Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins Week 1 NFL Picks & Predictions 9/10/2017

Sunday, September 10, 2017

Hard Rock Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

Hard Rock Stadium is the venue for the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, September 10, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 2.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 47.5. The Dolphins were 9-7-1 against the spread last year and their over/under mark was 12-5-0. The Buccaneers were 9-7-0 ATS and their over/under record was 7-8-1.

Valuable Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were 7-8-1 against the over/under last season

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were 9-7-0 against the spread last year

Important Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

The Miami Dolphins were 12-5-0 against the over/under last season

The Miami Dolphins were 9-7-1 against the spread last year

Key Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injuries

08/28/17 RB Doug Martin Suspension 3-game suspension (eligible 10/1 vs. New York)
08/28/17 DT Gerald McCoy Groin "?" Sunday vs. Miami
08/12/17 CB Jude Adjei-Barimah Knee out for season
07/30/17 DE Jacquies Smith Knee PUP

Key Miami Dolphins Injuries

08/15/17 CB Tony Lippett Achilles out for season
08/06/17 S T.J. McDonald Suspension 8-game suspension (eligible to return 11/05 vs Oakland)
08/04/17 QB Ryan Tannehill Knee IR

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran for 1,616 yards as a unit last year, which ranked 24th in the league. They ran 453 times, averaging 3.6 yards per rush as a unit. The Buccaneers were penalized on offense 109 times for 926 yards last season, which had them 15th in the NFL in penalties. They were 18th in the National Football League in points scored with 354. They ran 1,066 plays last year for 5,542 yards, which ranked them 18th in the NFL in total offense. The Buccaneers averaged 5.2 yards per play, which was 23rd in the league. As a team they accumulated a total of 340 1st downs last season, ranking them 11th overall as an offensive unit. Jameis Winston completed 345 throws while attempting 567 passes for a completion percentage of 60.8% last year. He passed for 4,090 yards. He averaged 11.9 yards per completion and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating last season was 86.1 and his QBR was 64.7.

Defensive Statistics

The Buccaneers rush defense gave up 427 attempts for 1,875 yards last season, putting them in 22nd place in the NFL against the run. They had 121 penalties for 1061 yards on defense last year. That placed them 29th in the league. They allowed a score on 35.9% of possessions on defense, which was 18th in the NFL. Tampa Bay was 15th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 369. They gave up a total of 5,887 yards on D, which was 23rd in the league. The Buccaneers were 25th in yards per play allowed with 5.8. Their pass defense allowed 6.8 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 26th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses completed 347 throws on 548 attempts against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last season, ranking them 14th and 11th in the league. The Tampa Bay pass defense also surrendered a total of 4,012 yards in the air, which was 22nd overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tried 31 field goals last season and made 22, which was 24th in the league. Their kickers had a FG percentage of 71.0%. Tampa Bay Buccaneers kickers made 94% of their extra points, going 32 for 34 last season. Their punters accumulated 3,216 yards on 70 punts, averaging 29 yards per punt. That ranked them 12th in the NFL in punting average. Tampa Bay was 19th in the NFL in punt returns with 29 last year. They totaled 266 punt return yards and averaged 9.2 yards per return, which was 12th in the league. Their longest punt return last season was 25 yards. They returned 21 kicks for 307 yards on special teams, placing them 32nd in kick return yardage. The Buccaneers averaged 14.6 yards per kick return and had a long of 26 yards last season. They were 27th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 6,354.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Miami Dolphins were 17th in the NFL in points scored with 363 last season. They ran 913 plays last year for 5,324 yards, which ranked them 24th in the league in total offense. The Dolphins averaged 5.8 yards per play, which was 7th in the National Football League. As a team they accumulated a total of 278 1st downs last year, placing them 31st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Miami ran for 1,824 yards as a team, which ranked 9th in the NFL. They ran 406 times last year, averaging 4.5 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Dolphins were penalized on offense 125 times for 1,142 yards last season, which had them 4th in the league in penalties. Jay Cutler threw for 1,059 yards last season. He completed 81 passes on 137 attempts for a completion percentage of 59.1%. His QBR last year was 33.2 while is quarterback rating was 78.1. He averaged 7.7 yards per pass attempt and 13.1 yards per completion.

Defensive Statistics

Miami was 18th in the league in points allowed on defense with 380 last year. They surrendered a total of 6,122 yards on D, which was 29th in the NFL. The Dolphins were ranked 19th in yards per play allowed with 5.6. Their pass defense gave up 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 11th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses completed 368 passes on 591 attempts against the Miami defense last season, placing them 18th and 24th in the National Football League. The Miami Dolphins pass defense also gave up a total of 3,875 yards through the air, which was 15th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense allowed 464 attempts for 2,247 yards last year, putting them in 30th place in the league against the run. The Dolphins committed 109 penalties for 919 yards on the defensive side of the ball last season. That ranked them 13th in the NFL. They gave up a score on 35.1% of possessions on defense, which was 15th in the league.

Special Teams Stats

Miami was ranked 11th in the league in punt returns last season with 36. They accumulated 328 punt return yards and averaged 9.1 yards per return, which was 13th in the NFL. Their longest punt return last year was 74 yards. They returned 36 kicks for 879 yards on special teams, ranking 9th in kick return yardage. The Dolphins averaged 24.4 yards per kick return and had a long of 96 yards last year. They were 19th in the league in all-purpose yards with 6,747. The Miami Dolphins attempted 21 field goals last season and made 16, which was 32nd in the National Football League. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 76.2%. Miami kickers made 98% of their extra points, going 41 for 42 last year. Their punters totaled 3,991 yards on 90 punts, averaging 36 yards per punt. That placed them 23rd in the NFL in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -2.5

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