Sunday, December 18, 2016

The Georgia Dome

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The San Francisco 49ers travel to The Georgia Dome to play the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, December 18, 2016. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 11.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 51.5. The 49ers are 2-10-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-6-0. The Falcons have an over/under record of 11-2-0 and they are 8-5-0 against the spread.

Colin Kaepernick finished with 133 yards through the air for San Francisco last week. He completed 15 passes out of 26 attempts for a 58% completion percentage. The 49ers were led in rushing by Carlos Hyde, who finished with 193 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 11 yards per carry. Jeremy Kerley was the team leader in receiving with a total of 50 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. As a team in that game San Francisco got a total of 17 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 5 came through the air. They ran 55 total plays for 364 yards for the game. The 49ers ran for 248 yards on 27 attempts.

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Matt Ryan finished with 237 yards passing for Atlanta last week. He went 18 for 28, resulting in a 64% completion percentage. The Falcons were led on the ground by Tevin Coleman, who finished with 36 yards on 8 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Taylor Gabriel led the team in receiving with 82 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 27 yards per reception. Atlanta had 18 first downs total. 3 came from running the ball and 12 came from a pass. They ran 57 total plays for 286 yards for the contest. The Falcons ran for 66 yards on 25 carries as a team.

San Francisco scores 19 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 17 passes on 31 attempts for a 55% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 177 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 32nd in the league. The 49ers run for an average of 137 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 4th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 5 yards per play for an average of 314 yards per game, ranking their offense 29th overall this season. The 49ers average 18 first downs per game which ranks them 25th in the NFL. They accumulate 52.8 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, which ranks 27th in the league.

San Francisco allows 245 passing yards per game, ranking 14th, and they allow 30 points per contest on defense, which ranks 32nd. They give up 21 completions on 33 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The 49ers allow 171 rushing yards per game on 35 carries for an average of 4.9 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 32nd in the NFL. San Francisco allows 415 total yards per game including 5.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 32nd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.2 penalties for 51.8 yards per game, ranking them 8th among NFL teams.

Atlanta averages 33 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 1st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 34 attempts for a 68% completion percentage. They throw for 296 yards through the air per game, ranking them 3rd. The Falcons run for an average of 107 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 16th on the ground. They also run 62 plays per game and average 6.5 yards per play for a total of 402 yards per game, ranking them 3rd in the league on offense. The Falcons get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 1st. They average 54.8 penalty yards per game via 6.5 penalties, ranking them 16th in the NFL.

Atlanta allows an average of 275 passing yards per game, which ranks 32nd in the league. Their defense overall allows 27 points per contest, which has them ranked 28th. They give up 27 completions on 41 attempts for a completion percentage of 66% per game. The Falcons allow 101 rushing yards per contest on 23 carries for a 4.4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 15th in the NFL. Atlanta allows 376 total yards per game for an average of 5.7 yards per play, which ranks 28th in the league. They force 7.6 penalties for 66.2 yards in each contest, ranking 30th.

San Francisco Betting Trends

San Francisco is 7-6-0 against the over/under this season

San Francisco has an ATS record of 2-10-1 this season

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta is 11-2-0 against the over/under this season

Atlanta has an ATS record of 8-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

San Francisco

12/11/16 TE Vance McDonald Shoulder injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/11/16 T Joe Staley Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/11/16 DT Quinton Dial Elbow "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/11/16 WR Torrey Smith Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/11/16 G Daniel Kilgore Leg injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/01/16 LB Shayne Skov Knee IR
11/21/16 S Eric Reid Bicep out indefinitely
11/08/16 DL Arik Armstead Shoulder IR
10/10/16 CB Chris Davis Knee IR
10/03/16 LB NaVorro Bowman Achilles IR
09/26/16 T Anthony Davis Concussion has retired
09/20/16 LB Ray-Ray Armstrong Pectoral IR
09/16/16 NT Ian Williams Ankle IR
09/06/16 CB Will Redmond ACL IR
09/02/16 QB Thad Lewis Knee IR
08/30/16 WR Bruce Ellington Hamstring IR

Atlanta

12/12/16 CB Jalen Collins Knee injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
12/11/16 WR Julio Jones Toe "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
12/11/16 WR Mohamed Sanu Groin "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
12/11/16 S Robenson Therezie Ankle "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/30/16 DE Adrian Clayborn MCL expected to miss 3-5 weeks
11/27/16 CB Desmond Trufant Pectoral out for season
11/23/16 TE Jacob Tamme Shoulder IR
10/19/16 DE Derrick Shelby Calf IR
10/03/16 LB De'Vondre Campbell Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/03/16 LB Sean Weatherspoon Achilles IR
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR

Tony's Pick: Take Atlanta -11.5

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