New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 5 NFL Picks & Predictions 10/5/2017

Thursday, October 5, 2017

Raymond James Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The New England Patriots travel to Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday, October 5, 2017. The opening line for this game has New England as 5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53.5. The Patriots have an ATS record of 1-3-0 while their over/under record is 4-0-0. The Buccaneers have an over/under record of 2-1-0 and they are 1-2-0 against the spread.

Valuable New England Patriots Betting Trends

The New England Patriots are 4-0-0 against the over/under

The New England Patriots are 1-3-0 against the spread

Important Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-2-0 against the spread

Key New England Patriots Injuries

10/01/17 DB Brandon King Hamstring "?" Thursday vs. Tampa Bay
10/01/17 LB Elandon Roberts Ankle injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. Tampa Bay
10/01/17 DB Eric Rowe Groin injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. Tampa Bay
10/01/17 RB Rex Burkhead Ribs "?" Thursday vs. Tampa Bay
09/22/17 DT Vincent Valentine Knee IR
09/06/17 WR Malcolm Mitchell Knee IR
09/05/17 WR Julian Edelman ACL IR
09/04/17 LB Shea McClellin Undisclosed IR
09/01/17 CB Cyrus Jones ACL IR

Key Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injuries

10/01/17 S T.J. Ward Quad "?" Thursday vs. New England
10/01/17 RB Doug Martin Suspension Served probable Thursday vs. New England
10/01/17 S Keith Tandy Hip injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. New England
10/01/17 LB Kwon Alexander Hamstring "?" Thursday vs. New England
09/26/17 LB Lavonte David Ankle out indefinitely
09/05/17 DT Stevie Tu'ikolovatu Knee IR
09/01/17 DT DaVonte Lambert Wrist IR

Useful Offensive Statistics

The New England Patriots are 2nd in the NFL in points scored with 129. They have run 273 plays this season for 1,695 yards, which ranks them 1st in the league in total offense. The Patriots average 6.2 yards per play, which is 3rd in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 99 1st downs this year, placing them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 382 yards as a team, which ranks 20th in the NFL. They've run 105 times, averaging 3.6 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 27 times for 245 yards so far this season, which has them 19th in the league in penalties. Tom Brady has thrown for 1,399 yards this season. He has completed 103 passes on 155 attempts for a completion percentage of 66.5%. His quarterback rating is 116.6. He averages 9 yards per pass attempt and 13.6 yards per completion.

Defensive Statistics

New England is 31st in the league in points allowed on defense with 128. They have surrendered a total of 1,827 yards on D, which is 32nd in the NFL. The Patriots are ranked 32nd in yards per play allowed with 7.2. Their pass defense has given up 8.6 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 32nd in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 99 passes on 142 attempts against the New England Patriots defense this season, placing them 30th and 21st in the National Football League. The New England pass defense has also given up a total of 1,296 yards through the air, which is 32nd overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 105 attempts for 531 yards this year, putting them in 26th place in the league against the run. The Patriots have committed 31 penalties for 267 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 27th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 48.9% of possessions on defense, which is 32nd in the league.

Special Teams Stats

New England is ranked 25th in the league in punt returns with 4. They've accumulated 61 punt return yards and average 15.3 yards per return, which is 3rd in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 33 yards. They have returned 5 kicks for 93 yards on special teams, ranking 18th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 18.6 yards per kick return and have a long of 26 yards this year. They are 1st in the league in all-purpose yards with 1,548. The New England Patriots have attempted 5 field goals this season and made 5, which is 14th in the National Football League. New England Patriots kickers have made 91% of their extra points, going 10 for 11 this year. Their punters have totaled 625 yards on 15 punts, averaging 41.7 yards per punt. That places them 32nd in the NFL in punting average.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run for 254 yards as a unit, which ranks 29th in the league. They've run 66 times, averaging 3.8 yards per rush as a unit. The Buccaneers have been penalized on offense 15 times for 90 yards so far this year, which has them 31st in the NFL in penalties. They are 25th in the National Football League in points scored with 71. They have run 180 plays this year for 1,087 yards, which ranks them 29th in the NFL in total offense. The Buccaneers average 6 yards per play, which is 7th in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 62 1st downs this season, ranking them 29th overall as an offensive unit. Jameis Winston has completed 68 throws while attempting 108 passes for a completion percentage of 63%. He has passed for 864 yards this year. He averages 12.7 yards per completion and 8 yards per pass attempt. His quarterback rating this season is 94.8.

Defensive Statistics

The Buccaneers rush defense has given up 81 attempts for 236 yards this season, putting them in 3rd place in the NFL against the run. They have had 14 penalties for 112 yards on defense this year. That places them 1st in the league. They've allowed a score on 34.4% of possessions on defense, which is 15th in the NFL. Tampa Bay is 4th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 64. They have given up a total of 1,183 yards on D, which is 7th in the league. The Buccaneers are 26th in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Their pass defense has allowed 7.4 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 28th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 86 throws on 127 attempts against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this season, ranking them 17th and 11th in the league. The Buccaneers pass defense has also surrendered a total of 947 yards in the air, which is 23rd overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have tried 4 field goals this season and made 4, which is 26th in the league. Tampa Bay kickers have made 80% of their extra points, going 4 for 5 this season. Their punters have accumulated 309 yards on 7 punts, averaging 44.1 yards per punt. That ranks them 25th in the NFL in punting average. Their longest punt return this season is 17 yards. They have returned 3 kicks for 79 yards on special teams, placing them 24th in kick return yardage. The Buccaneers average 26.3 yards per kick return and have a long of 50 yards this season. They are 31st in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 771.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots -5

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