middle tier offenses in the league. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Texans sit in 1st among AFC South teams and 10th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 24.4 points per contest. Houston has made teams respect their running game by averaging 130 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 7th in the league. As a unit, they have a total of 1,558 yards rushing through 12 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Texans average 373 yards per game overall which has them at 9th in the NFL and 3rd in the conference.
The Texans are allowing 22.6 points per contest which puts them at 3rd in the AFC South and 17th in the NFL. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 271 total points. When talking about rushing yards, they are giving up 111 yards per game which puts them at 19th in the league and 3rd among AFC South teams. For this year, they have allowed a total of 1,333 yards rushing and 6 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in the NFL. They are conceding 263 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Texans are ranked 16th in the conference. They have conceded 25 passing TDs for 2019.
Who will win tonight's Broncos/Texans NFL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Texans -7.5
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Additional Resources:
Houston Texans - Twitter
Denver Broncos - Twitter