Sunday, November 27, 2016

Sun Life Stadium

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The San Francisco 49ers travel to Sun Life Stadium to play the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, November 27, 2016. The opening line for this game has Miami as 8.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46.5. The 49ers are 2-8-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-4-0. The Dolphins have an over/under record of 6-4-0 and they are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Colin Kaepernick finished with 206 yards through the air for San Francisco last week. He completed 16 passes out of 30 attempts for a 53% completion percentage. The 49ers were led in rushing by Carlos Hyde, who finished with 86 yards on 19 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Vance McDonald was the team leader in receiving with a total of 46 yards and 3 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 15 yards per reception. As a team in that game San Francisco got a total of 20 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 62 total plays for 299 yards for the game. The 49ers ran for 122 yards on 27 attempts.

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Ryan Tannehill finished with 172 yards passing for Miami last week. He went 24 for 34, resulting in a 71% completion percentage. The Dolphins were led on the ground by Jay Ajayi, who finished with 77 yards on 16 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. DeVante Parker led the team in receiving with 79 yards and 8 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. Miami had 17 first downs total. 5 came from running the ball and 10 came from a pass. They ran 57 total plays for 240 yards for the contest. The Dolphins ran for 98 yards on 19 carries as a team.

San Francisco scores 20 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 24th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 17 passes on 31 attempts for a 55% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 190 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 31st in the league. The 49ers run for an average of 120 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry. That ranks them 5th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 4.9 yards per play for an average of 310 yards per game, ranking their offense 30th overall this season. The 49ers average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 26th in the NFL. They accumulate 49 penalty yards per game via 5.9 penalties, which ranks 31st in the league.

San Francisco allows 252 passing yards per game, ranking 14th, and they allow 31 points per contest on defense, which ranks 32nd. They give up 22 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The 49ers allow 180 rushing yards per game on 35 carries for an average of 5.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 32nd in the NFL. San Francisco allows 431 total yards per game including 6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 32nd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.2 penalties for 53.6 yards per game, ranking them 8th among NFL teams.

Miami averages 22 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 21st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 30 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. They throw for 212 yards through the air per game, ranking them 29th. The Dolphins run for an average of 118 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 9th on the ground. They also run 57 plays per game and average 5.8 yards per play for a total of 330 yards per game, ranking them 26th in the league on offense. The Dolphins get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 30th. They average 76.7 penalty yards per game via 8 penalties, ranking them 5th in the NFL.

Miami allows an average of 225 passing yards per game, which ranks 8th in the league. Their defense overall allows 22 points per contest, which has them ranked 15th. They give up 21 completions on 34 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Dolphins allow 126 rushing yards per contest on 29 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 30th in the NFL. Miami allows 351 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play, which ranks 14th in the league. They force 7.3 penalties for 59.1 yards in each contest, ranking 16th.

San Francisco Betting Trends

San Francisco is 6-4-0 against the over/under this season

San Francisco has an ATS record of 2-8-0 this season

Miami Betting Trends

Miami is 6-4-0 against the over/under this season

Miami has an ATS record of 6-4-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

San Francisco

11/21/16 S Eric Reid Bicep out indefinitely
11/20/16 LB Aaron Lynch Leg "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/20/16 WR Torrey Smith Back "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/20/16 DB Jimmie Ward Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/08/16 DL Arik Armstead Shoulder IR
10/10/16 CB Chris Davis Knee IR
10/03/16 LB NaVorro Bowman Achilles IR
09/26/16 T Anthony Davis Concussion has retired
09/20/16 LB Ray-Ray Armstrong Pectoral IR
09/16/16 NT Ian Williams Ankle IR
09/06/16 CB Will Redmond ACL IR
09/02/16 QB Thad Lewis Knee IR
08/30/16 WR Bruce Ellington Hamstring IR

Miami

11/22/16 G Laremy Tunsil Shoulder injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/20/16 T Branden Albert Wrist "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/20/16 LB Jelani Jenkins Knee "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/20/16 DE Mario Williams Ankle "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/20/16 C Mike Pouncey Hip "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/20/16 CB Xavien Howard Knee "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/05/16 TE Jordan Cameron Concussion IR
10/24/16 RB Arian Foster Retired out for season
10/19/16 S Reshad Jones Rotator Cuff IR
10/12/16 LB Koa Misi Neck IR
08/31/16 LB Zach Vigil Back PUP
08/30/16 DE Dion Jordan Knee PUP

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -8.5

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