Saturday, December 24, 2016

Gillette Stadium

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The New York Jets travel to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Saturday, December 24, 2016. The opening line for this game has New England as 16.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 44.5. The Jets are 5-9-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-7-0. The Patriots have an over/under record of 5-9-0 and they are 11-3-0 against the spread.

Bryce Petty finished with 235 yards through the air for New York last week. He completed 20 passes out of 36 attempts for a 56% completion percentage. The Jets were led in rushing by Bilal Powell, who finished with 84 yards on 16 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Robby Anderson was the team leader in receiving with a total of 80 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 20 yards per reception. As a team in that game New York got a total of 20 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 10 came through the air. They ran 72 total plays for 360 yards for the game. The Jets ran for 116 yards on 23 attempts.

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Tom Brady finished with 188 yards passing for New England last week. He went 16 for 32, resulting in a 50% completion percentage. The Patriots were led on the ground by Dion Lewis, who finished with 95 yards on 18 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Julian Edelman led the team in receiving with 75 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. New England had 20 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 73 total plays for 313 yards for the contest. The Patriots ran for 136 yards on 39 carries as a team.

New York scores 17 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 30th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 20 passes on 35 attempts for a 57% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 224 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 25th in the league. The Jets run for an average of 112 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 14th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 5.3 yards per play for an average of 336 yards per game, ranking their offense 22nd overall this season. The Jets average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 28th in the NFL. They accumulate 53.2 penalty yards per game via 6.1 penalties, which ranks 27th in the league.

New York allows 252 passing yards per game, ranking 21st, and they allow 26 points per contest on defense, which ranks 26th. They give up 22 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Jets allow 100 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 13th in the NFL. New York allows 352 total yards per game including 5.7 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 17th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 5.1 penalties for 45.1 yards per game, ranking them 1st among NFL teams.

New England averages 26 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 6th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 66% completion percentage. They throw for 273 yards through the air per game, ranking them 4th. The Patriots run for an average of 117 yards per game on 30 attempts for an average of 3.9 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 7th on the ground. They also run 66 plays per game and average 5.9 yards per play for a total of 390 yards per game, ranking them 5th in the league on offense. The Patriots get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 5th. They average 52.5 penalty yards per game via 5.9 penalties, ranking them 29th in the NFL.

New England allows an average of 248 passing yards per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Their defense overall allows 17 points per contest, which has them ranked 1st. They give up 24 completions on 38 attempts for a completion percentage of 63% per game. The Patriots allow 88 rushing yards per contest on 23 carries for a 3.8 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 4th in the NFL. New England allows 336 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play, which ranks 10th in the league. They force 7 penalties for 55.7 yards in each contest, ranking 11th.

New York Betting Trends

New York is 7-7-0 against the over/under this season

New York has an ATS record of 5-9-0 this season

New England Betting Trends

New England is 5-9-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 11-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New York

12/18/16 RB Khiry Robinson Leg "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 OL Brent Qvale Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 QB Bryce Petty Back injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 CB Buster Skrine Head "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 LB Mike Catapano Knee "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 DT Steve McLendon Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/18/16 LB Lorenzo Mauldin Ankle "?" Saturday vs. New England
12/15/16 T Breno Giacomini Shoulder IR
12/14/16 S Marcus Gilchrist Knee IR
12/08/16 C Nick Mangold Ankle out for season
11/09/16 T Ryan Clady Shoulder IR
11/07/16 CB Marcus Williams Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/25/16 TE Braedon Bowman Knee IR
10/25/16 LB Erin Henderson Undisclosed IR
10/24/16 QB Geno Smith Knee out for season
10/12/16 WR Eric Decker Shoulder IR
09/29/16 DE Lawrence Thomas Shoulder IR

New England

12/18/16 WR Michael Floyd Acquired "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/18/16 LB Dont'a Hightower Knee probable Sunday vs. Denver
12/18/16 DB Jordan Richards Leg "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/05/16 WR Danny Amendola Ankle out indefinitely
12/04/16 TE Rob Gronkowski Back IR
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

Guy's Pick: Take New England -16.5

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