Sunday, November 27, 2016

NRG Stadium

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The San Diego Chargers take on the Houston Texans on Sunday, November 27, 2016 at NRG Stadium. The opening line for this game has Houston as 1 point favorites and the over/under was set at 45.5. The Chargers are 6-4-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 8-2-0. The Texans have an over/under record of 5-5-0 and they are 5-4-1 against the spread.

Phillip Rivers finished with 326 yards through the air for San Diego last week. He completed 23 passes out of 44 attempts for a 52% completion percentage. The Chargers were led in rushing by Melvin Gordon, who finished with 70 yards on 24 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Tyrell Williams was the team leader in receiving with a total of 125 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 25 yards per reception. As a team in that game San Diego got a total of 29 first downs. Of those first downs, 18 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 73 total plays for 379 yards for the game. The Chargers ran for 70 yards on 24 attempts.

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Brock Osweiler finished with 243 yards passing for Houston last week. He went 26 for 39, resulting in a 67% completion percentage. The Texans were led on the ground by Lamar Miller, who finished with 104 yards on 24 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. C.J. Fiedorowicz led the team in receiving with 82 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. Houston had 22 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 14 came from a pass. They ran 74 total plays for 354 yards for the contest. The Texans ran for 124 yards on 33 carries as a team.

San Diego scores 29 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 23 passes on 37 attempts for a 62% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 275 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 4th in the league. The Chargers run for an average of 103 yards per game on 27 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 18th in the league. They also run 66 plays per contest and average 5.7 yards per play for an average of 378 yards per game, ranking their offense 8th overall this season. The Chargers average 23 first downs per game which ranks them 6th in the NFL. They accumulate 43.9 penalty yards per game via 5.9 penalties, which ranks 29th in the league.

San Diego allows 275 passing yards per game, ranking 28th, and they allow 28 points per contest on defense, which ranks 28th. They give up 25 completions on 40 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Chargers allow 87 rushing yards per game on 23 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 5th in the NFL. San Diego allows 362 total yards per game including 5.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 21st in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 8.9 penalties for 63.1 yards per game, ranking them 31st among NFL teams.

Houston averages 18 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 28th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 22 passes per game on 36 attempts for a 61% completion percentage. They throw for 192 yards through the air per game, ranking them 30th. The Texans run for an average of 122 yards per game on 28 attempts for an average of 4.4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 4th on the ground. They also run 67 plays per game and average 4.7 yards per play for a total of 313 yards per game, ranking them 28th in the league on offense. The Texans get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 27th. They average 54.3 penalty yards per game via 5.3 penalties, ranking them 32nd in the NFL.

Houston allows an average of 207 passing yards per game, which ranks 4th in the league. Their defense overall allows 22 points per contest, which has them ranked 12th. They give up 20 completions on 32 attempts for a completion percentage of 63% per game. The Texans allow 112 rushing yards per contest on 27 carries for a 4.1 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 21st in the NFL. Houston allows 318 total yards per game for an average of 5.2 yards per play, which ranks 6th in the league. They force 6.6 penalties for 58.1 yards in each contest, ranking 15th.

San Diego Betting Trends

San Diego is 8-2-0 against the over/under this season

San Diego has an ATS record of 6-4-0 this season

Houston Betting Trends

Houston is 5-5-0 against the over/under this season

Houston has an ATS record of 5-4-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

San Diego

11/20/16 CB Brandon Flowers Head "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/20/16 LB Denzel Perryman Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/20/16 WR Travis Benjamin Knee "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/20/16 C Max Tuerk Undisclosed "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/20/16 LB Jatavis Brown Knee "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/16/16 NT Brandon Mebane Bicep IR
10/12/16 LB Nick Dzubnar Knee IR
10/05/16 CB Jason Verrett ACL IR
09/27/16 LB Manti Te'o Achilles IR
09/20/16 RB Danny Woodhead Knee IR
09/19/16 S Jahleel Addae Collarbone out indefinitely
09/11/16 WR Keenan Allen Knee IR
09/02/16 NT Sean Lissemore Undisclosed IR
09/02/16 WR Javontee Herndon Knee IR
09/02/16 TE Jeff Cumberland Achilles IR
08/31/16 G Chris Watt Knee PUP
08/31/16 G Donavon Clark Knee IR
08/30/16 RB Branden Oliver Achilles IR
08/11/16 WR Stevie Johnson Knee IR

Houston

11/21/16 RB Alfred Blue Calf "?" Sunday vs. San Diego
11/21/16 WR Jaelen Strong Ankle "?" Sunday vs. San Diego
11/21/16 RB Jonathan Grimes Illness "?" Sunday vs. San Diego
11/12/16 S Lonnie Ballentine Groin IR
10/25/16 T Derek Newton Knee IR
10/17/16 S K.J. Dillon ACL IR
10/17/16 CB Kevin Johnson Foot IR
10/05/16 DT Devon Still Undisclosed IR
09/30/16 DE J.J. Watt Back IR
08/31/16 K Ka'imi Fairbairn Quad IR
08/31/16 S Kurtis Drummond Leg IR
08/31/16 G Nick Martin Ankle IR

Tony's Pick: Take Houston -1

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