Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Picks, Odds, Week 16 Predictions 12/21/2019

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019

Week 16

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New England -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

Gillette Stadium is the venue where Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will take on the Buffalo Bills on Saturday. The line on this contest has New England as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 38.5. The Bills are 10-4-0 ATS and 3-11-0 when betting on the total. The Patriots are 5-9-0 when wagering on the over/under and 11-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Buffalo Bills played the Pittsburgh Steelers and ended up getting the win by a score of 17-10. Leading the way at QB for the Bills was Josh Allen who went 13/25 with 139 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception during the game. Devin Singletary paced the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 15 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He racked up a total of 87 yards on 21 carries which gave him an average of 4.1 yards per run. John Brown was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 99 yards on 7 receptions. He notched an average of 14.1 yards per reception during the game. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 38 times and racked up 130 yards which had them averaging 3.4 yards per attempt. In the game, the Bills totaled 17 first downs and they had 8 penalties for 70 yards. On the day, they finished with a total of 64 plays which gave them a total of 261 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Buffalo conceded 23 catches on 38 throws for a total of 178 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.0%. In the running game, the Bills conceded 51 yards on 15 tries which means they had an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 229 yards and earned 5 takeaways. Tony Sink has a pick for the contest between the Steelers and Jets.

The Bills head into this matchup 10-4 in 2019. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the league with an average of 21 points per game, putting them 22nd in the league. As a unit, they are averaging 135 rushing yards per game which is 2nd in the conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 10th among AFC teams and 22nd in the league with 4,706 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Bills currently have a total of 19 passing TDs and 13 rushing TDs. They are a low scoring offensive team in the division and they will have to really have a good night if they want to have a good offensive game.

The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league, giving up 15.9 points per game ranking them 2nd among AFC teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Bills have conceded 2,667 yards. Opponents are completing 61.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.1 yards per try. They have conceded 13 passing TDs and 11 rushing TDs. When talking about rushing yards, Buffalo is giving up 101.4 yards per contest putting them 3rd in the AFC East and 10th among NFL teams. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per carry which has them at 9th in the conference and 19th in the league overall. In total, they have conceded 1,889 yards rushing through 14 games.

In their last contest, the New England Patriots played the Cincinnati Bengals and ended up getting the win by a score of 34-13. Leading the way at QB for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 15/29 with 128 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Sony Michel led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 12 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 89 yards by way of 19 carries which gave him an average of 4.7 yards per run. James White was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 49 yards on 3 receptions. He had an average of 16.3 yards per reception during the game. The New England Patriots ran the ball 32 times and generated 175 yards which gave them an average of 5.5 yards per attempt. In all, they finished with a total of 63 plays for a total of 291 yards. For the game, the Patriots had a total of 19 first downs and they totaled 4 infractions for 30 yards. In terms of defense, New England conceded 17 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 151 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.0%. In the running game, the Patriots conceded 164 yards on 32 tries which is an average of 5.1 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they conceded a total of 315 yards and earned 5 turnovers. Another matchup you may want to look into is the NFL pick ATS from Guy Bruhn on the Saints vs Titans game.

The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 11-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Patriots have an offense that could be called mediocre in the NFL. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Patriots sit in 1st in the AFC East and 8th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 26.6 points per game. New England is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 102 yards on the ground per game, putting them 19th in the NFL. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,425 yards rushing through 14 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Patriots average 350 yards per contest overall ranking them 18th in the league and 8th in the conference.

The Patriots are giving up 12.9 points per game which puts them at 1st in the AFC East and 1st in the league. Their pass defense is one of the most dominate units in the NFL. They are giving up 170 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Patriots currently sit at 1st in the AFC. They have conceded 10 passing TDs this season. In discussing points allowed, they have allowed 181 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are giving up 98 yards per game ranking them 7th in the NFL and 2nd in the AFC East. This season, they have allowed 1,373 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -6.5

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