Saturday, January 7, 2017

NRG Stadium

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The Oakland Raiders take on the Houston Texans on Saturday, January 7, 2017 at NRG Stadium in the AFC Wild Card round. The opening line for this game has Houston as 1.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 36.5. The Raiders are 10-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 11-5-0. The Texans have an over/under record of 6-10-0 and they are 6-9-1 against the spread.

Connor Cook finished with 150 yards through the air for Oakland last week. He completed 14 passes out of 21 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. The Raiders were led in rushing by DeAndre Washington, who finished with 43 yards on 7 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Michael Crabtree was the team leader in receiving with a total of 47 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. As a team in that game Oakland got a total of 11 first downs. Of those first downs, 2 came on the ground while 7 came through the air. They ran 50 total plays for 221 yards for the game. The Raiders ran for 57 yards on 16 attempts.

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Brock Osweiler finished with 253 yards passing for Houston last week. He went 21 for 40, resulting in a 53% completion percentage. The Texans were led on the ground by Alfred Blue, who finished with 28 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. DeAndre Hopkins led the team in receiving with 123 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 18 yards per reception. Houston had 20 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 13 came from a pass. They ran 74 total plays for 289 yards for the contest. The Texans ran for 46 yards on 22 carries as a team.

Oakland scores 26 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 7th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 24 passes on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 253 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 13th in the league. The Raiders run for an average of 120 yards per game on 27 attempts for an average of 4.4 yards per carry. That ranks them 6th in the league. They also run 66 plays per contest and average 5.7 yards per play for an average of 373 yards per game, ranking their offense 6th overall this season. The Raiders average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 13th in the NFL. They accumulate 77.9 penalty yards per game via 9.2 penalties, which ranks 1st in the league.

Oakland allows 258 passing yards per game, ranking 24th, and they allow 24 points per contest on defense, which ranks 20th. They give up 21 completions on 34 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 62%. The Raiders allow 118 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4.5 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 23rd in the NFL. Oakland allows 375 total yards per game including 6.1 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 26th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.2 penalties for 66.4 yards per game, ranking them 20th among NFL teams.

Houston averages 17 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 29th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 22 passes per game on 36 attempts for a 61% completion percentage. They throw for 199 yards through the air per game, ranking them 29th. The Texans run for an average of 116 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 8th on the ground. They also run 67 plays per game and average 4.7 yards per play for a total of 315 yards per game, ranking them 29th in the league on offense. The Texans get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 24th. They average 54.2 penalty yards per game via 5.4 penalties, ranking them 30th in the NFL.

Houston allows an average of 202 passing yards per game, which ranks 2nd in the league. Their defense overall allows 21 points per contest, which has them ranked 11th. They give up 20 completions on 33 attempts for a completion percentage of 61% per game. The Texans allow 100 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 13th in the NFL. Houston allows 301 total yards per game for an average of 5.1 yards per play, which ranks 1st in the league. They force 7.1 penalties for 59.3 yards in each contest, ranking 17th.

Oakland Betting Trends

Oakland is 11-5-0 against the over/under this season

Oakland has an ATS record of 10-6-0 this season

Houston Betting Trends

Houston is 6-10-0 against the over/under this season

Houston has an ATS record of 6-9-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Oakland

12/27/16 LB Shilique Calhoun Knee IR
12/25/16 QB Derek Carr Fibula expected to miss 6-8 weeks
12/04/16 CB DJ Hayden Hamstring IR
10/05/16 LB Ben Heeney Ankle IR
10/03/16 TE Lee Smith Leg out indefinitely
08/17/16 TE Gabe Holmes Foot out indefinitely
08/11/16 OLB Aldon Smith Suspension out indefinitely
01/02/17 T Austin Howard Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Houston
01/02/17 S Karl Joseph Foot "?" Saturday vs. Houston
01/02/17 QB Matt McGloin Shoulder injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Houston
01/02/17 S Nate Allen Concussion injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Houston
01/02/17 DT Stacy McGee Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Houston

Houston

12/14/16 WR Braxton Miller Shoulder IR
12/10/16 WR Jaelen Strong Ankle IR
11/12/16 S Lonnie Ballentine Groin IR
10/25/16 T Derek Newton Knee IR
10/17/16 CB Kevin Johnson Foot IR
10/17/16 S K.J. Dillon ACL IR
10/05/16 DT Devon Still Undisclosed IR
09/30/16 DE J.J. Watt Back IR
08/31/16 S Kurtis Drummond Leg IR
08/31/16 G Nick Martin Ankle IR
08/31/16 K Ka'imi Fairbairn Quad IR
01/02/17 LB Brian Cushing Ankle probable Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 LB Jadeveon Clowney Elbow "?" Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 RB Lamar Miller Ankle probable Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 QB Tom Savage Concussion injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 FB Jay Prosch Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 LB John Simon Chest "?" Saturday vs. Oakland
01/02/17 CB Johnathan Joseph Shoulder probable Saturday vs. Oakland

Josh's Pick: Take Houston -1.5

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