Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts NFL Picks 9/22/2019

Sunday, September 22, 2019

Lucas Oil Stadium

Lucas Oil Stadium is the venue where Jacoby Brissett and the Indianapolis Colts will play the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. The odds on this matchup have Indianapolis as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 47.5. The Falcons are 1-1-0 ATS and 0-2-0 when betting on the total. The Colts are 1-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-1-0 against the spread.

Key Atlanta Falcons Injuries

09/16/19 DT Ra'Shede Hageman Suspension Served is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Indianapolis
09/16/19 T Matt Gono Back is questionable Sunday vs Indianapolis
09/09/19 G Chris Lindstrom Foot IR
09/02/19 QB Kurt Benkert Toe IR
09/02/19 DT Michael Bennett Ankle IR
09/02/19 DE Steven Means Achilles IR
07/22/19 S J.J. Wilcox ACL IR

Key Indianapolis Colts Injuries

09/16/19 LB Darius Leonard Concussion is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/16/19 CB Pierre Desir Knee is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/15/19 RB Jonathan Williams Ribs is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/15/19 DE Kemoko Turay Neck is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/09/19 WR Devin Funchess Collarbone IR
09/03/19 WR Daurice Fountain Leg IR
09/03/19 C Javon Patterson Knee IR
08/24/19 QB Andrew Luck Retired is out for season
08/09/19 DE Jabaal Sheard Knee is out indefinitely

In the last game they played, the Atlanta Falcons went up against the Philadelphia Eagles and ended up getting the win by a score of 24-20. Ito Smith paced the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 28 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He scurried for 32 yards on 4 carries which meant he averaged 8.0 yards per carry. Julio Jones was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 106 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 21.2 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Falcons was Matt Ryan who went 27/43 with 320 yards passing and threw 3 touchdowns. He gave away 3 interceptions during the game.

The Falcons come into this game with a record of 1-1 this year. They are a team that struggles to put points on the board in the NFC South and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output. For total yards, they sit in 9th in the NFC and 17th in the league with 712 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Falcons currently have a total of 5 passing TDs and 0 rushing touchdowns. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league averaging 18 points per contest, putting them 24th in the league. As a team, they have an average of 65 yards on the ground per game which is 4th in the conference.

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The Falcons have one of the middle tier defenses in the NFL, allowing 24 points per contest which has them at 10th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Falcons have conceded 334 yards. Opponents are completing 62.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. They have allowed 2 passing TDs and 4 rushing touchdowns. In discussing yards on the ground, Atlanta is giving up 110.5 yards per game putting them 2nd among NFC South teams and 16th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per rush which has them at 5th in the NFC and 8th among NFL teams overall. In total, they have allowed 130 rushing yards through 2 contests.

In their last game, the Indianapolis Colts took on the Tennessee Titans and earned the victory by a score of 19-17. Jordan Wilkins paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 55 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 82 yards via 5 carries which meant he was running for 16.4 yards per run. T.Y. Hilton led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 43 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 10.8 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Colts was Jacoby Brissett who went 17/28 with 146 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He walked away with 1 interception in the game.

The Colts head into this game 1-1. Indianapolis is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 185 rushing yards per game, which has them at 2nd in the NFL. As a team, they have a total of 370 rushing yards through 2 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Colts average 332 yards per contest overall ranking them 22nd in the league and 11th in the conference. When looking at their ability to score points, the Colts are ranked 2nd in the division and 14th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 21.5 points per game.

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The Colts are conceding 23.5 points per contest which puts them at 3rd among AFC South teams and 21st among NFL teams. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups among NFL teams. They are conceding 214.5 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Colts sit in 7th in the conference. They have allowed 4 passing TDs for the 2019 season. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 47 total points. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 124 yards per contest which puts them at 20th in the league and 2nd in the division. For 2019, they have allowed a total of 248 yards rushing and 2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +1.5

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