Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 7 NFL Betting Options
Calling your shot in sports is the ultimate move. Babe Ruth did it in 1932 when he pointed to the right field stands and then proceeded to hit the ball in exactly that area. In 1994, Mark Messier told the New York media that they were going to "win the series" despite being down 3-2 to the New Jersey Devils. The Rangers won the next two games and went on to win the Stanley Cup. And just last night, Denver Broncos linebacker Von Miller made good on his guarantee that they would go into Arizona and "kick their ass". While the last one may not ever be spoken of again, it just goes to show you that athletes sometimes speak things into existence and are brave enough to put their neck on the line to get their team going.
But enough about guarantees. Has any team fallen from grace more quickly than the Arizona Cardinals? Between 2013 and 2015, they had records of 10-6, 11-5, 13-3. Since then they are a combined 15-16-1, not including their 1-6 record this season. Talk about a complete disaster. The Cardinals are an organization that needs to retool and do it in a hurry, starting with the coaching staff, including both head coach and OC. Watching them call plays last night, (yes I know they have a rookie QB), reminded me of a kid playing Madden who just lets the computer pick his plays for him. But I digress.
As for last week's Basic Strategy Teaser, it did as well as the Cardinals did last night. It lost. The Browns got blown out, and two of the four alternative options would have been a better idea.
Remember, a Basic Strategy Teaser is a two-team wagering options that allows you to adjust the spread six, 6.5 or seven points to get a favorable spread. At Doc's Sports, we only recommend using six-point teasers and moving spreads through key numbers such as three and seven. If you would like more information how Basic Strategy Teasers work, click here .
Best Two-Team, Six-Point Teaser for Week 7. Lines courtesy of Bovada .
New Orleans +8.5 & Indianapolis -1.5 (-120)
Risk: $100 to win $83.33
So, let me get this straight. Las Vegas is giving us a 2.5-point cushion to work with if we like the Saints. The same Saints that are coming off a bye and have scored 43, 33, and 43 in their last three games. The same Saints team that is 4-1 and completely healthy, including the return of Mark Ingram from suspension. Okay, I'll bite.
Look, I understand that Baltimore's defense is among the best defensive units in the league. But what I also understand is that last week's domination, that included 11 sacks in a 21-0 win, came against the Tennessee Titans - who aren't exactly a good offensive team. Drew Brees and his supporting cast will have plenty of opportunities to score in this one, and it would shock me if Joe Flacco could produce enough to keep up with the high-powered Saints offense.
If you're going to give me an extra six-points in a six-point teaser, to the point where I can take the Saints at +8.5 - which is more than the key number of seven -- I am jumping all over this line once a day and twice on Sundays. Some would say that the Saints are in a lookahead spot to next week's rematch with the Minnesota Vikings, but the Saints are a veteran team with a veteran coach and they will be focused on the Ravens.
The second part of this teaser will rely on the Indianapolis Colts to get the victory against the reeling Buffalo Bills. The Bills are a train wreck - but we already knew that. Instead of rolling with Nathan Peterman again this week, they are going to give the QB duties to Derek Anderson, who was out of football just two weeks ago. If that's not another recipe for disaster, then I don't know what is.
The Colts have shown signs of life despite starting the season 1-5. They have shown us that they can score a bunch of points, putting up 34, 24 and 34, respectively, in their last three games. They should have beat Houston in Week 4, but a coaching decision backfired on them. Now they return home, and this is a spot I believe they get the victory.
Laying more than a touchdown with a 1-5 team is a bad idea, but if you can get that team down to essentially a pick-em, then you must do it, especially if they are playing the Bills. The Colts are expected to get T.Y. Hilton back in this one, and he will help Andrew Luck push the ball down field and open up the running game for Marlon Mack. The Colts will get the victory here, and teasing them down is the best move.
Alternative Options
Chicago +2.5 - Teasing the Bears up to 8.5 points might be the best way to attack this game. However, the Patriots are starting to click on all cylinders on offense, and if the Bears defense pulls a no-show like it did last week against Brock Osweiler then it could be a very long day once again. The Bears saving grace might be the fact that the Pats defense is underwhelming at the moment, and this could give Mitchell Trubisky a chance to score a bunch of points to keep up.
Dallas +1.5 - Dallas was very impressive last week against the Jaguars. Dak Prescott is finally starting to look like the player he was in his rookie year, and Ezekiel Elliott is continuing to be a beast running the football. However, they go up against a team in Washington who were impressive last week against Carolina and who will look to remain in first place in the NFC East. Taking as many points as possible is always a good idea in a divisional matchup.
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