2018 Buffalo Bills Season Win Totals Predictions and Expert Picks

2017 Record: 9-7

2018 Buffalo Bills Las Vegas Season Win Total: 6.0

2018 Buffalo Bills Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'

Last year Buffalo snapped one of the ignominious streaks in all of sports, making it back to the postseason for the first time since 2000. That 18-year drought was the longest in the NFL, and their wild card appearance was met with cheers of joy from Bills fans, and really football fans in general, across the country.

Well, the Bills look like they are ready to start a new streak of not making the playoffs this year.

In a move lacking logic, the Bills dumped starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor this offseason, opting instead for former Bengals backup A.J. McCarron. Taylor had clearly been the best quarterback the Bills have had since Drew Bledsoe's cameo just over 15 years ago. But Buffalo traded him to Cleveland for peanuts.

Buffalo then went on to make a major reach in the NFL draft , trading up to get Wyoming's Josh Allen. This move was ridiculous for any number of reasons . And now the Bills are stuck with Allen under the guise of developing him as their franchise quarterback. But McCarron has been injured, and there is now a full-fledged three-way quarterback race/controversy/cluster#@ck brewing in Orchard Park.

Whomever the Bills decide to go with under center will be toiling behind one of the worst offensive lines in football. Buffalo lost three starters from last year's line, including leader Eric Wood.

Sean McDermott, now in his second year at the helm in Buffalo, has done a decent job of rebuilding the Bills defense. They were just No. 26 in total yards and No. 18 in points allowed last season. But they've added six new starters, and they now have a nice blend of youth and experience. Depth is an issue on this side of the ball. But unless injuries creep up, I expect this unit to improve.

The Bills were massive overachievers last season, beating their Pythagorean win total by 2.6 games. They were 9-7 and went to the playoffs despite being outscored by 57 points on the season. This year they have $46 million in dead cap money, and the front office has all but admitted that this season is a bridge to a rebuilding period. In my initial NFL Power Rankings I have the Bills as the second-worst team in football. That sounds about right. I don't see a lot of upside anywhere on this team.

The one thing they have working for them is a manageable schedule in terms of the opponents. The Jets and Dolphins are both still pretty weak. And crossover games with the AFC South and NFC North will provide some manageable opportunities against teams like the Bears, Lions and Colts.

That doesn't mean that the Bills have an "easy" schedule, per se. They start the season playing five of their first seven games on the road. That includes back-to-back weeks at Minnesota and Green Bay and then at Houston and at Indianapolis.

I hope the Bills and their fans savored every moment of their brief appearance in the playoffs last January. Because this has the makings of a long year. I, personally, hammered this line back in May when it was 6.5. But now at 6.0 and 5.5 there isn't any value. As bad as Buffalo has been, they have won fewer than six games just once in the last decade and three times in the last 30 years. I wouldn't get on this wager, but if I had to I would go 'under'.

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