Sunday, December 11, 2016

Raymond James Stadium

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The New Orleans Saints travel to Raymond James Stadium to play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 11, 2016. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 51. The Saints are 7-4-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-6-0. The Buccaneers have an over/under record of 6-5-1 and they are 7-5-0 against the spread.

Drew Brees finished with 326 yards through the air for New Orleans last week. He completed 31 passes out of 44 attempts for a 70% completion percentage. The Saints were led in rushing by Mark Ingram, who finished with 37 yards on 7 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Coby Fleener was the team leader in receiving with a total of 86 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. As a team in that game New Orleans got a total of 20 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 16 came through the air. They ran 57 total plays for 369 yards for the game. The Saints ran for 50 yards on 12 attempts.

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Jameis Winston finished with 280 yards passing for Tampa Bay last week. He went 20 for 30, resulting in a 67% completion percentage. The Buccaneers were led on the ground by Doug Martin, who finished with 45 yards on 17 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. Cameron Brate led the team in receiving with 86 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. Tampa Bay had 20 first downs total. 5 came from running the ball and 14 came from a pass. They ran 61 total plays for 349 yards for the contest. The Buccaneers ran for 81 yards on 30 carries as a team.

New Orleans scores 29 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 30 passes on 42 attempts for a 71% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 319 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 1st in the league. The Saints run for an average of 109 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.4 yards per carry. That ranks them 10th in the league. They also run 69 plays per contest and average 6.2 yards per play for an average of 429 yards per game, ranking their offense 1st overall this season. The Saints average 25 first downs per game which ranks them 1st in the NFL. They accumulate 57.5 penalty yards per game via 6.3 penalties, which ranks 15th in the league.

New Orleans allows 277 passing yards per game, ranking 31st, and they allow 28 points per contest on defense, which ranks 30th. They give up 24 completions on 37 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 65%. The Saints allow 98 rushing yards per game on 25 carries for an average of 3.9 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 13th in the NFL. New Orleans allows 375 total yards per game including 5.8 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 26th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.2 penalties for 53.2 yards per game, ranking them 6th among NFL teams.

Tampa Bay averages 23 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 16th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 37 attempts for a 62% completion percentage. They throw for 257 yards through the air per game, ranking them 13th. The Buccaneers run for an average of 105 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 3.6 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 17th on the ground. They also run 69 plays per game and average 5.2 yards per play for a total of 362 yards per game, ranking them 12th in the league on offense. The Buccaneers get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 11th. They average 61.1 penalty yards per game via 7.2 penalties, ranking them 9th in the NFL.

Tampa Bay allows an average of 250 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Their defense overall allows 24 points per contest, which has them ranked 19th. They give up 21 completions on 34 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Buccaneers allow 116 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 4.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 25th in the NFL. Tampa Bay allows 366 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 22nd in the league. They force 7.4 penalties for 63.5 yards in each contest, ranking 20th.

New Orleans Betting Trends

New Orleans is 6-6-0 against the over/under this season

New Orleans has an ATS record of 7-4-1 this season

Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 against the over/under this season

Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 7-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New Orleans

12/05/16 LB Craig Robertson Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
12/05/16 TE Josh Hill Fibula out for season
12/04/16 RB Daniel Lasco Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
12/04/16 T Terron Armstead Knee "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
11/16/16 LB Michael Mauti Illness IR
11/08/16 LB James Laurinaitis Quad IR
10/12/16 DB Erik Harris ACL IR
09/29/16 DE Obum Gwacham Undisclosed IR
09/22/16 CB P.J. Williams Concussion IR
09/04/16 TE Michael Hoomanawanui Leg IR
08/31/16 CB Damian Swann Abdominal IR
08/31/16 LB Hau'oli Kikaha Knee PUP

Tampa Bay

12/06/16 WR Cecil Shorts Knee IR
12/05/16 WR Adam Humphries Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
12/05/16 TE Luke Stocker Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
12/05/16 RB Doug Martin Back probable Sunday vs. New Orleans
12/04/16 S Chris Conte Chest "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
11/14/16 C Evan Smith Knee expected to miss 3-4 weeks
11/08/16 DE Howard Jones Knee IR
11/07/16 RB Antone Smith Knee IR
11/07/16 WR Louis Murphy Knee IR
10/19/16 WR Vincent Jackson Knee IR
10/11/16 RB Charles Sims Knee IR
10/06/16 DE Noah Spence Shoulder out indefinitely
09/23/16 LB Devante Bond Hamstring IR
09/15/16 DE Jacquies Smith Knee IR
08/31/16 G J.R. Sweezy Back PUP
08/11/16 DE George Johnson Hip out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay -3

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