Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons Week 4 NFL Picks & Predictions 9/30/2018

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The Cincinnati Bengals head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to play the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, September 30, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta as 5.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 48.

The Bengals are 2-1-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-0-0. The Falcons are 1-2-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 2-1-0.

Valuable Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-0-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Bengals are 2-1-0 against the spread

Important Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Atlanta Falcons are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Falcons are 1-2-0 against the spread

Key Cincinnati Bengals Injuries

09/25/18 C Billy Price Foot is OUT 3-4 weeks
09/24/18 WR A.J. Green Groin is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/24/18 DT Ryan Glasgow Knee is out indefinitely
09/23/18 DE Michael Johnson Knee is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/23/18 LB Preston Brown Ankle is questionable Sunday vs Atlanta
09/15/18 RB Joe Mixon Knee is OUT 2-3 weeks
09/04/18 TE Cethan Carter Shoulder IR
09/04/18 CB Davontae Harris Knee IR
09/04/18 QB Matt Barkley Knee IR
09/04/18 S Trayvon Henderson Knee IR
08/31/18 LB Vontaze Burfict Suspension 4-game suspension (eligible to return 10/07 vs Miami)
07/28/18 OL Rod Taylor ACL IR

Key Atlanta Falcons Injuries

09/24/18 S Ricardo Allen Achilles is out for season
09/23/18 LB Corey Nelson Calf is questionable Sunday vs Cincinnati
09/23/18 DE Derrick Shelby Groin is questionable Sunday vs Cincinnati
09/23/18 CB Justin Bethel Knee injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs Cincinnati
09/23/18 DE Takkarist McKinley Groin is questionable Sunday vs Cincinnati
09/19/18 G Andy Levitre Triceps IR
09/16/18 RB Devonta Freeman Knee is OUT 2-3 weeks
09/11/18 LB Deion Jones Foot IR
09/09/18 S Keanu Neal ACL IR

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Cincinnati Bengals are 26th in the National Football League in points scored with 89. They have run 181 plays this year for 1,099 yards, which ranks them 32nd in the NFL in total offense. The Bengals average 6.1 yards per play, which is 28th in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 68 1st downs this season, ranking them 30th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Cincinnati has run for 275 yards as a unit, which ranks 31st in the league. They've run 61 times, averaging 4.5 yards per rush as a unit. The Bengals have been penalized on offense 21 times for 222 yards so far this year, which has them 12th in the NFL in penalties. Andy Dalton has passed for 860 yards this year. He's completed 74 throws while attempting 116 passes for a completion percentage of 63.8%. His quarterback rating this season is 91.2. He averages 11.6 yards per completion and 7.4 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Cincinnati is 16th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 77. They have given up a total of 1,182 yards on D, which is 18th in the league. The Bengals are 7th in yards per play allowed with 5.3. Their pass defense has allowed 5.8 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 4th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 86 throws on 132 attempts against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this season, ranking them 15th and 23rd in the league. The Cincinnati pass defense has also surrendered a total of 811 yards in the air, which is 8th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 85 attempts for 371 yards this season, putting them in 30th place in the NFL against the run. The Bengals have had 17 penalties for 159 yards on defense this year. That places them 15th in the league. They've allowed a score on 40% of possessions on defense, which is 24th in the NFL.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Atlanta Falcons have run for 292 yards as a team, which ranks 13th in the NFL. They've run 72 times, averaging 4.1 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Falcons have been penalized on offense 22 times for 215 yards so far this season, which has them 20th in the league in penalties. They are 15th in the NFL in points scored with 80. They have run 185 plays this season for 1,148 yards, which ranks them 8th in the league in total offense. The Falcons average 6.2 yards per play, which is 5th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 63 1st downs this year, placing them 9th overall as an offensive unit. Matt Ryan averages 8.5 yards per pass attempt and 12.8 yards per completion. He has completed 70 passes on 106 attempts for a completion percentage of 66%. His quarterback rating is 106.5. He has thrown for 897 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Falcons rush defense has allowed 72 attempts for 377 yards this year, putting them in 9th place in the league against the run. Atlanta has committed 29 penalties for 270 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 13th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 42.9% of possessions on defense, which is 21st in the league. They are 8th in the league in points allowed on defense with 85. They have surrendered a total of 1,205 yards on D, which is 9th in the NFL. The Atlanta Falcons are ranked 13th in yards per play allowed with 5.8. Their pass defense has given up 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 10th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 91 passes on 129 attempts against the Atlanta defense this season, placing them 25th and 16th in the National Football League. The Falcons pass defense has also given up a total of 828 yards through the air, which is 12th overall in total pass defense.

Who will win tonight's Bengals/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -5.5

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