Sunday, November 20, 2016

Arrowhead Stadium

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, November 20, 2016 at Arrowhead Stadium. The opening line for this game has Kansas City as 7.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 44.5. The Buccaneers are 4-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-3-0. The Chiefs have an over/under record of 2-7-0 and they are 4-4-1 against the spread.

Jameis Winston finished with 312 yards through the air for Tampa Bay last week. He completed 23 passes out of 33 attempts for a 70% completion percentage. The Buccaneers were led in rushing by Peyton Barber, who finished with 38 yards on 12 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Cameron Brate was the team leader in receiving with a total of 84 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game Tampa Bay got a total of 22 first downs. Of those first downs, 2 came on the ground while 17 came through the air. They ran 68 total plays for 360 yards for the game. The Buccaneers ran for 80 yards on 31 attempts.

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Alex Smith finished with 178 yards passing for Kansas City last week. He went 25 for 38, resulting in a 66% completion percentage. The Chiefs were led on the ground by Spencer Ware, who finished with 61 yards on 13 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Tyreek Hill led the team in receiving with 89 yards and 10 catches. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. Kansas City had 18 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 9 came from a pass. They ran 61 total plays for 256 yards for the contest. The Chiefs ran for 91 yards on 20 carries as a team.

Tampa Bay scores 24 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 13th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 24 passes on 39 attempts for a 62% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 253 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 16th in the league. The Buccaneers run for an average of 105 yards per game on 28 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 17th in the league. They also run 69 plays per contest and average 5.2 yards per play for an average of 358 yards per game, ranking their offense 14th overall this season. The Buccaneers average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 13th in the NFL. They accumulate 65.3 penalty yards per game via 7.4 penalties, which ranks 13th in the league.

Tampa Bay allows 268 passing yards per game, ranking 23rd, and they allow 27 points per contest on defense, which ranks 26th. They give up 21 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 60%. The Buccaneers allow 118 rushing yards per game on 28 carries for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 25th in the NFL. Tampa Bay allows 386 total yards per game including 5.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 26th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 8.4 penalties for 73.3 yards per game, ranking them 29th among NFL teams.

Kansas City averages 23 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 17th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 36 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. They throw for 233 yards through the air per game, ranking them 22nd. The Chiefs run for an average of 100 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 20th on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 333 yards per game, ranking them 26th in the league on offense. The Chiefs get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 23rd. They average 46.9 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, ranking them 23rd in the NFL.

Kansas City allows an average of 244 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their defense overall allows 19 points per contest, which has them ranked 7th. They give up 23 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Chiefs allow 122 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 4.7 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 27th in the NFL. Kansas City allows 366 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 22nd in the league. They force 5.7 penalties for 44.6 yards in each contest, ranking 5th.

Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Tampa Bay is 6-3-0 against the over/under this season

Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 4-5-0 this season

Kansas City Betting Trends

Kansas City is 2-7-0 against the over/under this season

Kansas City has an ATS record of 4-4-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Tampa Bay

11/14/16 C Evan Smith Knee expected to miss 3-4 weeks
11/13/16 C Joe Hawley Knee "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
11/13/16 T Kevin Pamphile Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
11/13/16 WR Russell Shepard Hip "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
11/13/16 RB Jacquizz Rodgers Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
11/08/16 DE Howard Jones Knee IR
11/07/16 WR Louis Murphy Knee IR
11/07/16 RB Antone Smith Knee IR
10/19/16 WR Vincent Jackson Knee IR
10/11/16 RB Charles Sims Knee IR
10/06/16 DE Noah Spence Shoulder out indefinitely
09/23/16 LB Devante Bond Hamstring IR
09/15/16 DE Jacquies Smith Knee IR
08/31/16 G J.R. Sweezy Back PUP
08/11/16 DE George Johnson Hip out for season

Kansas City

11/15/16 DB Phillip Gaines Neck injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/13/16 DB D.J. White Hand "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/13/16 DL Jaye Howard Hip "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/13/16 WR Jeremy Maclin Groin "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/13/16 LB Justin Houston Knee "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/02/16 OL Parker Ehinger ACL IR
11/01/16 RB Jamaal Charles Knee IR
10/19/16 DL Allen Bailey Shoulder IR
10/19/16 LB Justin March Hand IR
08/31/16 LB Josh Mauga Hip IR
08/15/16 QB Tyler Bray Back out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Kansas City -7.5

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