Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Week 4 NFL Picks & Predictions 10/1/2017

Sunday, October 1, 2017

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game

The Atlanta Falcons host the Buffalo Bills at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, October 1, 2017. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 8.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 49. The Falcons have an over/under record of 2-1-0 and they are 2-1-0 against the spread. The Bills have an ATS record of 3-0-0 while their over/under record is 1-2-0.

Valuable Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills are 1-2-0 against the over/under

The Buffalo Bills are 3-0-0 against the spread

Important Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Atlanta Falcons are 2-1-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Falcons are 2-1-0 against the spread

Key Buffalo Bills Injuries

09/24/17 T Cordy Glenn Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
09/24/17 DT Jerel Worthy Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
09/24/17 DT Marcell Dareus Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
09/24/17 T Seantrel Henderson Suspension expected to miss Sunday vs. Atlanta
09/07/17 QB T.J. Yates Concussion IR
07/30/17 S Colt Anderson Foot PUP

Key Atlanta Falcons Injuries

09/25/17 WR Julio Jones Back probable Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/25/17 S Ricardo Allen Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/24/17 DT Courtney Upshaw Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/24/17 T Ryan Schraeder Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/24/17 RB Terron Ward Neck "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/18/17 LB Vic Beasley Hamstring expected to miss 3-4 weeks
09/07/17 LB LaRoy Reynolds Pectoral IR

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Buffalo Bills have run for 334 yards as a team, which ranks 12th in the NFL. They've run 98 times, averaging 3.4 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Bills have been penalized on offense 19 times for 163 yards so far this season, which has them 23rd in the league in penalties. They are 24th in the NFL in points scored with 50. They have run 186 plays this season for 856 yards, which ranks them 25th in the league in total offense. The Bills average 4.6 yards per play, which is 26th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 49 1st downs this year, placing them 25th overall as an offensive unit. Tyrod Taylor averages 7.1 yards per pass attempt and 10.6 yards per completion. He has completed 53 passes on 79 attempts for a completion percentage of 67.1%. His quarterback rating is 99.2. He has thrown for 562 yards this season.

Defensive Statistics

The Bills rush defense has allowed 66 attempts for 226 yards this year, putting them in 7th place in the league against the run. Buffalo has committed 21 penalties for 181 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 17th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 29.4% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the league. They are 2nd in the league in points allowed on defense with 37. They have surrendered a total of 835 yards on D, which is 8th in the NFL. The Bills are ranked 4th in yards per play allowed with 4.5. Their pass defense has given up 5 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 3rd in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 70 passes on 111 attempts against the Buffalo Bills defense this season, placing them 23rd and 23rd in the National Football League. The Buffalo pass defense has also given up a total of 609 yards through the air, which is 10th overall in total pass defense.

Special Teams Stats

The Buffalo Bills have attempted 6 field goals this season and made 5, which is 15th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 83.3%. Buffalo Bills kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 5 for 5 this year. Their punters have totaled 780 yards on 17 punts, averaging 45.9 yards per punt. That places them 17th in the NFL in punting average. Buffalo is ranked 5th in the league in punt returns with 8. They've accumulated 57 punt return yards and average 7.1 yards per return, which is 17th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 19 yards. They have returned 3 kicks for 64 yards on special teams, ranking 27th in kick return yardage. The Bills average 21.3 yards per kick return and have a long of 23 yards this year. They are 27th in the league in all-purpose yards with 1,017.

Useful Offensive Statistics

The Atlanta Falcons are 5th in the National Football League in points scored with 87. They have run 178 plays this year for 1,164 yards, which ranks them 4th in the NFL in total offense. The Falcons average 6.5 yards per play, which is 3rd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 63 1st downs this season, ranking them 9th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Atlanta has run for 356 yards as a unit, which ranks 10th in the league. They've run 78 times, averaging 4.6 yards per rush as a unit. The Falcons have been penalized on offense 22 times for 175 yards so far this year, which has them 16th in the NFL in penalties. Matt Ryan has passed for 867 yards this year. He's completed 64 throws while attempting 93 passes for a completion percentage of 68.8%. His quarterback rating this season is 99.2. He averages 13.5 yards per completion and 9.3 yards per pass attempt.

Defensive Statistics

Atlanta is 17th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 66. They have given up a total of 992 yards on D, which is 17th in the league. The Falcons are 10th in yards per play allowed with 5. Their pass defense has allowed 5.1 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 5th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 84 throws on 135 attempts against the Atlanta defense this season, ranking them 32nd and 32nd in the league. The Falcons pass defense has also surrendered a total of 737 yards in the air, which is 23rd overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 53 attempts for 255 yards this season, putting them in 9th place in the NFL against the run. The Atlanta Falcons have had 23 penalties for 208 yards on defense this year. That places them 26th in the league. They've allowed a score on 38.7% of possessions on defense, which is 24th in the NFL.

Special Teams Stats

Atlanta is 24th in the NFL in punt returns with 5. They've totaled 62 punt return yards and are averaging 12.4 yards per return, which is 6th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 27 yards. They have returned 5 kicks for 96 yards on special teams, placing them 17th in kick return yardage. The Falcons average 19.2 yards per kick return and have a long of 38 yards this season. They are 5th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 1,381. The Atlanta Falcons have tried 8 field goals this season and made 8, which is 2nd in the league. Atlanta kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 9 for 9 this season. Their punters have accumulated 434 yards on 9 punts, averaging 48.2 yards per punt. That ranks them 7th in the NFL in punting average.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills +8.5

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