New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Week 8 NFL Picks & Predictions 10/29/2018
Monday, October 29, 2018
New Era Field
Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game
The New England Patriots head to New Era Field to play the Buffalo Bills on Monday, October 29, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has New England as 13 point favorites. The total has been set at 44.5.
The Patriots are 4-3-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-3-0. The Bills are 3-4-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 2-5-0.
Valuable New England Patriots Betting Trends
The New England Patriots are 4-3-0 against the over/under
The New England Patriots are 4-3-0 against the spread
Important Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
The Buffalo Bills are 2-5-0 against the over/under
The Buffalo Bills are 3-4-0 against the spread
Key New England Patriots Injuries
10/22/18 RB Sony Michel Knee is downgraded to doubtful Monday vs Buffalo
10/21/18 WR Cody Hollister Undisclosed is questionable Monday vs Buffalo
10/21/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin injured last game, is questionable Monday vs Buffalo
10/21/18 DL Geneo Grissom Ankle is questionable Monday vs Buffalo
10/21/18 OL Marcus Cannon Head is questionable Monday vs Buffalo
10/21/18 TE Rob Gronkowski Back missed last game, is probable Monday vs Buffalo
09/26/18 LB Ja'Whaun Bentley Undisclosed IR
09/26/18 RB Rex Burkhead Neck IR
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/07/18 DB Duke Dawson Hamstring IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR
Key Buffalo Bills Injuries
10/21/18 RB Chris Ivory Ankle injured last game, is questionable Monday vs New England
10/21/18 QB Josh Allen Elbow is out indefinitely
10/21/18 RB LeSean McCoy Head left last game, is questionable Monday vs New England
10/21/18 RB Taiwan Jones Neck is questionable Monday vs New England
10/21/18 DE Trent Murphy Knee left last game, is questionable Monday vs New England
09/04/18 P Cory Carter ACL IR
Useful Offensive Statistics
The New England Patriots are 2nd in the National Football League in points scored with 214. They have run 461 plays this year for 2,668 yards, which ranks them 1st in the NFL in total offense. The Patriots average 5.8 yards per play, which is 3rd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 157 1st downs this season, ranking them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 846 yards as a unit, which ranks 10th in the league. They've run 202 times, averaging 4.2 yards per rush as a unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 33 times for 270 yards so far this year, which has them 26th in the NFL in penalties. Tom Brady has passed for 1,876 yards this year. He's completed 170 throws while attempting 250 passes for a completion percentage of 68%. His quarterback rating this season is 99.7. He averages 11 yards per completion and 7.5 yards per pass attempt.
Defensive Statistics
New England is 5th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 179. They have given up a total of 2,729 yards on D, which is 29th in the league. The Patriots are 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.9. Their pass defense has allowed 6.6 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 20th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 175 throws on 285 attempts against the New England Patriots defense this season, ranking them 28th and 30th in the league. The New England pass defense has also surrendered a total of 1,931 yards in the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 172 attempts for 798 yards this season, putting them in 20th place in the NFL against the run. The Patriots have had 43 penalties for 407 yards on defense this year. That places them 27th in the league. They've allowed a score on 38.8% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the NFL.
Special Teams Stats
New England is 18th in the NFL in punt returns with 8. They've totaled 65 punt return yards and are averaging 8.1 yards per return, which is 17th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 24 yards. They have returned 10 kicks for 253 yards on special teams, placing them 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 25.3 yards per kick return and have a long of 45 yards this season. They are 4th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 2,655. The New England Patriots have tried 13 field goals this season and made 12, which is 4th in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 92.3%. New England Patriots kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 20 for 20 this season. Their punters have accumulated 993 yards on 21 punts, averaging 47.3 yards per punt. That ranks them 27th in the NFL in punting average.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Buffalo Bills have run for 732 yards as a team, which ranks 6th in the NFL. They've run 190 times, averaging 3.9 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bills have been penalized on offense 54 times for 428 yards so far this season, which has them 23rd in the league in penalties. They are 22nd in the NFL in points scored with 81. They have run 417 plays this season for 1,638 yards, which ranks them 29th in the league in total offense. The Bills average 3.9 yards per play, which is 27th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 99 1st downs this year, placing them 26th overall as an offensive unit. Derek Anderson averages 5.6 yards per pass attempt and 8.8 yards per completion. He has completed 20 passes on 31 attempts for a completion percentage of 64.5%. His quarterback rating is 39.8. He has thrown for 175 yards this season.
Defensive Statistics
The Bills rush defense has allowed 184 attempts for 775 yards this year, putting them in 29th place in the league against the run. Buffalo has committed 41 penalties for 367 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 10th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 39% of possessions on defense, which is 25th in the league. They are 18th in the league in points allowed on defense with 175. They have surrendered a total of 2,246 yards on D, which is 26th in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills are ranked 15th in yards per play allowed with 5.1. Their pass defense has given up 5.8 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 17th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 157 passes on 235 attempts against the Buffalo defense this season, placing them 30th and 29th in the National Football League. The Bills pass defense has also given up a total of 1,471 yards through the air, which is 20th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The Buffalo Bills have attempted 10 field goals this season and made 9, which is 14th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 90.0%. Buffalo kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 7 for 7 this year. Their punters have totaled 1,645 yards on 37 punts, averaging 44.5 yards per punt. That places them 17th in the NFL in punting average. Buffalo is ranked 31st in the league in punt returns with 10. They've accumulated 45 punt return yards and average 4.5 yards per return, which is 10th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 13 yards. They have returned 13 kicks for 320 yards on special teams, ranking 17th in kick return yardage. The Bills average 24.6 yards per kick return and have a long of 49 yards this year. They are 30th in the league in all-purpose yards with 1,879.
Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bills NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Bills +13
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks Free NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Expert NFL Picks