Sunday, January 22, 2017

The Georgia Dome

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The Green Bay Packers take on the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday in the NFC Championship at the Georgia Dome. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 5.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 59.5. The Packers are 11-6-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 12-6-0. The Falcons have an over/under record of 14-2-1 and they are 11-6-0 against the spread.

Aaron Rodgers finished with 356 yards through the air for Green Bay in their 34-31 win over the Cowboys. He completed 28 passes out of 43 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. The Packers were led in rushing by Ty Montgomery, who finished with 47 yards on 11 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Jared Cook was the team leader in receiving with a total of 104 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. As a team in that game Green Bay got a total of 27 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 19 came through the air. They ran 63 total plays for 414 yards for the game. The Packers ran for 87 yards on 17 attempts.

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Matt Ryan finished with 338 yards passing for Atlanta in their 36-20 victory over the Seahawks. He went 26 for 37, resulting in a 70% completion percentage. The Falcons were led on the ground by Tevin Coleman, who finished with 57 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Devonta Freeman led the team in receiving with 80 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 20 yards per reception. Atlanta had 28 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 19 came from a pass. They ran 69 total plays for 422 yards for the contest. The Falcons ran for 99 yards on 29 carries as a team.

Green Bay scores 27 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 4th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 39 attempts for a 64% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 262 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 5th in the league. The Packers run for an average of 106 yards per game on 23 attempts for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. That ranks them 20th in the league. They also run 64 plays per contest and average 5.8 yards per play for an average of 369 yards per game, ranking their offense 8th overall this season. The Packers average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 6th in the NFL. They accumulate 51.7 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, which ranks 13th in the league.

Green Bay allows 269 passing yards per game, ranking 31st, and they allow 24 points per contest on defense, which ranks 21st. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Packers allow 95 rushing yards per game on 24 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 9th in the NFL. Green Bay allows 364 total yards per game including 5.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 22nd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.8 penalties for 60.2 yards per game, ranking them 21st among NFL teams.

Atlanta averages 34 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 1st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 34 attempts for a 68% completion percentage. They throw for 295 yards through the air per game, ranking them 3rd. The Falcons run for an average of 121 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 5th on the ground. They also run 62 plays per game and average 6.7 yards per play for a total of 416 yards per game, ranking them 2nd in the league on offense. The Falcons get an average of 24 first downs per game, which ranks 2nd. They average 53 penalty yards per game via 6.5 penalties, ranking them 11th in the NFL.

Atlanta allows an average of 267 passing yards per game, which ranks 28th in the league. Their defense overall allows 25 points per contest, which has them ranked 27th. They give up 26 completions on 41 attempts for a completion percentage of 63% per game. The Falcons allow 105 rushing yards per contest on 23 carries for a 4.6 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 17th in the NFL. Atlanta allows 371 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 25th in the league. They force 7.1 penalties for 60.9 yards in each contest, ranking 24th.

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay is 12-6-0 against the over/under this season

Green Bay has an ATS record of 11-6-1 this season

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta is 14-2-1 against the over/under this season

Atlanta has an ATS record of 11-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Green Bay

12/06/16 CB Demetri Goodson Knee IR
11/16/16 RB Don Jackson Undisclosed IR
10/26/16 WR Jared Abbrederis Quad IR
10/25/16 S Chris Banjo Hamstring IR
10/20/16 RB Eddie Lacy Ankle IR
09/25/16 CB Sam Shields Concussion IR
01/15/17 RB James Starks Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
01/15/17 C JC Tretter Knee "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
01/15/17 WR Jordy Nelson Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
01/15/17 S Morgan Burnett Quad injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
01/15/17 CB Quinten Rollins Neck "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
01/05/17 CB Makinton Dorleant Knee IR

Atlanta

12/16/16 S Kemal Ishmael Shoulder IR
11/27/16 CB Desmond Trufant Pectoral IR
11/23/16 TE Jacob Tamme Shoulder IR
10/19/16 DE Derrick Shelby Calf IR
10/03/16 LB Sean Weatherspoon Achilles IR
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR
01/15/17 DE Adrian Clayborn Bicep out for season

Josh's Pick: Take Atlanta -5.5

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