Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Week 16 NFL Picks & Predictions 12/23/2018

Sunday, December 23, 2018

Gillette Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, December 23, 2018. The opening line for this game has New England as 10.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 45.5.

The Patriots have an over/under record of 5-9-0 and they are 8-6-0 against the spread. The Bills have an ATS record of 5-9-0 while their over/under record is 6-8-0.

Valuable Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills are 6-8-0 against the over/under

The Buffalo Bills are 5-9-0 against the spread

Important New England Patriots Betting Trends

The New England Patriots are 5-9-0 against the over/under

The New England Patriots are 8-6-0 against the spread

Key Buffalo Bills Injuries

12/18/18 RB Marcus Murphy Elbow IR
12/16/18 RB Chris Ivory Shoulder is questionable Sunday vs New England
12/16/18 RB LeSean McCoy Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs New England
12/16/18 TE Logan Thomas Hamstring is questionable Sunday vs New England
12/12/18 LB Matt Milano Foot IR
12/11/18 CB Taron Johnson Ankle IR
12/05/18 C Russell Bodine Fibula IR
11/01/18 RB Taiwan Jones Neck IR
09/04/18 P Cory Carter ACL IR

Key New England Patriots Injuries

12/18/18 DB Devin McCourty Undisclosed is questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
11/06/18 C Brian Schwenke Foot IR
10/31/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin IR
09/26/18 LB Ja'Whaun Bentley Undisclosed IR
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Buffalo Bills have run for 1,746 yards as a team, which ranks 6th in the NFL. They've run 417 times, averaging 4.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bills have been penalized on offense 110 times for 939 yards so far this season, which has them 23rd in the league in penalties. They are 22nd in the NFL in points scored with 215. They have run 889 plays this season for 4,108 yards, which ranks them 29th in the league in total offense. The Bills average 4.6 yards per play, which is 27th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 246 1st downs this year, placing them 26th overall as an offensive unit. Josh Allen averages 6.5 yards per pass attempt and 12.4 yards per completion. He has completed 132 passes on 253 attempts for a completion percentage of 52.2%. His quarterback rating is 65.5. He has thrown for 1,633 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Bills rush defense has allowed 368 attempts for 1,467 yards this year, putting them in 29th place in the league against the run. Buffalo has committed 90 penalties for 892 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 10th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 35.2% of possessions on defense, which is 25th in the league. They are 18th in the league in points allowed on defense with 333. They have surrendered a total of 4,091 yards on D, which is 26th in the NFL. The Bills are ranked 15th in yards per play allowed with 4.9. Their pass defense has given up 5.6 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 17th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 281 passes on 435 attempts against the Buffalo Bills defense this season, placing them 30th and 29th in the National Football League. The Buffalo pass defense has also given up a total of 2,624 yards through the air, which is 20th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Buffalo Bills have attempted 24 field goals this season and made 20, which is 14th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 83.3%. Buffalo Bills kickers have made 95% of their extra points, going 19 for 20 this year. Their punters have totaled 3,173 yards on 73 punts, averaging 43.5 yards per punt. That places them 17th in the NFL in punting average. Buffalo is ranked 31st in the league in punt returns with 27. They've accumulated 178 punt return yards and average 6.6 yards per return, which is 10th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 31 yards. They have returned 32 kicks for 691 yards on special teams, ranking 17th in kick return yardage. The Bills average 21.6 yards per kick return and have a long of 49 yards this year. They are 30th in the league in all-purpose yards with 5,256.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New England Patriots are 2nd in the National Football League in points scored with 374. They have run 936 plays this year for 5,530 yards, which ranks them 1st in the NFL in total offense. The Patriots average 5.9 yards per play, which is 3rd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 321 1st downs this season, ranking them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 1,633 yards as a unit, which ranks 10th in the league. They've run 401 times, averaging 4.1 yards per rush as a unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 84 times for 665 yards so far this year, which has them 26th in the NFL in penalties. Tom Brady has passed for 3,979 yards this year. He's completed 338 throws while attempting 513 passes for a completion percentage of 65.9%. His quarterback rating this season is 97.6. He averages 11.8 yards per completion and 7.8 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

New England is 5th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 310. They have given up a total of 5,218 yards on D, which is 29th in the league. The Patriots are 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.9. Their pass defense has allowed 6.4 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 20th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 334 throws on 536 attempts against the New England defense this season, ranking them 28th and 30th in the league. The Patriots pass defense has also surrendered a total of 3,591 yards in the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 326 attempts for 1,627 yards this season, putting them in 20th place in the NFL against the run. The New England Patriots have had 84 penalties for 779 yards on defense this year. That places them 27th in the league. They've allowed a score on 35.6% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the NFL.

Special Teams Stats

New England is 18th in the NFL in punt returns with 20. They've totaled 134 punt return yards and are averaging 6.7 yards per return, which is 17th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 24 yards. They have returned 25 kicks for 714 yards on special teams, placing them 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 28.6 yards per kick return and have a long of 95 yards this season. They are 4th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 6,510. The New England Patriots have tried 30 field goals this season and made 25, which is 4th in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 83.3%. New England kickers have made 98% of their extra points, going 41 for 42 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,467 yards on 54 punts, averaging 45.7 yards per punt. That ranks them 27th in the NFL in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bills +10.5

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