New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Week 1 NFL Picks & Predictions 9/10/2017

Sunday, September 10, 2017

New Era Field

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The New York Jets head to New Era Field to play the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, September 10, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Buffalo as 5.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 41.5. The Jets were 6-10-0 against the spread last season and their over/under record was 7-9-0. The Bills were 6-10-0 against the spread and their over/under mark was 12-4-0.

Valuable New York Jets Betting Trends

The New York Jets were 7-9-0 against the over/under last season

The New York Jets were 6-10-0 against the spread last year

Important Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills were 12-4-0 against the over/under last season

The Buffalo Bills were 6-10-0 against the spread last year

Key New York Jets Injuries

08/28/17 TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins Suspension 2-game suspension (eligible to return 9/24 vs. Philadelphia)
08/07/17 WR Quincy Enunwa Neck IR
07/30/17 WR Devin Smith ACL IR
07/30/17 WR Jalin Marshall Suspension 4-game suspension (eligible 10/8 vs. LA Chargers)

Key Buffalo Bills Injuries

08/28/17 QB T.J. Yates Concussion "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
08/28/17 T Seantrel Henderson Suspension 5-game suspension (eligible to return 10/22 vs. Tampa Bay)
08/28/17 WR Walter Powell Suspension 4-game suspension (eligible to return 10/8 vs. Cincinnati)
08/27/17 QB Tyrod Taylor Concussion "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
08/20/17 WR Anquan Boldin Retired out for season
08/14/17 WR Jordan Matthews Sternum "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
07/30/17 S Colt Anderson Foot PUP

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New York Jets were 30th in the National Football League in points scored with 275 last year. They ran 1,003 plays for 5,268 yards, which ranked them 26th in the NFL in total offense. The Jets averaged 5.3 yards per play, which was 20th in the league. As a team they accumulated a total of 291 1st downs last season, ranking them 27th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New York ran for 1,802 yards as a unit, which ranked 12th in the league. They ran 418 times, averaging 4.3 yards per rush as a unit. The Jets were penalized on offense 93 times for 837 yards last year, which had them 29th in the NFL in penalties. Josh McCown passed for 1,100 yards last year. He completed 90 throws while attempting 165 passes for a completion percentage of 54.5%. His quarterback rating last season was 72.3 and his QBR was 35.1. He averaged 12.2 yards per completion and 6.7 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

New York was 28th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense last year with 409. They gave up a total of 5,479 yards on D, which was 11th in the league. The Jets were 13th in yards per play allowed with 5.5. Their pass defense allowed 6.8 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 24th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses completed 347 throws on 545 attempts against the New York Jets defense last season, ranking them 12th and 8th in the league. The New York pass defense also surrendered a total of 3,898 yards in the air, which was 17th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense gave up 428 attempts for 1,581 yards last season, putting them in 11th place in the NFL against the run. The Jets had 74 penalties for 651 yards on defense last year. That placed them 1st in the league. They allowed a score on 37.7% of possessions on defense, which was 20th in the NFL.

Special Teams Stats

New York was 23rd in the NFL in punt returns with 27 last year. They totaled 149 punt return yards and averaged 5.5 yards per return, which was 31st in the league. Their longest punt return last season was 27 yards. They returned 43 kicks for 941 yards on special teams, placing them 5th in kick return yardage. The Jets averaged 21.9 yards per kick return and had a long of 65 yards last season. They were 25th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 6,537. The New York Jets tried 31 field goals last season and made 27, which was 15th in the league. Their kickers had a FG percentage of 87.1%. New York Jets kickers made 92% of their extra points, going 24 for 26 last season. Their punters accumulated 3,236 yards on 76 punts, averaging 27 yards per punt. That ranked them 29th in the NFL in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Buffalo Bills ran for 2,630 yards as a team last year, which ranked 1st in the NFL. They ran 492 times, averaging 5.3 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bills were penalized on offense 112 times for 960 yards last season, which had them 9th in the league in penalties. They were 10th in the NFL in points scored with 399. They ran 1,012 plays last season for 5,666 yards, which ranked them 16th in the league in total offense. The Bills averaged 5.6 yards per play, which was 12th in the National Football League. As a team they accumulated a total of 328 1st downs last year, placing them 16th overall as an offensive unit. Tyrod Taylor averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt and 11.2 yards per completion last season. He completed 269 passes on 436 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.7%. His QBR last year was 68.2 while is quarterback rating was 89.7. He threw for 3,023 yards.

Defensive Statistics

The Bills rush defense allowed 469 attempts for 2,130 yards last year, putting them in 29th place in the league against the run. Buffalo committed 106 penalties for 884 yards on the defensive side of the ball last season. That ranked them 10th in the NFL. They gave up a score on 38.8% of possessions on defense, which was 22nd in the league. They were 16th in the league in points allowed on defense with 378. They surrendered a total of 5,712 yards on D, which was 19th in the NFL. The Bills were ranked 20th in yards per play allowed with 5.6. Their pass defense gave up 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 19th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses completed 306 passes on 511 attempts against the Buffalo defense last season, placing them 1st and 1st in the National Football League. The Buffalo Bills pass defense also gave up a total of 3,582 yards through the air, which was 6th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Buffalo Bills attempted 25 field goals last season and made 19, which was 28th in the National Football League. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 76.0%. Buffalo kickers made 89% of their extra points, going 40 for 45 last year. Their punters totaled 3,183 yards on 75 punts, averaging 28 yards per punt. That placed them 31st in the NFL in punting average. Buffalo was ranked 21st in the league in punt returns last season with 28. They accumulated 314 punt return yards and averaged 11.2 yards per return, which was 6th in the NFL. Their longest punt return last year was 43 yards. They returned 39 kicks for 829 yards on special teams, ranking 10th in kick return yardage. The Bills averaged 21.3 yards per kick return and had a long of 45 yards last year. They were 9th in the league in all-purpose yards with 7,023.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -5.5

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