Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans Week 1 NFL Picks & Predictions 9/10/2017

Sunday, September 10, 2017

NRG Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The Houston Texans host the Jacksonville Jaguars at NRG Stadium on Sunday, September 10, 2017. The opening line for this game has Houston as 4 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 42.5. The Texans had an over/under record of 8-10-0 and they were 7-10-1 against the spread last year. The Jaguars had an ATS record of 8-8-0 while their over/under record was 10-6-0.

Valuable Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends

The Jacksonville Jaguars were 10-6-0 against the over/under last season

The Jacksonville Jaguars were 8-8-0 against the spread last year

Important Houston Texans Betting Trends

The Houston Texans were 8-10-0 against the over/under last season

The Houston Texans were 7-10-1 against the spread last year

Key Jacksonville Jaguars Injuries

08/28/17 RB T.J. Yeldon Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Houston
08/26/17 QB Blake Bortles None expected to start Sunday vs. Houston
08/14/17 WR Marqise Lee Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Houston
08/04/17 LS Carson Tinker Knee out for season

Key Houston Texans Injuries

08/28/17 RB Alfred Blue Ankle doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville
08/28/17 WR Braxton Miller Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
08/28/17 WR DeAndre Hopkins Hand probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville
08/25/17 WR Jaelen Strong Suspension expected to miss Sunday vs. Jacksonville
08/02/17 WR Will Fuller Collarbone out indefinitely
07/30/17 T Derek Newton Knee PUP

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Jacksonville Jaguars ran for 1,631 yards as a team last year, which ranked 22nd in the NFL. They ran 392 times, averaging 4.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Jaguars were penalized on offense 129 times for 1,187 yards last season, which had them 2nd in the league in penalties. They were 25th in the NFL in points scored with 318. They ran 1,052 plays last season for 5,359 yards, which ranked them 23rd in the league in total offense. The Jaguars averaged 5.1 yards per play, which was 26th in the National Football League. As a team they accumulated a total of 321 1st downs last year, placing them 19th overall as an offensive unit. Blake Bortles averaged 6.2 yards per pass attempt and 10.6 yards per completion last season. He completed 368 passes on 625 attempts for a completion percentage of 58.9%. His QBR last year was 49.2 while is quarterback rating was 78.8. He threw for 3,905 yards.

Defensive Statistics

The Jaguars rush defense allowed 446 attempts for 1,703 yards last year, putting them in 19th place in the league against the run. Jacksonville committed 101 penalties for 948 yards on the defensive side of the ball last season. That ranked them 19th in the NFL. They gave up a score on 39.3% of possessions on defense, which was 24th in the league. They were 25th in the league in points allowed on defense with 400. They surrendered a total of 5,147 yards on D, which was 6th in the NFL. The Jaguars were ranked 3rd in yards per play allowed with 5. Their pass defense gave up 5.9 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 5th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses completed 345 passes on 551 attempts against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last season, placing them 11th and 13th in the National Football League. The Jacksonville pass defense also gave up a total of 3,444 yards through the air, which was 5th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Jacksonville Jaguars attempted 34 field goals last season and made 27, which was 17th in the National Football League. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 79.4%. Jacksonville Jaguars kickers made 91% of their extra points, going 29 for 32 last year. Their punters totaled 3,589 yards on 77 punts, averaging 40 yards per punt. That placed them 8th in the NFL in punting average. Jacksonville was ranked 5th in the league in punt returns last season with 40. They accumulated 220 punt return yards and averaged 5.5 yards per return, which was 32nd in the NFL. Their longest punt return last year was 42 yards. They returned 37 kicks for 881 yards on special teams, ranking 8th in kick return yardage. The Jaguars averaged 23.8 yards per kick return and had a long of 100 yards last year. They were 22nd in the league in all-purpose yards with 6,657.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Houston Texans were 28th in the National Football League in points scored with 279 last year. They ran 1,071 plays for 5,035 yards, which ranked them 29th in the NFL in total offense. The Texans averaged 4.7 yards per play, which was 31st in the league. As a team they accumulated a total of 305 1st downs last season, ranking them 23rd overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Houston ran for 1,859 yards as a unit, which ranked 8th in the league. They ran 456 times, averaging 4.1 yards per rush as a unit. The Texans were penalized on offense 87 times for 868 yards last year, which had them 32nd in the NFL in penalties. Tom Savage passed for 461 yards last year. He completed 46 throws while attempting 73 passes for a completion percentage of 63.0%. His quarterback rating last season was 80.9 and his QBR was 63.1. He averaged 10.0 yards per completion and 6.3 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Houston was 11th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense last year with 328. They gave up a total of 4,821 yards on D, which was 1st in the league. The Texans were 5th in yards per play allowed with 5.1. Their pass defense allowed 5.8 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 4th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses completed 319 throws on 522 attempts against the Houston defense last season, ranking them 3rd and 3rd in the league. The Houston Texans pass defense also surrendered a total of 3,226 yards in the air, which was 2nd overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense gave up 397 attempts for 1,595 yards last season, putting them in 12th place in the NFL against the run. The Texans had 114 penalties for 949 yards on defense last year. That placed them 20th in the league. They allowed a score on 31.7% of possessions on defense, which was 7th in the NFL.

Special Teams Stats

Houston was 7th in the NFL in punt returns with 39 last year. They totaled 427 punt return yards and averaged 10.9 yards per return, which was 7th in the league. Their longest punt return last season was 67 yards. They returned 30 kicks for 557 yards on special teams, placing them 23rd in kick return yardage. The Texans averaged 18.6 yards per kick return and had a long of 39 yards last season. They were 28th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 6,261. The Houston Texans tried 41 field goals last season and made 35, which was 2nd in the league. Their kickers had a FG percentage of 85.4%. Houston kickers made 88% of their extra points, going 22 for 25 last season. Their punters accumulated 3,424 yards on 72 punts, averaging 39 yards per punt. That ranked them 6th in the NFL in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +4

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