Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Week 4 NFL Picks & Predictions 9/30/2018

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Gillette Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

Gillette Stadium is the venue for the game between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots on Sunday, September 30, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has New England as 9.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 48.

The Patriots are 1-2-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 1-2-0. The Dolphins are 3-0-0 ATS and their over/under record is 2-1-0.

Valuable Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

The Miami Dolphins are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Miami Dolphins are 3-0-0 against the spread

Important New England Patriots Betting Trends

The New England Patriots are 1-2-0 against the over/under

The New England Patriots are 1-2-0 against the spread

Key Miami Dolphins Injuries

09/25/18 DE Andre Branch Knee is out indefinitely
09/24/18 DE William Hayes Knee is out for season
09/23/18 TE A.J. Derby Foot left last game, is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/23/18 S Reshad Jones Shoulder is questionable Sunday vs New England
09/15/18 G Josh Sitton Shoulder IR
09/06/18 TE MarQueis Gray Achilles IR
09/04/18 C Jake Brendel Calf IR
09/04/18 LB Mike Hull Knee IR

Key New England Patriots Injuries

09/23/18 WR Josh Gordon Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/23/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/23/18 DL Trey Flowers Concussion is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/23/18 TE Jacob Hollister Chest is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/23/18 S Patrick Chung Concussion is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/23/18 RB Rex Burkhead Neck is questionable Sunday vs Miami
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/07/18 DB Duke Dawson Hamstring IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
07/04/18 WR Julian Edelman Suspension 4-game suspension (eligible to return 10/04 vs Indianapolis)

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Miami Dolphins have run for 296 yards as a unit, which ranks 29th in the league. They've run 74 times, averaging 4 yards per rush as a unit. The Dolphins have been penalized on offense 18 times for 135 yards so far this year, which has them 2nd in the NFL in penalties. They are 28th in the National Football League in points scored with 75. They have run 155 plays this year for 972 yards, which ranks them 25th in the NFL in total offense. The Dolphins average 6.3 yards per play, which is 22nd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 49 1st downs this season, ranking them 25th overall as an offensive unit. Ryan Tannehill has completed 54 throws while attempting 74 passes for a completion percentage of 73%. He has passed for 687 yards this year. He averages 12.7 yards per completion and 9.3 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating this season is 121.8.

Defensive Statistics

The Dolphins rush defense has given up 80 attempts for 267 yards this season, putting them in 14th place in the NFL against the run. They have had 20 penalties for 136 yards on defense this year. That places them 30th in the league. They've allowed a score on 30.6% of possessions on defense, which is 23rd in the NFL. Miami is 29th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 52. They have given up a total of 1,132 yards on D, which is 16th in the league. The Dolphins are 21st in yards per play allowed with 5.5. Their pass defense has allowed 7 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 23rd in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 72 throws on 118 attempts against the Miami Dolphins defense this season, ranking them 16th and 9th in the league. The Miami pass defense has also surrendered a total of 865 yards in the air, which is 16th overall in total pass defense.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New England Patriots are 2nd in the NFL in points scored with 57. They have run 180 plays this season for 900 yards, which ranks them 1st in the league in total offense. The Patriots average 5 yards per play, which is 3rd in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 53 1st downs this year, placing them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 293 yards as a team, which ranks 10th in the NFL. They've run 74 times, averaging 4 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 13 times for 99 yards so far this season, which has them 26th in the league in penalties. Tom Brady has thrown for 644 yards this season. He has completed 64 passes on 100 attempts for a completion percentage of 64%. His quarterback rating this season is 93.9. He averages 6.4 yards per pass attempt and 10.1 yards per completion.

Defensive Statistics

New England is 5th in the league in points allowed on defense with 77. They have surrendered a total of 1,219 yards on D, which is 29th in the NFL. The Patriots are ranked 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.8. Their pass defense has given up 6.6 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 20th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 73 passes on 115 attempts against the New England defense this season, placing them 28th and 30th in the National Football League. The Patriots pass defense has also given up a total of 789 yards through the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 91 attempts for 430 yards this year, putting them in 20th place in the league against the run. The New England Patriots have committed 19 penalties for 185 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 27th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 41.7% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots -9.5

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