Sunday, November 20, 2016

Levi's Stadium

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The New England Patriots take on the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, November 20, 2016 at Levi's Stadium. The opening line for this game has New England as 14 point favorites and the over/under was set at 51.5. The Patriots are 7-2-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-5-0. The 49ers have an over/under record of 6-3-0 and they are 2-7-0 against the spread.

Tom Brady finished with 316 yards through the air for New England last week. He completed 23 passes out of 32 attempts for a 72% completion percentage. The Patriots were led in rushing by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 69 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Martellus Bennett was the team leader in receiving with a total of 102 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 15 yards per reception. As a team in that game New England got a total of 25 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 13 came through the air. They ran 62 total plays for 385 yards for the game. The Patriots ran for 81 yards on 28 attempts.

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Colin Kaepernick finished with 210 yards passing for San Francisco last week. He went 17 for 30, resulting in a 57% completion percentage. The 49ers were led on the ground by Kaepernick, who finished with 55 yards on 10 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Jeremy Kerley led the team in receiving with 71 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. San Francisco had 15 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 61 total plays for 281 yards for the contest. The 49ers ran for 83 yards on 28 carries as a team.

New England scores 27 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 7th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 31 attempts for a 71% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 268 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 8th in the league. The Patriots run for an average of 112 yards per game on 30 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 13th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 6 yards per play for an average of 381 yards per game, ranking their offense 8th overall this season. The Patriots average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 10th in the NFL. They accumulate 61.8 penalty yards per game via 6.6 penalties, which ranks 19th in the league.

New England allows 260 passing yards per game, ranking 19th, and they allow 18 points per contest on defense, which ranks 6th. They give up 25 completions on 39 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Patriots allow 101 rushing yards per game on 25 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 14th in the NFL. New England allows 361 total yards per game including 5.5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 17th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.2 penalties for 57.8 yards per game, ranking them 13th among NFL teams.

San Francisco averages 21 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 22nd in the league. In the passing department, they complete 17 passes per game on 31 attempts for a 55% completion percentage. They throw for 191 yards through the air per game, ranking them 30th. The 49ers run for an average of 120 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4.1 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 7th on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 4.9 yards per play for a total of 311 yards per game, ranking them 29th in the league on offense. The 49ers get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 25th. They average 46.9 penalty yards per game via 5.4 penalties, ranking them 30th in the NFL.

San Francisco allows an average of 249 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Their defense overall allows 31 points per contest, which has them ranked 32nd. They give up 21 completions on 35 attempts for a completion percentage of 60% per game. The 49ers allow 180 rushing yards per contest on 35 carries for a 5.1 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 32nd in the NFL. San Francisco allows 430 total yards per game for an average of 6 yards per play, which ranks 32nd in the league. They force 6.3 penalties for 55.1 yards in each contest, ranking 9th.

New England Betting Trends

New England is 4-5-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 7-2-0 this season

San Francisco Betting Trends

San Francisco is 6-3-0 against the over/under this season

San Francisco has an ATS record of 2-7-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New England

11/14/16 TE Rob Gronkowski Lung is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. San Francisco
11/13/16 RB Dion Lewis Knee "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

San Francisco

11/13/16 LB Aaron Lynch Leg "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/13/16 CB Rashard Robinson Foot "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/08/16 DL Arik Armstead Shoulder IR
10/10/16 CB Chris Davis Knee IR
10/03/16 LB NaVorro Bowman Achilles IR
09/26/16 T Anthony Davis Concussion has retired
09/20/16 LB Ray-Ray Armstrong Pectoral IR
09/16/16 NT Ian Williams Ankle IR
09/06/16 CB Will Redmond ACL IR
09/02/16 QB Thad Lewis Knee IR
08/30/16 WR Bruce Ellington Hamstring IR

Josh's Pick: Take New England -14

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